Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ
511
FNUS55 KTWC 042119
FWFTWC
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Arizona
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
219 PM MST Fri Jul 4 2025
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20-FOOT WIND FORECAST OF `LIGHT WINDS` INDICATES MAINLY
TERRAIN DRIVEN WINDS
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.DISCUSSION...Slightly below normal temperatures this afternoon,
then warming back this weekend into next week with the potential
for very hot temperatures to return the middle of next week.
Expect isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms this
afternoon into this evening mainly south and southeast of Tucson.
A decrease in thunderstorm activity is expected this weekend as
the area transitions into a low grade monsoon pattern. An eventual
uptick in monsoon activity is possible the middle of next week
but will be dependent on how quick the high pressure aloft shifts
north. Winds generally light and under 15 mph with the exception
of gusty and erratic winds up to 35-45 mph near any thunderstorms.
AZZ150-051415-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 150
Sonoran FDRA-Most of Pima County-South Central Pinal County-
Tohono O`odham Nation-Tucson Metropolitan area-TDC-
219 PM MST Fri Jul 4 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (35-45 pct). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........20 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........20 pct.
* Min Temperature..........72 to 82 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 degs.
* Max Humidity.............58 to 68 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 18 to 22 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest around 10 mph shifting to the
southeast after midnight.
.SATURDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (35-45 pct). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........20 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........20 pct.
* Max Temperature..........95 to 105 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 degs.
* Min Humidity.............21 to 31 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 3 to 6 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South around 10 mph shifting to the west
in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 10 to 15 mph.
* Mixing height............8792 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........Southwest 8 to 11 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Very good (96712 knot-ft).
.SATURDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (30-40 pct). Chance of
showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........30 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........20 pct.
* Min Temperature..........73 to 83 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 1 deg.
* Max Humidity.............38 to 48 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 18 to 22 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny (5-15 pct) then becoming
partly cloudy (25-35 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........10 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Max Temperature..........99 to 109 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 7 degs.
* Min Humidity.............14 to 24 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 6 to 10 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Light winds becoming west around 10 mph
in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
* Mixing height............10035 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........North 6 knots shifting to the west 10
knots in the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (100350 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 75 to 85. Highs 100 to 110. Light winds.
Minimum Humidity 12 to 20 pct.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of thunderstorms and slight
chance of showers. Lows 75 to 85. Highs 100 to 110. Light winds.
Minimum Humidity 14 to 24 pct.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of thunderstorms and slight
chance of showers. Lows 77 to 87. Highs 102 to 112. West wind
around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 13 to 23 pct.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 77 to 87. Highs 100 to 110.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 76 to 86. Highs 99 to 109.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 150 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE TUCSON INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT
LOCATION (2550 MSL)
$$
AZZ151-051415-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 151
Western half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to
5500 feet in Southeast corner of Pinal County-
Extreme Eastern Pima County-Western third of Cochise County-
Santa Cruz County-TDC-
219 PM MST Fri Jul 4 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (30-40 pct). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........30 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........30 pct.
* Min Temperature..........65 to 75 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 degs.
* Max Humidity.............69 to 79 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 10 to 14 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northwest 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny (20-30 pct) then becoming
partly cloudy (35-45 pct). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........20 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........20 pct.
* Max Temperature..........88 to 98 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 degs.
* Min Humidity.............24 to 34 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 3 to 6 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........West 5 to 10 mph.
* Mixing height............8029 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........Northwest 10 to 13 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (104377 knot-ft).
.SATURDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (25-35 pct). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........20 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........20 pct.
* Min Temperature..........66 to 76 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 degs.
* Max Humidity.............46 to 56 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 21 to 25 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northwest around 5 mph shifting to the
south after midnight.
.SUNDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny (5-15 pct) then becoming
partly cloudy (30-40 pct). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........30 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........30 pct.
* Max Temperature..........93 to 103 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 7 degs.
* Min Humidity.............15 to 25 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 8 to 12 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Light winds becoming west around 15 mph
in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 5 to 10 mph.
* Mixing height............9341 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........Northwest 7 knots shifting to the west
13 knots in the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (121433 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 68 to 78. Highs 94 to 104. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
15 to 25 pct.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 69 to 79. Highs 95 to 105. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
14 to 24 pct.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 70 to 80. Highs 96 to 106. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
13 to 23 pct.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 69 to 79. Highs 94 to 104.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 68 to 78. Highs 93 to 103.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 151 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE BUENOS AIRES N.W.R. LOCATION
(3500 MSL)
$$
AZZ152-051415-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 152
Eastern half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to
5500 feet in Southwest Graham County and Eastern two thirds of
Cochise County-Southern San Carlos Reservation-
Southern Greenlee County below 5000 feet-TDC-
219 PM MST Fri Jul 4 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (30-40 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........10 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Min Temperature..........64 to 74 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 degs.
