166
FNUS75 KTWC 201819
FWSTWC

Spot Forecast for Point of Pines Creek...BIA
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
1119 AM MST Wed Aug 20 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1200 MST on August 20.

.DISCUSSION...

Expect daily chances for thunderstorms and wetting rain showers
into next week. Min RHs will generally be and 25-35 in the higher
elevations. Winds will generally be less than 15 mph with typical
afternoon gusts up to 20 mph into next week. Winds will be gusty
and erratic in and around thunderstorm activity. Temperatures will
be above normal this week, with an Extreme Heat Warning in the
lower elevations of Southeast Arizona today through Friday.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny. Chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms early in the afternoon, then
                    showers and thunderstorms likely late in the
                    afternoon. Chance of showers and thunderstorms
                    late in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent increasing to 60 percent late in the
                    afternoon, then decreasing to 30 percent late
                    in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....88-91 degrees.
Min humidity........30-33 percent.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 6 to 11 mph shifting to the
                    north 5 to 8 mph late in the afternoon. Gusty
                    and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......9800 ft AGL decreasing to 4200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 6 to 13 knots.

TIME (MST)      5 AM      8 AM
Sky (%).........52        71
Weather cov.....CHANCE    LIKELY
Weather type....RNSHWR    RNSHWR
Tstm cov........CHANCE    LIKELY
CWR.............30        60
Temp............88        87
RH..............33        33
20 FT wind......SE 8G13   S 6G11
Mix hgt (ft)....8800      7200
Transport wind..E 12      SE 11

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy then becoming partly cloudy.
                    Chance of showers and thunderstorms early in
                    the evening.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent decreasing to 10 percent.
Min temperature.....68-71 degrees.
Max humidity........52-55 percent.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph shifting to the
                    east overnight. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms in the evening.
Mixing height.......3100 ft AGL decreasing to 300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 6 to 8 knots.

TIME (MST)      11 AM     2 PM      5 PM      8 PM
Sky (%).........56        43        12        24
Weather cov.....CHANCE    S CHC
Weather type....RNSHWR    RNSHWR    NONE      NONE
Tstm cov........CHANCE    S CHC
CWR.............30        10        10        0
Temp............79        73        72        70
RH..............44        50        51        51
20 FT wind......NE 5G10   NE 5G10   NE 6G12   E 6G11
Mix hgt (ft)....3100      300       400       400
Transport wind..E 6       E 6       E 7       E 7

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny then becoming partly sunny. Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms late in the morning.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent increasing to 50 percent late in the
                    morning, then decreasing to 30 percent late in
                    the afternoon.
Max temperature.....88-91 degrees.
Min humidity........30-33 percent.
20-foot winds.......East winds 5 to 10 mph shifting to the
                    northeast. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms late in the morning.
Mixing height.......1600 ft AGL increasing to 5400 ft AGL late in
                    the morning, then increasing to 7100 ft AGL
                    late in the morning decreasing to 4900 ft AGL
                    late in the afternoon decreasing to 2300 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....East 7 to 9 knots shifting to the north 5 to 10
                    knots in the afternoon.

TIME (MST)      11 PM     2 AM      5 AM      8 AM
Sky (%).........18        9         66        66
Weather cov.....                    CHANCE    CHANCE
Weather type....NONE      NONE      RNSHWR    RNSHWR
Tstm cov........                    CHANCE    CHANCE
CWR.............0         0         50        50
Temp............70        81        88        87
RH..............53        39        31        35
20 FT wind......E 6G10    SE 6G10   SE 6G11   N 4G8
Mix hgt (ft)....300       3600      6800      4900
Transport wind..E 7       SE 7      E 9       N 8

$$
Forecaster...SINGER
Requested by...IC
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2520326.0/TWC
.DELDT 08/20/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL azphc@firenet.gov

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