Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ

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307
FNUS75 KTWC 261258
FWSTWC

Spot Forecast for RX Malay Gap...San Carlos Agency
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
558 AM MST Tue Nov 26 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0630 MST on November 26.

.DISCUSSION...

Today will start sunny and breezy at the burn site before becoming
partly cloudy this afternoon. Winds will become west to southwest
and increase to 14 to 17 mph in the afternoon, with gusts to 25 mph.
Humidity will be increasing today and tomorrow, with minimum relative
humidity values around 34 percent today and up to 44 percent tomorrow.
Winds will again increase tomorrow as 5 to 10 mph westerly winds in the
early morning will become 15 to 20 mph with 25 mph gusts. With
the increasing moisture, clouds with a slight chance of very light rain
arrives on Wednesday. Winds will be lighter on Thursday and should remain
under 12 mph, while humidities stay above 30 percent.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny in the morning and becoming partly cloudy
in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....57-60 degrees.
Min humidity........33-36 percent.
20-foot winds.......Southwest 8 to 10 mph in the morning becoming
west to southwest 14 to 18 mph with gusts to 25
mph after 10 AM.
Mixing height.......1600 ft AGL increasing to 4800 ft AGL in the
                    late morning and early afternoon.
Transport winds.....West 10 to 14 knots increasing to 18 to 24 knots
                    late in the morning.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (MST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........10  17  11  17  31  29  34  23  27  45  43  23
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............37  37  39  47  53  56  57  58  58  57  55  50
RH..............61  60  60  47  37  35  36  35  34  34  36  40
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..8   8   8   11  12  14  14  16  16  15  12  12
20 FT wind gust.12  12  12  15  16  20  21  21  22  20  18  17
Mix hgt (kft)...0.1 0.1 0.1 1.6 3.0 4.5 4.6 4.7 4.8 3.3 1.7 0.2
Transp wind dir.W   NW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.10  10  12  14  14  22  23  24  24  21  20  17
Haines index....2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....36-39 degrees.
Max humidity........70-73 percent.
20-foot winds.......West to southwest winds 10 to 12 mph with
gusts to around 16 mph in the evening becoming
6 to 10 mph with gusts to 14 mph overnight.
Mixing height.......100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 10 to 14 knots.
Haines Index........2 to 3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (MST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........33  41  36  45  29  32  43  32  26  26  30  41
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   10
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............47  45  43  43  42  41  41  40  40  39  39  39
RH..............48  52  55  57  59  60  62  63  66  66  67  68
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..10  10  8   8   8   7   7   7   7   6   6   6
20 FT wind gust.14  14  14  14  14  14  14  14  14  14  14  14
Mix hgt (kft)...0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.14  14  14  14  14  14  12  11  11  11  11  11
Haines index....2   2   2   2   3   3   3   2   2   2   2   2

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....51-54 degrees.
Min humidity........44-47 percent.
20-foot winds.......West winds 6 to 10 mph with gusts to around 15
                    mph in the morning becoming 15 to 20 mph with
gusts to 25 mph in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......1200 ft AGL increasing to 4300 ft AGL early in the
                    afternoon.
Transport winds.....West 11 to 19 knots increasing to 17 to 25
                    knots in the late morning and afternoon.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (MST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........55  71  75  69  68  67  70  77  80  78  73  71
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............38  38  40  46  49  50  52  52  52  51  49  47
RH..............71  70  69  58  51  47  45  45  45  47  49  53
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..6   6   8   10  12  12  16  17  18  18  12  10
20 FT wind gust.12  12  14  17  18  19  20  20  22  22  19  16
Mix hgt (kft)...0.1 0.1 0.2 1.2 2.3 3.4 3.7 4.0 4.3 3.1 1.9 0.7
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.12  12  14  19  22  25  25  24  24  22  19  17
Haines index....2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2

$$
Forecaster...EDWARDS
Requested by...Christine Thompson
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2427276.2/TWC
.DELDT 11/26/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL azphc@firenet.gov

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