Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ
580
FNUS55 KTWC 170939
FWFTWC
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Arizona
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
239 AM MST Sat May 17 2025
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 8 PM MST SUNDAY...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH
MONDAY EVENING...
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
20-FOOT WIND FORECAST OF `LIGHT WINDS` INDICATES MAINLY
TERRAIN DRIVEN WINDS
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
.DISCUSSION...
High temperatures will be near normal today with typical
breezes for much of southeast Arizona, with breezy conditions
persisting across Cochise, Graham and Greenlee counties where
20-foot wind speeds will be around 15 mph and gusts up to 25-30
mph during the mid/late afternoon hours, bringing near critical
fire weather conditions.
Sunday winds of 15 to 25 mph with gusts of 30 to 45 mph are
expected, with a Red Flag Warning in effect from 10 AM to 8 PM on
Sunday. Monday is now looking to be the windiest of the period
across the Gila Valley of Graham, Greenlee, and far eastern Pinal
counties with winds 20 to 30 mph and gusts around 40 mph. An
increase in relative humidity is expected, but still remain close
to critical fire weather condiitons so a Fire Weather Watch has
been issued from 10 AM to 8 PM Monday.
Temperatures will be 2 to 4 degrees below normal Sunday, lowering
to 9 to 12 degrees below normal next Monday, warming to well
above normal levels by the middle of next week.
AZZ150-172215-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 150
Sonoran FDRA-Most of Pima County-South Central Pinal County-
Tohono O`odham Nation-Tucson Metropolitan area-TDC-
239 AM MST Sat May 17 2025
.TODAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny (10-20 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Max Temperature..........81 to 91 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 3 to 6 degs.
* Min Humidity.............10 to 20 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 5 to 9 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 20 to 25 mph.
* Mixing height............10127 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........South 17 to 20 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (202540 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly clear (10-20 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Min Temperature..........51 to 61 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 deg.
* Max Humidity.............42 to 52 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 9 to 13 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 30 to 35 mph.
.SUNDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny (5-15 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Max Temperature..........78 to 88 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 degs.
* Min Humidity.............13 to 23 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest 15 to 20 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........West around 35 mph decreasing to around
20 mph in the afternoon.
* Mixing height............9012 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........Southwest 15 to 18 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (162216 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.MONDAY...Clear. Lows 51 to 61. Highs 80 to 90. Southwest wind
around 20 mph. Minimum Humidity 9 to 17 pct.
.TUESDAY...Clear. Lows 52 to 62. Highs 86 to 96. Light winds.
Minimum Humidity 5 to 9 pct.
.WEDNESDAY...Clear. Lows 57 to 67. Highs 93 to 103. Light winds.
Minimum Humidity 3 to 7 pct.
.THURSDAY...Clear. Lows 62 to 72. Highs 96 to 106.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 63 to 73. Highs 95 to 105.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 150 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE TUCSON INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT
LOCATION (2550 MSL)
$$
AZZ151-172215-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 151
Western half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to
5500 feet in Southeast corner of Pinal County-
Extreme Eastern Pima County-Western third of Cochise County-
Santa Cruz County-TDC-
239 AM MST Sat May 17 2025
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 8 PM MST SUNDAY...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH
MONDAY EVENING...
.TODAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (25-35 pct) then becoming
mostly sunny (15-25 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Max Temperature..........78 to 88 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 2 to 5 degs.
* Min Humidity.............5 to 11 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South 15 to 20 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 25 to 30 mph.
* Mixing height............7247 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........Southwest 22 to 24 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (173928 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly clear (10-20 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Min Temperature..........46 to 56 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 degs.
* Max Humidity.............28 to 38 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 6 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest around 30 mph increasing to
around 40 mph after midnight.
.SUNDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny (5-15 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Max Temperature..........74 to 84 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 2 to 5 degs.
* Min Humidity.............12 to 22 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 7 to 11 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest 10 to 20 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest around 40 mph becoming west
around 25 mph in the afternoon.
* Mixing height............7174 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........Southwest 22 to 24 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (172176 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.MONDAY...Clear. Lows 45 to 55. Highs 74 to 84. West wind around
20 mph. Minimum Humidity 12 to 22 pct.
.TUESDAY...Clear. Lows 45 to 55. Highs 81 to 91. Light winds.
Minimum Humidity 6 to 11 pct.
.WEDNESDAY...Clear. Lows 50 to 60. Highs 88 to 98. Light winds.
Minimum Humidity 4 to 9 pct.
.THURSDAY...Clear. Lows 56 to 66. Highs 91 to 101.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 57 to 67. Highs 89 to 99.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 151 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE BUENOS AIRES N.W.R. LOCATION
(3500 MSL)
$$
AZZ152-172215-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 152
Eastern half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to
5500 feet in Southwest Graham County and Eastern two thirds of
Cochise County-Southern San Carlos Reservation-
Southern Greenlee County below 5000 feet-TDC-
239 AM MST Sat May 17 2025
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 8 PM MST SUNDAY...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH
MONDAY EVENING...
.TODAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (30-40 pct) then becoming
mostly sunny (20-30 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Max Temperature..........79 to 89 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 deg.
* Min Humidity.............4 to 10 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South 15 to 20 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 25 to 30 mph.
* Mixing height............10700 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........Southwest 26 to 27 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (288900 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly clear (15-25 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Min Temperature..........46 to 56 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 3 to 6 degs.
* Max Humidity.............23 to 33 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 7 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest 15 to 20 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest around 30 mph increasing to
around 40 mph after midnight.
.SUNDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny (5-15 pct). Patchy blowing
dust.
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Max Temperature..........76 to 86 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 2 to 5 degs.
* Min Humidity.............10 to 20 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 4 to 8 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Breezy. Southwest 15 to 25 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........West around 40 mph decreasing to around
25 mph in the afternoon.
* Mixing height............8886 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........Southwest 24 to 27 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (239922 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.MONDAY...Clear. Patchy blowing dust. Lows 45 to 55. Highs 74 to
84. West wind around 25 mph. Minimum Humidity 10 to 20 pct.
.TUESDAY...Clear. Lows 44 to 54. Highs 80 to 90. Light winds.
Minimum Humidity 6 to 9 pct.
.WEDNESDAY...Clear. Lows 49 to 59. Highs 87 to 97. Light winds.
Minimum Humidity 4 to 7 pct.
.THURSDAY...Clear. Lows 55 to 65. Highs 90 to 100.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 56 to 66. Highs 90 to 100.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 152 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE CHIRICAHUA N.M. LOCATION (5400 MSL)
$$
AZZ153-172215-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 153
Northern Graham County-Northern Greenlee County-
White and Gila Mountains-Apache Sitgreaves NF-
Southern San Carlos Reservation above 5000 feet-SDC-
239 AM MST Sat May 17 2025
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 8 PM MST SUNDAY...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH
MONDAY EVENING...
.TODAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny (20-30 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Max Temperature..........67 to 77 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 degs.
* Min Humidity.............6 to 13 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 1 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 20 to 25 mph.
* Mixing height............10106 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........Southwest 23 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (232438 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly clear (10-20 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Min Temperature..........40 to 50 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 degs.
* Max Humidity.............34 to 44 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 10 to 14 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 30 to 35 mph.
.SUNDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Sunny (0-10 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Max Temperature..........63 to 73 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 3 to 6 degs.
* Min Humidity.............12 to 22 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 5 to 9 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West 15 to 20 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest around 40 mph becoming west
around 30 mph in the afternoon.
* Mixing height............6942 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........West 27 to 28 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (194376 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 38 to 48. Highs 61 to 71. West wind
around 25 mph. Minimum Humidity 15 to 25 pct.
.TUESDAY...Clear. Lows 36 to 46. Highs 71 to 81. Light winds.
Minimum Humidity 6 to 11 pct.
.WEDNESDAY...Clear. Lows 42 to 52. Highs 76 to 86. Light winds.
Minimum Humidity 5 to 8 pct.
.THURSDAY...Clear. Lows 48 to 58. Highs 79 to 89.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 49 to 59. Highs 80 to 90.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 153 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE POINT OF PINES LOCATION (6040 MSL)
$$
AZZ154-172215-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 154
Forest Woodlands FDRA including the Sky Islands of Southeast
Arizona above 5500 feet-Coronado NF-TDC-
239 AM MST Sat May 17 2025
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 8 PM MST SUNDAY...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH
MONDAY EVENING...
.TODAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (30-40 pct) then becoming
mostly sunny (15-25 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Max Temperature..........69 to 79 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 degs.
* Min Humidity.............5 to 11 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest 15 to 20 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 30 to 35 mph.
* Mixing height............11200 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........Southwest 27 to 29 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (313600 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly clear (15-25 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Min Temperature..........43 to 53 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 2 to 5 degs.
* Max Humidity.............23 to 33 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest 10 to 20 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest around 30 mph increasing to
around 40 mph after midnight.
.SUNDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny (5-15 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Max Temperature..........65 to 75 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 2 to 5 degs.
* Min Humidity.............12 to 22 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 7 to 11 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Breezy. Southwest 15 to 25 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........West around 45 mph decreasing to around
25 mph in the afternoon.
* Mixing height............9238 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........Southwest 27 to 28 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (254045 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.MONDAY...Clear. Lows 42 to 52. Highs 64 to 74. West wind around
25 mph. Minimum Humidity 14 to 24 pct.
.TUESDAY...Clear. Lows 42 to 52. Highs 71 to 81. Light winds.
Minimum Humidity 6 to 11 pct.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 47 to 57. Highs 77 to 87. Light
winds. Minimum Humidity 5 to 9 pct.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 53 to 63. Highs 79 to 89.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 54 to 64. Highs 80 to 90.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 154 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE AVERAGE ACROSS THE ZONE
$$
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