Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ
696
FNUS55 KTWC 022219
FWFTWC
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Arizona
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
319 PM MST Wed Jul 2 2025
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20-FOOT WIND FORECAST OF `LIGHT WINDS` INDICATES MAINLY
TERRAIN DRIVEN WINDS
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.DISCUSSION...Near to slightly below normal temperatures through
Saturday as deeper atmospheric moisture moves into Southeast
Arizona, then warming back up Sunday into early next week. Expect
scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms this afternoon into
evening with locally heavy rainfall. Shower and thunderstorm chances
persist Thursday, then some drying will tend to lower thunderstorm
chances to around 15 to 30 percent Friday into the weekend with the
highest chances along the Int`l border. Winds generally light and
under 15 mph with the exception of gusty and erratic winds up to 35-
45 mph near any thunderstorms.
AZZ150-031415-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 150
Sonoran FDRA-Most of Pima County-South Central Pinal County-
Tohono O`odham Nation-Tucson Metropolitan area-TDC-
319 PM MST Wed Jul 2 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (60-70 pct). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........70 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........50 pct.
* Min Temperature..........71 to 81 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 3 to 6 degs.
* Max Humidity.............60 to 70 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 17 to 21 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........West 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (40-50 pct). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........50 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........50 pct.
* Max Temperature..........92 to 102 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 degs.
* Min Humidity.............27 to 37 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 5 to 10 mph.
* Mixing height............9813 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........South 12 to 16 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (157008 knot-ft).
.THURSDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (35-45 pct). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........50 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........50 pct.
* Min Temperature..........70 to 80 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............53 to 63 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 5 to 9 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
.INDEPENDENCE DAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (35-45 pct). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........40 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........40 pct.
* Max Temperature..........93 to 103 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 degs.
* Min Humidity.............23 to 33 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 10 to 15 mph.
* Mixing height............10785 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........Southwest 11 to 17 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (183345 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 71 to 81. Highs 96 to 106. Light winds.
Minimum Humidity 16 to 26 pct.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 72 to 82. Highs 99 to 109. Light winds.
Minimum Humidity 11 to 20 pct.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 74 to 84. Highs 101 to 111. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
11 to 20 pct.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 75 to 85. Highs 101 to 111.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 76 to 86. Highs 101 to 111.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 150 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE TUCSON INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT
LOCATION (2550 MSL)
$$
AZZ151-031415-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 151
Western half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to
5500 feet in Southeast corner of Pinal County-
Extreme Eastern Pima County-Western third of Cochise County-
Santa Cruz County-TDC-
319 PM MST Wed Jul 2 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (70-80 pct). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........90 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........50 pct.
* Min Temperature..........63 to 73 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 2 to 5 degs.
* Max Humidity.............74 to 84 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 17 to 21 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest around 10 mph shifting to the
south after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........West 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (45-55 pct) then becoming
mostly cloudy (60-70 pct). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........80 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........50 pct.
* Max Temperature..........84 to 94 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 3 to 6 degs.
* Min Humidity.............35 to 45 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 5 to 9 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South around 10 mph shifting to the west
in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northwest 5 to 10 mph.
* Mixing height............7897 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........Southwest 9 to 11 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Very good (86867 knot-ft).
.THURSDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (60-70 pct) then becoming
partly cloudy (30-40 pct). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........70 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........20 pct.
* Min Temperature..........63 to 73 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............67 to 77 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 4 to 8 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........West 5 to 10 mph.
.INDEPENDENCE DAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (30-40 pct) then becoming
mostly cloudy (50-60 pct). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........60 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........50 pct.
* Max Temperature..........86 to 96 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 degs.
* Min Humidity.............26 to 36 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 6 to 10 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 5 to 10 mph.
* Mixing height............10366 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........West 9 to 11 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (114026 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 64 to 74. Highs 89 to 99. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
19 to 29 pct.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 66 to 76. Highs 94 to 104. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
14 to 24 pct.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 68 to 78. Highs 95 to 105. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
13 to 23 pct.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 68 to 78. Highs 95 to 105.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 69 to 79. Highs 95 to 105.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 151 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE BUENOS AIRES N.W.R. LOCATION
(3500 MSL)
$$
AZZ152-031415-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 152
Eastern half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to
5500 feet in Southwest Graham County and Eastern two thirds of
Cochise County-Southern San Carlos Reservation-
Southern Greenlee County below 5000 feet-TDC-
319 PM MST Wed Jul 2 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (70-80 pct). Thunderstorms
and chance of showers.
* Chance of Precip.........80 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........80 pct.
* Min Temperature..........64 to 74 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 deg.
* Max Humidity.............72 to 82 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 8 to 12 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northwest 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (55-65 pct). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........80 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........50 pct.
* Max Temperature..........84 to 94 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 degs.
