633
FNUS75 KTWC 122126
FWSTWC

Spot Forecast for Airplane...San Carlos
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
226 PM MST Tue Aug 12 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1500 MST on August 12.

.DISCUSSION...

Daily chances for late afternoon and evening thunderstorms are expected
near the fire site. Winds of 6 to 12 mph with gusts to around 18 mph
out of the northwest in the afternoons, with terrain driven southeasterly
winds of 5 to 10 mph in the late evening through the early morning. Strong
gusty and erratic winds to around 50 mph will be possible with any thunderstorm.
Minimum relative humidities fall to around 20 percent each day and recover
to 50-60 percent each night.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny. Thunderstorms likely.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
Max temperature.....93-96 degrees.
Min humidity........19-22 percent.
20-foot winds.......Upslope and northwest 6 to 12 mph with gusts up to
15 mph. Stronger gusty and erratic winds to around
50 mph expected near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......10200 ft AG.
Transport winds.....North 10 to 11 knots.

TIME (MST)      3 PM
Sky (%).........56
Weather cov.....LIKELY
Weather type....RNSHWR
Tstm cov........LIKELY
CWR.............50
Temp............91
RH..............21
20 FT wind......NW 8G14
Mix hgt (ft)....10200
Transport wind..N 11

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy then becoming partly cloudy.
                    Chance of showers and thunderstorms early in
                    the evening.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent decreasing to 10 percent late in
                    the evening.
Min temperature.....66-69 degrees.
Max humidity........54-57 percent.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 6 to 11 mph becoming downslope
and southeasterly late. Gusty and
                    erratic winds possible near thunderstorms early
                    in the evening.
Mixing height.......3400 ft AGL decreasing to 600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 11 knots.

TIME (MST)      6 PM      9 PM      MIDNGT    3 AM
Sky (%).........68        50        29        26
Weather cov.....CHANCE    S CHC
Weather type....RNSHWR    RNSHWR    NONE      NONE
Tstm cov........CHANCE    S CHC
CWR.............40        20        10        10
Temp............84        77        72        69
RH..............29        36        45        50
20 FT wind......N 8G14    W 6G10    SE 5G8    SE 4G6
Mix hgt (ft)....4000      700       700       700
Transport wind..NW 11     NW 7      N 6       W 6

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny then becoming partly sunny through the
afternoon. Slight chance Chance of showers
and thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Max temperature.....91-94 degrees.
Min humidity........20-23 percent.
20-foot winds.......Downslope and southeasterly 4 to 8 mph through
the morning, then upslope 6 to 12 mph with gusts
up to 18 mph in the afternoon. Stronger
gusty and erratic winds expected near
thunderstorms in the late afternoon.
Mixing height.......Increasing to 9200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 6 to 14 knots.

TIME (MST)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
Sky (%).........22        6         35        60
Weather cov.....                    S CHC     CHANCE
Weather type....NONE      NONE      RNSHWR    RNSHWR
Tstm cov........                    S CHC     CHANCE
CWR.............0         0         20        40
Temp............67        82        91        91
RH..............55        32        25        21
20 FT wind......SE 3G6    S 5G8     W 6G11    NW 8G14
Mix hgt (ft)....600       3000      7600      6500
Transport wind..NW 6      NW 8      NW 8      N 13

$$
Forecaster...EDWARDS
Requested by...Jo Decker
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2519770.0/TWC
.DELDT 08/12/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL azphc@firenet.gov,aaron.norman@forestry.scat-nsn.gov

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