Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ
798
FNUS55 KTWC 150906
FWFTWC
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Arizona
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
206 AM MST Thu May 15 2025
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20-FOOT WIND FORECAST OF `LIGHT WINDS` INDICATES MAINLY
TERRAIN DRIVEN WINDS
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.DISCUSSION...
High temperatures will be near normal Friday and
Saturday. Typical afternoon breezes today and Friday for much of
southeast Arizona, with breezy conditions persisting across
Cochise, Graham and Greenlee counties where 20-foot wind speeds
will be 15-20 mph and gusts to near 30 mph during the mid/late
afternoon hours. Increasing southwest winds are expected over the
upcoming weekend as another storm system moves to our north. Near
critical to critical fire weather conditions are expected both
Saturday and Sunday, with Sunday looking to be the windiest of the
two days. Temperatures will be 2-4 degrees below normal Sunday,
lowering to 9- 12 degrees below normal next Monday, warming to
well above normal levels by the middle of next week.
AZZ150-152215-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 150
Sonoran FDRA-Most of Pima County-South Central Pinal County-
Tohono O`odham Nation-Tucson Metropolitan area-TDC-
206 AM MST Thu May 15 2025
.TODAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny (5-15 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Max Temperature..........80 to 90 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 6 degs.
* Min Humidity.............6 to 12 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Light winds becoming west around 10 mph
in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........West 10 to 15 mph.
* Mixing height............9292 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........Southwest 6 knots shifting to the west
in the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (102212 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Clear (0-10 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Min Temperature..........52 to 62 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 degs.
* Max Humidity.............24 to 34 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 9 to 13 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West around 10 mph in the evening
becoming light.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny (5-15 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Max Temperature..........85 to 95 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 6 degs.
* Min Humidity.............5 to 12 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Light winds becoming southwest around 10
mph in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
* Mixing height............11829 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........Southeast 6 knots shifting to the
southwest 10 knots in the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (118290 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 53 to 63. Highs 82 to 92. South
wind around 20 mph. Minimum Humidity 8 to 18 pct.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 51 to 61. Highs 75 to 85. Southwest
wind around 20 mph. Minimum Humidity 15 to 25 pct.
.MONDAY...Clear. Lows 48 to 58. Highs 74 to 84. Southwest wind
around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 12 to 22 pct.
.TUESDAY...Clear. Lows 51 to 61. Highs 83 to 93.
.WEDNESDAY...Clear. Lows 56 to 66. Highs 90 to 100.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 150 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE TUCSON INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT
LOCATION (2550 MSL)
$$
AZZ151-152215-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 151
Western half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to
5500 feet in Southeast corner of Pinal County-
Extreme Eastern Pima County-Western third of Cochise County-
Santa Cruz County-TDC-
206 AM MST Thu May 15 2025
.TODAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny (15-25 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Max Temperature..........76 to 86 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 6 degs.
* Min Humidity.............6 to 13 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Light winds becoming west around 15 mph
in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........West 10 to 15 mph.
* Mixing height............8650 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........Southeast 7 knots shifting to the west
16 knots in the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (138400 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly clear (15-25 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Min Temperature..........46 to 56 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 degs.
* Max Humidity.............20 to 30 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 3 to 7 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West around 15 mph in the evening
becoming light.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 15 to 20 mph.
.FRIDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny (15-25 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Max Temperature..........80 to 90 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 6 degs.
* Min Humidity.............7 to 13 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Light winds becoming southwest around 15
mph in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 15 to 20 mph.
* Mixing height............9672 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........Southeast 8 knots shifting to the
southwest in the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (125736 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 47 to 57. Highs 78 to 88.
Southwest wind around 20 mph. Minimum Humidity 6 to 11 pct.
.SUNDAY...Clear. Lows 46 to 56. Highs 72 to 82. Southwest wind
around 25 mph. Minimum Humidity 14 to 24 pct.
.MONDAY...Clear. Lows 43 to 53. Highs 68 to 78. Southwest wind
around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 16 to 26 pct.
.TUESDAY...Clear. Lows 43 to 53. Highs 77 to 87.
.WEDNESDAY...Clear. Lows 50 to 60. Highs 85 to 95.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 151 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE BUENOS AIRES N.W.R. LOCATION
(3500 MSL)
$$
AZZ152-152215-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 152
Eastern half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to
5500 feet in Southwest Graham County and Eastern two thirds of
Cochise County-Southern San Carlos Reservation-
Southern Greenlee County below 5000 feet-TDC-
206 AM MST Thu May 15 2025
.TODAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (25-35 pct) then becoming
sunny (0-10 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Max Temperature..........75 to 85 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 degs.
