367
FNUS75 KTWC 281302
FWSTWC

Spot Forecast for RX Malay Gap...San Carlos Agency
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
602 AM MST Thu Nov 28 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0630 MST on November 28.

.DISCUSSION...

Slightly cooler temperatures today with temperatures increasing
Friday into the weekend. Minimum relative humidities will be
highest today and tomorrow ranging from 35-42%. Surface winds will
be lighter with Westerly winds in the afternoon, switching to the
Northwest overnight.

.THANKSGIVING DAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....51-54 degrees.
Min humidity........42-45 percent.
20-foot winds.......North winds up to 5 mph shifting to the west 5
                    to 7 mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Mixing height.......1800 ft AGL increasing to 6400 ft AGL
                    early in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....North 5 to 6 knots shifting to the west 5 to 14
                    knots in the late morning and afternoon.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (MST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........28  20  10  14  32  49  57  52  44  31  24  25
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............34  34  35  42  46  49  50  52  51  51  49  45
RH..............86  84  83  69  59  52  50  46  44  43  46  52
20 FT wind dir..N   N   N   N   SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..2   2   2   2   2   4   5   5   5   5   4   3
20 FT wind gust.6   6   7   6   7   10  10  10  11  11  10  10
Mix hgt (kft)...0.1 0.1 0.2 1.8 3.4 5.0 5.5 5.9 6.4 4.3 2.2 0.1
Transp wind dir.N   N   N   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.6   5   5   5   7   10  12  13  14  12  11  8
Haines index....2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....29-32 degrees.
Max humidity........74-77 percent.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds up to 5 mph shifting to the
                    northeast 5 to 6 mph, then shifting to the east
                    up to 5 mph early in the morning.
Mixing height.......100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 6 knots shifting to the
                    northeast 6 to 8 knots in the evening and
                    overnight, then shifting to the east 6 to 7
                    knots after 3 am.
Haines Index........2 to 3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (MST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........10  10  9   11  22  19  32  25  33  32  50  55
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............41  39  37  35  34  33  33  33  32  31  31  31
RH..............59  65  69  71  71  72  71  71  72  73  75  71
20 FT wind dir..NW  N   NE  NE  N   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  E
20 FT wind spd..2   2   3   3   3   3   4   3   3   3   3   3
20 FT wind gust.8   8   10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  8
Mix hgt (kft)...0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Transp wind dir.NW  N   N   N   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  E   E   E
Transp wind spd.6   6   8   8   7   6   8   7   6   6   7   7
Haines index....2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   3   3

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....50-53 degrees.
Min humidity........36-39 percent.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds up to 5 mph shifting to the
                    south 5 to 6 mph in the late morning and early
                    afternoon, then shifting to the southwest late
in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......1100 ft AGL increasing to 4400 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
Transport winds.....East 6 to 7 knots shifting to the south 6 to 9
                    knots in the late morning and afternoon, then
                    shifting to the southwest around 5 knots late
                    in the afternoon.
Haines Index........2 to 3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (MST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........65  76  69  62  67  71  73  78  80  81  83  84
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............30  31  33  40  45  48  50  50  50  49  48  45
RH..............75  74  67  57  50  44  40  38  37  37  39  43
20 FT wind dir..NE  NE  NE  E   SE  S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..3   3   3   3   4   4   4   4   4   3   3   2
20 FT wind gust.8   8   10  10  10  10  10  8   8   7   7   6
Mix hgt (kft)...0.1 0.1 0.1 1.1 2.2 3.2 3.6 4.0 4.4 3.0 1.6 0.1
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   SE  S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd.7   7   7   6   8   9   9   8   8   7   6   5
Haines index....3   3   3   3   3   3   3   2   2   2   2   2

$$
Forecaster...TETRAULT
Requested by...Christine Thompson
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2427276.4/TWC
.DELDT 11/28/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL azphc@firenet.gov

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