Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ

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944
FNUS75 KTWC 291258
FWSTWC

Spot Forecast for Clear Cut...Forest Service
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
558 AM MST Tue Jul 29 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0600 MST on July 29.

.DISCUSSION...

With increased moisture in place minimum relative humidities will
remain above 35 percent at the fire site through the work week.
Daily chances for thunderstorms will develop with this moisture, as
early as the late morning hours but mainly in the afternoon. Winds
generally light and terrain driven, though strong erratic winds
possible with any thunderstorm.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny in the morning then becoming mostly cloudy
in the late morning and afternoon.
                    Showers and thunderstorms likely in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....71-74 degrees.
Min humidity........36-39 percent.
20-foot winds.......Southeast 5 mph in the morning, becoming west
    5 to 10 mph in the afternoon. Gusty and
                    erratic winds possible near thunderstorms in the
afternoon.
Mixing height.......Increasing to 8200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 5 to 8 kts.

TIME (MST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........33  33  39  53  57  76  74  80  82  75  74  77
Weather cov.....                        CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY CHC
Weather type....                        RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                        CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY CHC
CWR.............0   0   10  0   0   10  30  30  60  60  60  40
Temp............53  57  61  64  67  69  69  68  67  66  66  65
RH..............74  65  56  48  40  37  39  41  41  45  46  49
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   SW  SW  W   W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..2   2   2   3   4   4   4   4   4   4   5   5
20 FT wind gust.5   6   6   7   10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
Mix hgt (kft)...0.1 0.1 1.1 3.0 6.1 7.9 8.2 7.4 6.2 5.0 4.3 2.7
Transp wind dir.SW  W   SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W   SW  W   W
Transp wind spd.5   4   5   8   10  10  8   7   7   7   7   8

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms early in the evening.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent decreasing to 10 percent.
Min temperature.....50-53 degrees.
Max humidity........81-84 percent.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph, becoming southeast
late. Gusty and erratic winds expected near
thunderstorms in the evening.
Mixing height.......100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 4 to 8 knots.

TIME (MST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........62  58  45  54  46  55  46  46  53  46  36  32
Weather cov.....CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH
CWR.............40  40  20  20  20  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
Temp............64  62  59  57  56  55  54  54  54  53  52  52
RH..............53  57  65  69  72  72  75  75  79  81  82  81
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   SE  S   S   S   E   SE  E   SE
20 FT wind spd..4   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
20 FT wind gust.10  8   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   5   5   6
Mix hgt (kft)...1.6 0.6 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Transp wind dir.SW  S   S   SW  S   SW  SW  SW  SW  S   SW  W
Transp wind spd.7   8   7   6   5   5   6   5   5   5   5   4

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy in the morning then becoming mostly cloudy
in the late morning and afternoon.
                    Showers and thunderstorms likely in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....71-74 degrees.
Min humidity........37-40 percent.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph shifting to the
southwest 5 to 10 mph in the afternoon. Gusty and
                    erratic winds expected near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......Increasing to 8000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West to southwest 5 to 10 kts.

TIME (MST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........38  30  31  25  20  80  80  80  80  80  80  69
Weather cov.....                    LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY CHC
Weather type....                    RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                    LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY CHC
CWR.............10  10  10  10  10  70  70  70  70  70  70  50
Temp............52  58  62  65  68  69  68  66  64  63  63  63
RH..............78  66  56  46  40  38  40  45  51  53  53  55
20 FT wind dir..NE  E   SE  SE  S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..2   2   2   3   3   4   4   4   4   4   5   5
20 FT wind gust.6   6   6   6   8   10  10  10  10  10  10  10
Mix hgt (kft)...0.1 0.1 0.8 3.0 5.8 8.0 7.7 6.1 4.2 2.9 1.9 1.0
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   SW  SW  SW  SW  W   SW  S   S
Transp wind spd.4   4   6   7   9   10  10  10  9   7   5   5

$$
Forecaster...EDWARDS
Requested by...Jordan Hansen
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2518764.0/TWC
.DELDT 07/29/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL Kyran.Walker@usda.gov,Jordan.SayreHansen@usda.gov

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