* Min Humidity.............29 to 39 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northwest 10 to 15 mph.
* Mixing height............6818 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........West 8 to 13 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Very good (88634 knot-ft).
.THURSDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (70-80 pct) then becoming
partly cloudy (35-45 pct). Showers and
thunderstorms likely.
* Chance of Precip.........70 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........70 pct.
* Min Temperature..........64 to 74 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............63 to 73 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 8 to 12 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northwest 10 to 15 mph.
.INDEPENDENCE DAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (30-40 pct) then becoming
mostly cloudy (50-60 pct). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........40 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........40 pct.
* Max Temperature..........87 to 97 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 degs.
* Min Humidity.............21 to 31 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 9 to 13 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........West 5 to 10 mph.
* Mixing height............10598 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........West 12 to 13 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (137774 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 64 to 74. Highs 91 to 101. Northwest wind
around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 13 to 23 pct.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 66 to 76. Highs 95 to 105. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
9 to 18 pct.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 68 to 78. Highs 96 to 106. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
10 to 20 pct.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 68 to 78. Highs 96 to 106.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 70 to 80. Highs 96 to 106.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 152 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE CHIRICAHUA N.M. LOCATION (5400 MSL)
$$
AZZ153-031415-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 153
Northern Graham County-Northern Greenlee County-
White and Gila Mountains-Apache Sitgreaves NF-
Southern San Carlos Reservation above 5000 feet-SDC-
319 PM MST Wed Jul 2 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (70-80 pct). Showers and
thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........90 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........90 pct.
* Min Temperature..........55 to 65 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............77 to 87 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 6 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West around 10 mph in the evening
becoming light.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........West 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (65-75 pct). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........80 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........50 pct.
* Max Temperature..........74 to 84 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 degs.
* Min Humidity.............37 to 47 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Light winds becoming west around 10 mph
in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northwest 10 to 15 mph.
* Mixing height............7822 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........Northwest 9 to 14 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (109508 knot-ft).
.THURSDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (60-70 pct) then becoming
mostly clear (15-25 pct). Showers and
thunderstorms likely.
* Chance of Precip.........60 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........60 pct.
* Min Temperature..........55 to 65 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............64 to 74 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 9 to 13 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Northwest around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northwest 15 to 20 mph.
.INDEPENDENCE DAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny (5-15 pct) then becoming
partly cloudy (35-45 pct). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........30 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........30 pct.
* Max Temperature..........79 to 89 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 6 degs.
* Min Humidity.............19 to 29 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 14 to 18 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........West 5 to 10 mph.
* Mixing height............10210 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........Northwest 11 to 13 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (132730 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 56 to 66. Highs 83 to 93. Light winds.
Minimum Humidity 12 to 21 pct.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 59 to 69. Highs 85 to 95. Light winds.
Minimum Humidity 10 to 18 pct.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 61 to 71. Highs 86 to 96. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
13 to 22 pct.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 61 to 71. Highs 86 to 96.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 62 to 72. Highs 87 to 97.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 153 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE POINT OF PINES LOCATION (6040 MSL)
$$
AZZ154-031415-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 154
Forest Woodlands FDRA including the Sky Islands of Southeast
Arizona above 5500 feet-Coronado NF-TDC-
319 PM MST Wed Jul 2 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (75-85 pct). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........90 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........50 pct.
* Min Temperature..........57 to 67 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 deg.
* Max Humidity.............75 to 85 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 9 to 13 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northwest 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (55-65 pct). Showers and
thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........80 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........80 pct.
* Max Temperature..........73 to 83 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 2 to 5 degs.
* Min Humidity.............43 to 53 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 7 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northwest 10 to 15 mph.
* Mixing height............8534 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........West 8 to 13 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Very good (89607 knot-ft).
.THURSDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (65-75 pct) then becoming
partly cloudy (35-45 pct). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........70 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........20 pct.
* Min Temperature..........58 to 68 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............68 to 78 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 5 to 9 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........West 10 to 15 mph.
.INDEPENDENCE DAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (30-40 pct) then becoming
mostly cloudy (65-75 pct). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........60 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........50 pct.
* Max Temperature..........76 to 86 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 degs.
* Min Humidity.............32 to 42 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 11 to 15 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........West 5 to 10 mph.
* Mixing height............10320 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........West 10 to 12 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (113520 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 60 to 70. Highs 80 to 90. Northwest wind
around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 20 to 30 pct.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 62 to 72. Highs 84 to 94. Northwest wind around 15 mph.
Minimum Humidity 15 to 25 pct.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 64 to 74. Highs 85 to 95. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
15 to 25 pct.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 64 to 74. Highs 85 to 95.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 65 to 75. Highs 86 to 96.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 154 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE AVERAGE ACROSS THE ZONE
$$
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