* Max Humidity.............57 to 67 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 18 to 22 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northwest 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny (15-25 pct) then becoming
partly cloudy (25-35 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........10 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Max Temperature..........90 to 100 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 6 degs.
* Min Humidity.............16 to 26 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 5 to 9 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northwest 5 to 10 mph.
* Mixing height............9811 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........Northwest 12 to 13 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (127543 knot-ft).
.SATURDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (20-30 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........10 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Min Temperature..........66 to 76 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 degs.
* Max Humidity.............41 to 51 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 14 to 18 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........West 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny (5-15 pct) then becoming
partly cloudy (30-40 pct). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........10 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........10 pct.
* Max Temperature..........94 to 104 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 6 degs.
* Min Humidity.............12 to 22 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 3 to 6 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........West 5 to 10 mph.
* Mixing height............12041 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........West 9 to 13 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (156533 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 68 to 78. Highs 95 to 105. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
12 to 22 pct.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 68 to 78. Highs 96 to 106. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
11 to 21 pct.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 69 to 79. Highs 98 to 108. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
10 to 19 pct.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 69 to 79. Highs 96 to 106.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 69 to 79. Highs 95 to 105.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 152 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE CHIRICAHUA N.M. LOCATION (5400 MSL)
$$
AZZ153-051415-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 153
Northern Graham County-Northern Greenlee County-
White and Gila Mountains-Apache Sitgreaves NF-
Southern San Carlos Reservation above 5000 feet-SDC-
219 PM MST Fri Jul 4 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly clear (15-25 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Min Temperature..........55 to 65 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 degs.
* Max Humidity.............48 to 58 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 21 to 25 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Northwest 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northwest around 15 mph decreasing to
around 5 mph after midnight.
.SATURDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny (15-25 pct) then becoming
partly cloudy (25-35 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........10 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Max Temperature..........83 to 93 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 6 degs.
* Min Humidity.............13 to 23 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 3 to 7 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Northwest around 10 mph shifting to the
southwest in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northeast around 5 mph shifting to the
southwest in the afternoon.
* Mixing height............9292 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........North 11 knots shifting to the southwest
14 knots in the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (130088 knot-ft).
.SATURDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (30-40 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........10 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Min Temperature..........59 to 69 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 degs.
* Max Humidity.............40 to 50 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 9 to 13 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northwest 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny (10-20 pct) then becoming
partly cloudy (25-35 pct). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........20 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........20 pct.
* Max Temperature..........86 to 96 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 degs.
* Min Humidity.............12 to 21 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 5 to 10 mph.
* Mixing height............11050 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........North 8 knots shifting to the southwest
14 knots in the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (154700 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 60 to 70. Highs 85 to 95. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
14 to 22 pct.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 61 to 71. Highs 87 to 97. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
13 to 22 pct.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 62 to 72. Highs 89 to 99. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
11 to 18 pct.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 62 to 72. Highs 88 to 98.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 61 to 71. Highs 88 to 98.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 153 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE POINT OF PINES LOCATION (6040 MSL)
$$
AZZ154-051415-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 154
Forest Woodlands FDRA including the Sky Islands of Southeast
Arizona above 5500 feet-Coronado NF-TDC-
219 PM MST Fri Jul 4 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (30-40 pct). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........20 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........20 pct.
* Min Temperature..........59 to 69 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 6 degs.
* Max Humidity.............63 to 73 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 14 to 18 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northwest 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny (15-25 pct) then becoming
partly cloudy (35-45 pct). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........20 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........20 pct.
* Max Temperature..........79 to 89 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 6 degs.
* Min Humidity.............27 to 37 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 3 to 7 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northwest 5 to 10 mph.
* Mixing height............10206 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........Northwest 11 to 12 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (117369 knot-ft).
.SATURDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (25-35 pct). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........20 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........20 pct.
* Min Temperature..........62 to 72 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 degs.
* Max Humidity.............42 to 52 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 19 to 23 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northwest around 5 mph shifting to the
southwest after midnight.
.SUNDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny (5-15 pct) then becoming
partly cloudy (35-45 pct). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........20 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........20 pct.
* Max Temperature..........84 to 94 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 6 degs.
* Min Humidity.............18 to 28 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 6 to 10 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 5 to 10 mph.
* Mixing height............11981 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........West 8 to 12 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (119810 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 64 to 74. Highs 85 to 95. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
17 to 27 pct.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 64 to 74. Highs 85 to 95. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
16 to 26 pct.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 65 to 75. Highs 87 to 97. Northwest wind around 15 mph.
Minimum Humidity 14 to 24 pct.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 65 to 75. Highs 85 to 95.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 64 to 74. Highs 84 to 94.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 154 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE AVERAGE ACROSS THE ZONE
$$
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