Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ
599
FNUS55 KTWC 162205
FWFTWC
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Arizona
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
305 PM MST Sun Nov 16 2025
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20-FOOT WIND FORECAST OF `LIGHT WINDS` INDICATES MAINLY
TERRAIN DRIVEN WINDS
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.DISCUSSION...
A storm system will weaken and move out of the area
this evening, with light winds and decreasing cloud cover
overnight. Another system will follow and move over the area
later Tuesday and especially Wednesday-Thursday of next week. This
feature will bring another round of precipitation across
Southeast Arizona, well below normal temperatures and breezy south
to southwest winds. RH values will increase 5 to 10 percent
Wednesday, with Min RH values 30-40 percent in the valleys and
60-70+ percent in the mountains, which is well above critical
levels.
AZZ150-171415-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 150
Sonoran FDRA-Most of Pima County-South Central Pinal County-
Tohono O`odham Nation-Tucson Metropolitan area-TDC-
305 PM MST Sun Nov 16 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (35-45 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........10 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Min Temperature..........46 to 56 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 4 to 8 degs.
* Max Humidity.............86 to 96 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 7 to 11 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest around 15 mph in the evening
becoming light.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 20 to 25 mph.
.MONDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (35-45 pct) then becoming
mostly cloudy (45-55 pct). Slight chance
of showers.
* Chance of Precip.........20 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Max Temperature..........65 to 75 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Min Humidity.............46 to 56 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 6 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 20 to 25 mph.
* Mixing height............5589 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........South 10 to 13 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Very good (72657 knot-ft).
.MONDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (55-65 pct). Chance of
showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........40 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........20 pct.
* Min Temperature..........49 to 59 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 degs.
* Max Humidity.............86 to 96 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest around 20 mph increasing to
south around 30 mph after midnight.
.TUESDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (70-80 pct). Chance of
showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........60 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........20 pct.
* Max Temperature..........61 to 71 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 3 to 6 degs.
* Min Humidity.............52 to 62 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 4 to 8 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South 15 to 20 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 35 to 40 mph.
* Mixing height............7324 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........South 22 to 25 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (183100 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance
of thunderstorms. Lows 46 to 56. Highs 56 to 66. Light winds.
Minimum Humidity 52 to 62 pct.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows 39 to
49. Highs 55 to 65. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 46 to 56 pct.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows 39 to 49.
Highs 56 to 66. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 45 to 55 pct.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows 40 to
50. Highs 60 to 70.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 40 to 50. Highs 62 to 72.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 150 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE TUCSON INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT
LOCATION (2550 MSL)
$$
AZZ151-171415-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 151
Western half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to
5500 feet in Southeast corner of Pinal County-
Extreme Eastern Pima County-Western third of Cochise County-
Santa Cruz County-TDC-
305 PM MST Sun Nov 16 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (35-45 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Min Temperature..........39 to 49 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 6 to 10 degs.
* Max Humidity.............87 to 97 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 9 to 13 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West around 15 mph in the evening
becoming light.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 25 to 30 mph.
.MONDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (35-45 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........10 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Max Temperature..........61 to 71 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Min Humidity.............41 to 51 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 4 to 8 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southeast around 10 mph shifting to the
southwest in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 20 to 25 mph.
* Mixing height............5353 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........South 8 to 13 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Good (69589 knot-ft).
.MONDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (55-65 pct). Slight chance
of showers.
* Chance of Precip.........20 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Min Temperature..........42 to 52 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 degs.
* Max Humidity.............83 to 93 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest around 20 mph increasing to
around 30 mph after midnight.
.TUESDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (65-75 pct). Chance of
showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........40 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........20 pct.
* Max Temperature..........59 to 69 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 degs.
* Min Humidity.............48 to 58 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 5 to 9 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South 15 to 20 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 30 to 35 mph.
* Mixing height............5553 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........South 21 to 25 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (138825 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance
of thunderstorms. Lows 41 to 51. Highs 53 to 63. South wind
around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 54 to 64 pct.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows 35 to 45. Highs 51 to 61. Light winds.
Minimum Humidity 52 to 62 pct.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows 33 to 43.
Highs 52 to 62. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 46 to 56 pct.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows 34 to
44. Highs 56 to 66.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows 35 to 45.
Highs 59 to 69.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 151 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE BUENOS AIRES N.W.R. LOCATION
(3500 MSL)
$$
AZZ152-171415-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 152
Eastern half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to
5500 feet in Southwest Graham County and Eastern two thirds of
Cochise County-Southern San Carlos Reservation-
Southern Greenlee County below 5000 feet-TDC-
305 PM MST Sun Nov 16 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (35-45 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........10 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Min Temperature..........39 to 49 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 4 to 8 degs.
* Max Humidity.............84 to 94 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 10 to 14 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Northwest 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 30 to 35 mph.
.MONDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (30-40 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Max Temperature..........60 to 70 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 2 to 5 degs.
* Min Humidity.............43 to 53 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 3 to 7 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Light winds becoming southwest around 10
mph in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 20 to 25 mph.
* Mixing height............5320 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........South 6 to 12 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Good (63840 knot-ft).
.MONDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (55-65 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Min Temperature..........41 to 51 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 degs.
* Max Humidity.............78 to 88 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 8 to 12 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest around 10 mph shifting to the
southeast after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 20 to 25 mph.
.TUESDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (65-75 pct). Chance of
showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........20 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........20 pct.
* Max Temperature..........59 to 69 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 deg.
* Min Humidity.............45 to 55 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 6 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 25 to 30 mph.
* Mixing height............5780 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........South 17 to 21 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (121380 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance
of thunderstorms. Lows 41 to 51. Highs 54 to 64. South wind
around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 51 to 61 pct.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows 35 to 45.
Highs 50 to 60. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 50 to 60 pct.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows 32 to 42.
Highs 51 to 61. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 44 to 54 pct.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows 34 to
44. Highs 55 to 65.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows 34 to 44.
Highs 57 to 67.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 152 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE CHIRICAHUA N.M. LOCATION (5400 MSL)
$$
AZZ153-171415-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 153
Northern Graham County-Northern Greenlee County-
White and Gila Mountains-Apache Sitgreaves NF-
Southern San Carlos Reservation above 5000 feet-SDC-
305 PM MST Sun Nov 16 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (45-55 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........10 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Min Temperature..........32 to 42 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 5 to 9 degs.
* Max Humidity.............85 to 95 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 13 to 17 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 25 to 30 mph.
.MONDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (35-45 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Max Temperature..........49 to 59 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 degs.
* Min Humidity.............49 to 59 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 10 to 14 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Light winds becoming southwest around 10
mph in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 15 to 20 mph.
* Mixing height............4489 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........West 9 to 12 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Good (53868 knot-ft).
.MONDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (55-65 pct). Slight chance
of showers.
* Chance of Precip.........10 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Min Temperature..........34 to 44 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 degs.
* Max Humidity.............79 to 89 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 7 to 11 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Light winds.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 15 to 20 mph.
.TUESDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (70-80 pct). Chance of
showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........40 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........20 pct.
* Max Temperature..........48 to 58 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 deg.
* Min Humidity.............56 to 66 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 4 to 8 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 20 to 25 mph.
* Mixing height............4828 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........South 17 to 20 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Very good (96560 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers, snow showers and
slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows 34 to 44. Highs 42 to 52.
Light winds. Minimum Humidity 66 to 76 pct.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers, snow showers and
slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows 29 to 39. Highs 39 to 49.
Light winds. Minimum Humidity 60 to 70 pct.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of rain and snow showers.
Lows 26 to 36. Highs 41 to 51. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
52 to 62 pct.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows 27 to 37. Highs 47 to 57.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 27 to 37. Highs 50 to 60.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 153 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE POINT OF PINES LOCATION (6040 MSL)
$$
AZZ154-171415-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 154
Forest Woodlands FDRA including the Sky Islands of Southeast
Arizona above 5500 feet-Coronado NF-TDC-
305 PM MST Sun Nov 16 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (40-50 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Min Temperature..........35 to 45 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 5 to 9 degs.
* Max Humidity.............84 to 94 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 11 to 15 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 30 to 35 mph.
.MONDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (30-40 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Max Temperature..........52 to 62 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 degs.
* Min Humidity.............47 to 57 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 5 to 9 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 20 to 25 mph.
* Mixing height............5671 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........Southwest 9 to 14 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Good (65216 knot-ft).
.MONDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (55-65 pct). Slight chance
of showers.
* Chance of Precip.........10 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Min Temperature..........38 to 48 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 degs.
* Max Humidity.............78 to 88 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 4 to 8 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest around 20 mph increasing to
around 30 mph after midnight.
.TUESDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (65-75 pct). Chance of
showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........30 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........20 pct.
* Max Temperature..........50 to 60 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 degs.
* Min Humidity.............52 to 62 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 7 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South 15 to 20 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 30 to 35 mph.
* Mixing height............5899 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........South 20 to 24 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (129778 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance
of thunderstorms. Lows 38 to 48. Highs 45 to 55. South wind
around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 60 to 70 pct.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and snow showers.
Lows 32 to 42. Highs 42 to 52. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
61 to 71 pct.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of rain and snow showers.
Lows 30 to 40. Highs 43 to 53. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
52 to 62 pct.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows 31 to
41. Highs 47 to 57.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows 32 to 42.
Highs 49 to 59.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 154 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE AVERAGE ACROSS THE ZONE
$$
Tripoli
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