* Min Humidity.............6 to 12 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Light winds becoming west around 15 mph
in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........West 15 to 20 mph.
* Mixing height............9450 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........West 9 knots increasing to 19 knots in
the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (179550 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly clear (20-30 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Min Temperature..........45 to 55 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 degs.
* Max Humidity.............18 to 28 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 6 to 10 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Northwest 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........West 20 to 25 mph.
.FRIDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (20-30 pct) then becoming
mostly sunny (15-25 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Max Temperature..........80 to 90 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 6 degs.
* Min Humidity.............5 to 10 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Light winds becoming southwest around 15
mph in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 15 to 20 mph.
* Mixing height............11497 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........South 8 knots shifting to the southwest
15 knots in the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (172455 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 48 to 58. Highs 79 to 89.
Southwest wind around 20 mph. Minimum Humidity 5 to 10 pct.
.SUNDAY...Clear. Patchy blowing dust. Lows 46 to 56. Highs 74 to
84. Southwest wind around 25 mph. Minimum Humidity 10 to 20 pct.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 44 to 54. Highs 69 to 79. West wind
around 20 mph. Minimum Humidity 13 to 23 pct.
.TUESDAY...Clear. Lows 43 to 53. Highs 77 to 87.
.WEDNESDAY...Clear. Lows 48 to 58. Highs 84 to 94.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 152 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE CHIRICAHUA N.M. LOCATION (5400 MSL)
$$
AZZ153-152215-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 153
Northern Graham County-Northern Greenlee County-
White and Gila Mountains-Apache Sitgreaves NF-
Southern San Carlos Reservation above 5000 feet-SDC-
206 AM MST Thu May 15 2025
.TODAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (25-35 pct) then becoming
sunny (0-10 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Max Temperature..........64 to 74 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 degs.
* Min Humidity.............7 to 14 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Light winds becoming southwest around 15
mph in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........West around 5 mph increasing to around
15 mph in the afternoon.
* Mixing height............8086 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........Northwest 11 knots increasing to west 21
knots in the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (169806 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly clear (0-10 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Min Temperature..........39 to 49 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 degs.
* Max Humidity.............22 to 32 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 10 to 14 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Northwest 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........West 15 to 20 mph.
.FRIDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny (0-10 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Max Temperature..........69 to 79 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 7 degs.
* Min Humidity.............6 to 11 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Northeast around 10 mph shifting to the
southwest in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........West 10 to 15 mph.
* Mixing height............9503 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........Northwest 10 knots shifting to the
southwest 16 knots in the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (152048 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 41 to 51. Highs 68 to 78. West
wind around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 7 to 14 pct.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 40 to 50. Highs 62 to 72. West wind
around 20 mph. Minimum Humidity 14 to 24 pct.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows 37 to 47.
Highs 57 to 67. West wind around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 19 to
29 pct.
.TUESDAY...Clear, warmer. Lows 36 to 46. Highs 68 to 78.
.WEDNESDAY...Clear. Lows 42 to 52. Highs 74 to 84.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 153 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE POINT OF PINES LOCATION (6040 MSL)
$$
AZZ154-152215-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 154
Forest Woodlands FDRA including the Sky Islands of Southeast
Arizona above 5500 feet-Coronado NF-TDC-
206 AM MST Thu May 15 2025
.TODAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (25-35 pct) then becoming
sunny (0-10 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Max Temperature..........66 to 76 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 degs.
* Min Humidity.............6 to 16 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Light winds becoming west around 15 mph
in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........West 15 to 20 mph.
* Mixing height............10691 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........West 10 knots increasing to 20 knots in
the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (213820 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly clear (20-30 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Min Temperature..........44 to 54 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 degs.
* Max Humidity.............18 to 26 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 7 to 11 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Northwest 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 20 to 25 mph.
.FRIDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny (15-25 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Max Temperature..........70 to 80 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 6 degs.
* Min Humidity.............7 to 13 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southeast around 10 mph shifting to the
southwest in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 15 to 20 mph.
* Mixing height............12169 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........Southwest 9 to 15 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (146028 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 45 to 55. Highs 68 to 78.
Southwest wind around 20 mph. Minimum Humidity 6 to 13 pct.
.SUNDAY...Clear. Lows 43 to 53. Highs 64 to 74. Southwest wind
around 25 mph. Minimum Humidity 15 to 25 pct.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 40 to 50. Highs 59 to 69. Southwest
wind around 20 mph. Minimum Humidity 19 to 29 pct.
.TUESDAY...Clear. Lows 39 to 49. Highs 67 to 77.
.WEDNESDAY...Clear. Lows 45 to 55. Highs 75 to 85.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 154 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE AVERAGE ACROSS THE ZONE
$$
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