455
FNUS75 KTWC 231928
FWSTWC

Spot Forecast for Maylay Gap...San Carlos
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
1228 PM MST Sat Nov 23 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1200 MST on November 23.

.DISCUSSION...Dry conditions will continue through early next
week. High temperatures will be above normal today, lowering several
degrees Sunday. Min RH values will be 10-13 percent today increasing
slightly to 13-16 percent Sunday. Elevated west winds of around 15 mph
with gusts 25-30 30 mph are expected Sunday.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....64-67 degrees.
Min humidity........10-13 percent.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 8 to 12 mph with occasional wind
                    gusts to 20 mph.
Mixing height.......4100 ft AGL decreasing to 1400 ft AGL late in
                    the afternoon.
Transport winds.....West 9 to 14 knots.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.

TIME (MST)      12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........4   5   4   5   11  20
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............63  64  65  64  62  57
RH..............13  12  12  11  13  15
20 FT wind dir..S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..5   8   9   10  9   7
20 FT wind gust.10  14  16  18  15  14
Mix hgt (kft)...3.4 3.7 4.1 2.8 1.4 0.1
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W
Transp wind spd.13  13  14  14  13  9
Haines index....4   4   4   4   4   4

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (high clouds).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....40-43 degrees.
Max humidity........21-24 percent.
20-foot winds.......West winds 5 to 8 mph shifting to the
                    northwest early in the evening.
Mixing height.......100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 6 to 8 knots.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.

TIME (MST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........26  18  15  10  13  7   11  7   11  10  7   7
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............51  49  47  46  45  44  43  43  43  42  41  41
RH..............19  20  21  19  20  19  20  19  20  20  20  21
20 FT wind dir..W   NW  NW  NW  W   W   W   W   NW  W   NW  NW
20 FT wind spd..2   3   4   4   4   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
20 FT wind gust.8   10  10  10  10  10  11  11  11  11  10  10
Mix hgt (kft)...0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Transp wind dir.W   W   NW  NW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.7   6   6   7   8   8   7   8   8   8   8   7
Haines index....4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (mid and high clouds).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....57-60 degrees.
Min humidity........13-16 percent.
20-foot winds.......West winds 9 to 13 mph. Gusts up to 28 mph in
                    the late morning and afternoon.
Mixing height.......1200 ft AGL increasing to 3700 ft AGL in the
                    late morning and early afternoon, then
                    decreasing to 1400 ft AGL late in the
                    afternoon.
Transport winds.....West 18 to 23 knots late in the morning, then
                    decreasing to around 15 knots late in the afternoon.
Haines Index........2 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (MST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........12  13  3   2   3   6   8   19  14  12  20  28
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............41  41  43  50  54  56  58  58  58  57  56  51
RH..............22  22  21  18  14  14  15  16  18  18  19  24
20 FT wind dir..NW  N   NW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..5   5   5   6   6   8   9   10  11  10  9   7
20 FT wind gust.10  11  12  14  16  20  21  21  22  21  19  18
Mix hgt (kft)...0.1 0.1 0.1 1.2 2.3 3.3 3.4 3.6 3.7 2.5 1.4 0.2
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.8   8   8   12  17  21  23  23  22  22  18  13
Haines index....4   3   3   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2

$$
Forecaster...RASMUSSEN
Requested by...Jo Decker
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2427260.0/TWC
.DELDT 11/23/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL azphc@firenet.gov

Visit us on Facebook...Twitter...YouTube...and at weather.gov/Tucson