Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ

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195
FNUS75 KTWC 241519
FWSTWC

Spot Forecast for RX Malay Gap...San Carlos Agency
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
819 AM MST Sun Nov 24 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 MST on November 24.

.DISCUSSION...Expect high clouds moving through over the next
couple of days with high temperatures in the 50s. Winds will be
breezy today out of the W/SW 10-15 mph with gusts to 25 mph
in the afternoon. Overnight, winds turn northerly becoming
westerly again Monday afternoon. Min RH will be in the low teens
today improving to the low 20s Monday.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....55-58 degrees.
Min humidity........13-16 percent.
20-foot winds.......West southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up to
                    25 mph in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......3500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 7 to 11 knots increasing to 18 to 24 knots
                    in the late morning and afternoon, then
                    decreasing to around 13 knots late in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........2 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (MST)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........38  17  6   7   8   10  9   11  10  23
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............39  46  51  53  55  55  55  54  52  47
RH..............23  19  15  14  15  16  19  19  21  25
20 FT wind dir..W   SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..6   7   9   12  12  12  14  13  11  9
20 FT wind gust.10  13  17  21  20  20  23  20  18  17
Mix hgt (kft)...0.1 1.2 2.3 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.5 2.4 1.3 0.2
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.7   11  18  21  23  24  24  22  21  13
Haines index....4   3   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....34-37 degrees.
Max humidity........54-57 percent.
20-foot winds.......West winds 6 to 11 mph shifting to the north 5
                    to 8 mph in the late evening and overnight.
Mixing height.......100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 8 to 10 knots.
Haines Index........2 to 3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (MST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........22  22  28  26  25  29  39  40  50  42  49  47
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............44  41  39  38  38  37  37  36  35  36  35  35
RH..............29  33  36  38  40  44  47  49  55  53  55  55
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   N   N   NW  N   N   NW  N   N   NW
20 FT wind spd..8   6   6   5   5   4   4   4   4   4   4   3
20 FT wind gust.14  14  10  13  14  10  11  10  8   8   10  10
Mix hgt (kft)...0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   W   W   W   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
Transp wind spd.10  10  9   9   9   8   8   10  10  9   9   9
Haines index....2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   3   3

.MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....56-59 degrees.
Min humidity........21-24 percent.
20-foot winds.......North winds 5 to 7 mph shifting to the west 5
                    to 10 mph late in the morning into the afternoon.
Mixing height.......3700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 7 to 15 knots.
Haines Index........2 to 3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (MST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........52  56  56  51  45  41  38  40  47  54  61  63
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............35  35  38  45  49  53  55  56  56  55  53  50
RH..............52  50  48  36  30  24  22  22  23  24  27  29
20 FT wind dir..N   NW  NW  NW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..3   5   3   3   4   5   6   8   8   9   6   5
20 FT wind gust.8   8   6   7   10  10  11  13  14  15  10  8
Mix hgt (kft)...0.1 0.1 0.1 1.1 2.0 3.0 3.2 3.5 3.7 2.5 1.3 0.1
Transp wind dir.NW  NW  NW  NW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.9   7   7   7   10  13  14  14  15  13  12  10
Haines index....3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2

$$
Forecaster...HARDIN
Requested by...Christine Thompson
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2427276.0/TWC
.DELDT 11/24/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL azphc@firenet.gov

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