Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ

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729
FNUS75 KTWC 300003
FWSTWC

Spot Forecast for Clear Cut...USFS
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
503 PM MST Tue Jul 29 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1700 MST on July 29.

.DISCUSSION...

As of 1700 MST there are some showers to the northeast of the fire
site. With these storms expect locally heavy rainfall and gusty
outflow winds. The storms will generally be moving to the southwest
and will dissipate by 2000 MST. Other than winds associated with
thunderstorms and showers, wind will be from the southwest at 5 to
10 MPH. Overnight, winds will be from the southwest up to 5 MPH.
Overnight low temperatures will be around 50 degrees with maximum
RH of 89 percent.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Max temperature.....78-81 degrees.
Min humidity........31-34 percent.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......4300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 12 knots.

TIME (MST)      5PM
Sky (%).........82
Weather cov.....CHC
Weather type....RW
Tstm cov........CHC
CWR.............40
Temp............73
RH..............39
20 FT wind dir..SW
20 FT wind spd..4
20 FT wind gust.10
Mix hgt (kft)...4.3
Transp wind dir.W
Transp wind spd.12

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy then becoming partly cloudy.
Chance of showers and thunderstorms
                    early in the evening.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent decreasing to 10 percent early in
                    the evening.
Min temperature.....48-51 degrees.
Max humidity........86-89 percent.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds up to 5 mph early in the
                    evening becoming light. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms early in the
                    evening.
Mixing height.......900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 8 to 9 knots shifting to the west
                    around 5 knots.

TIME (MST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........83  73  58  50  53  59  44  33  35  24  33  26
Weather cov.....CHC CHC
Weather type....RW  RW
Tstm cov........CHC CHC
CWR.............40  40  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  0
Temp............71  69  64  61  59  57  55  54  52  52  51  50
RH..............44  47  57  64  71  72  76  78  81  85  87  85
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..2   2   2   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
20 FT wind gust.8   6   6   5   5   5   4   4   4   4   4   4
Mix hgt (kft)...2.2 1.6 0.9 0.9 0.9 1.0 0.9 1.0 1.0 0.9 1.0 1.0
Transp wind dir.W   SW  S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   NW
Transp wind spd.9   8   7   7   6   5   6   5   5   5   5   5

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny then becoming mostly cloudy. Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms late in the morning.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent increasing to 50 percent late in
                    the afternoon.
Max temperature.....81-84 degrees.
Min humidity........24-27 percent.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming northwest up to 5 mph late
                    in the morning, then shifting to the
                    southeast late in the afternoon. Gusty and
erratic winds expected near thunderstorms late
in the morning.
Mixing height.......2100 ft AGL increasing to 11700 ft AGL
                    late in the morning decreasing to 4800 ft AGL
late in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....North 4 to 8 knots shifting to the northeast 6
                    to 8 knots late in the morning, then shifting
                    to the south 8 to 9 knots late in the
                    afternoon.

TIME (MST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........40  22  20  10  17  52  52  52  67  75  72  87
Weather cov.....                    CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....                    RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                    CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   30  30  30  50  50  50  40
Temp............50  56  64  72  75  79  79  79  80  75  75  75
RH..............85  71  52  38  31  25  26  26  26  32  32  34
20 FT wind dir..SE  E   NE  NW  W   SW  SW  SW  SW  SE  W   S
20 FT wind spd..1   1   1   2   2   3   3   4   4   4   4   4
20 FT wind gust.4   4   6   6   7   10  8   8   10  10  10  10
Mix hgt (kft)...1.0 0.9 2.1 4.5 7.2 10  12  12  7.8 4.8 4.8 3.9
Transp wind dir.NW  N   N   N   N   NE  NE  NE  S   SE  S   SW
Transp wind spd.4   4   5   6   8   8   7   6   8   9   9   9

$$
Forecaster...MALARKEY
Requested by...Lopez
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2518844.0/TWC
.DELDT 07/29/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL christopher.lopez3@usda.gov

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