Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ
043
FNUS55 KTWC 012216
FWFTWC
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Arizona
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
316 PM MST Tue Jul 1 2025
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20-FOOT WIND FORECAST OF `LIGHT WINDS` INDICATES MAINLY
TERRAIN DRIVEN WINDS
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.DISCUSSION...Hot this afternoon cooling to around climatological
normal through Saturday as deeper atmospheric moisture moves into
Southeast Arizona, then warming back up Sunday into early next
week. Min RH`s 15 to 30 percent today with scattered showers and
thunderstorms for most of southeast Arizona. Even higher moisture
levels move in for Wednesday and Thursday with potential that some
of the thunderstorms will produce locally heavy rainfall. Some
drying will tend to lower thunderstorm chances to around 20 to 30
percent Friday into the weekend with the highest chances along the
Int`l border. Gusty east to southeast winds today with gusty and
erratic winds to 40-50 mph near any thunderstorms. Otherwise
winds generally light and under 15 mph.
AZZ150-021430-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 150
Sonoran FDRA-Most of Pima County-South Central Pinal County-
Tohono O`odham Nation-Tucson Metropolitan area-TDC-
316 PM MST Tue Jul 1 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (35-45 pct). Chance of
showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........30 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........20 pct.
* Min Temperature..........74 to 84 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 deg.
* Max Humidity.............43 to 53 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 12 to 16 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Breezy. Southeast 15 to 25 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........East 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (40-50 pct). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........40 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........40 pct.
* Max Temperature..........94 to 104 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 4 to 8 degs.
* Min Humidity.............24 to 34 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 8 to 12 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 5 to 10 mph.
* Mixing height............10261 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........South 15 to 16 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (164176 knot-ft).
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (45-55 pct). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........40 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........40 pct.
* Min Temperature..........71 to 81 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 degs.
* Max Humidity.............58 to 68 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 12 to 16 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South around 20 mph becoming southeast
around 10 mph after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (35-45 pct). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........40 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........40 pct.
* Max Temperature..........90 to 100 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 2 to 5 degs.
* Min Humidity.............26 to 36 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
* Mixing height............10024 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........South 16 to 18 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (180432 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.INDEPENDENCE DAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 70 to 80. Highs 92 to 102. Light winds.
Minimum Humidity 21 to 31 pct.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 71 to 81. Highs 94 to 104. Light winds.
Minimum Humidity 20 to 30 pct.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 71 to 81. Highs 98 to 108. Light
winds. Minimum Humidity 13 to 22 pct.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 74 to 84. Highs 100 to 110.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 75 to 85. Highs 99 to 109.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 150 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE TUCSON INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT
LOCATION (2550 MSL)
$$
AZZ151-021430-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 151
Western half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to
5500 feet in Southeast corner of Pinal County-
Extreme Eastern Pima County-Western third of Cochise County-
Santa Cruz County-TDC-
316 PM MST Tue Jul 1 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (50-60 pct) then becoming
partly cloudy (35-45 pct). Chance of
showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........30 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........20 pct.
* Min Temperature..........66 to 76 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............59 to 69 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 12 to 16 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southeast 15 to 20 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........East 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (25-35 pct) then becoming
mostly cloudy (50-60 pct). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........60 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........50 pct.
* Max Temperature..........87 to 97 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 3 to 7 degs.
* Min Humidity.............27 to 37 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 10 to 14 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........North around 5 mph shifting to the west
in the afternoon.
* Mixing height............8713 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........Southeast 13 knots shifting to the
southwest in the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (113269 knot-ft).
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (65-75 pct). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........60 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........50 pct.
* Min Temperature..........64 to 74 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 degs.
* Max Humidity.............69 to 79 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 12 to 16 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........West 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (40-50 pct) then becoming
mostly cloudy (60-70 pct). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........60 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........50 pct.
* Max Temperature..........83 to 93 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 3 to 6 degs.
* Min Humidity.............32 to 42 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 6 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South around 10 mph shifting to the west
in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........West 5 to 10 mph.
* Mixing height............9205 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........Southwest 10 to 13 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (119665 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.INDEPENDENCE DAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 63 to 73. Highs 85 to 95. Light winds.
Minimum Humidity 27 to 37 pct.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 63 to 73. Highs 87 to 97. Light winds.
Minimum Humidity 25 to 35 pct.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 64 to 74. Highs 92 to 102. Light winds.
Minimum Humidity 16 to 26 pct.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 67 to 77. Highs 94 to 104.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 68 to 78. Highs 92 to 102.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 151 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE BUENOS AIRES N.W.R. LOCATION
(3500 MSL)
$$
AZZ152-021430-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 152
Eastern half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to
5500 feet in Southwest Graham County and Eastern two thirds of
Cochise County-Southern San Carlos Reservation-
Southern Greenlee County below 5000 feet-TDC-
316 PM MST Tue Jul 1 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (55-65 pct) then becoming
partly cloudy (40-50 pct). Chance of
showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........30 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........20 pct.
* Min Temperature..........65 to 75 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............62 to 72 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 6 to 10 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..East 15 to 20 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........East 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (30-40 pct) then becoming
mostly cloudy (55-65 pct). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........60 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........50 pct.
* Max Temperature..........86 to 96 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 2 to 5 degs.
* Min Humidity.............25 to 35 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 5 to 9 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southeast 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southeast around 5 mph shifting to the
south in the afternoon.
* Mixing height............8707 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........East 11 to 16 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (139312 knot-ft).
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (65-75 pct). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........50 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........50 pct.
* Min Temperature..........65 to 75 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............66 to 76 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 7 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........West 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (45-55 pct) then becoming
mostly cloudy (65-75 pct). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........50 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........50 pct.
* Max Temperature..........84 to 94 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 degs.
* Min Humidity.............25 to 35 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 1 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South around 10 mph shifting to the west
in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northwest 10 to 15 mph.
* Mixing height............7240 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........West 8 to 15 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (108600 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.INDEPENDENCE DAY...Partly cloudy. Lows 64 to 74. Highs 86 to 96.
West wind around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 21 to 31 pct.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 64 to 74. Highs 90 to 100.
Northwest wind around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 17 to 27 pct.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 65 to 75. Highs 94 to 104. Light winds.
Minimum Humidity 10 to 20 pct.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 68 to 78. Highs 94 to 104.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 68 to 78. Highs 93 to 103.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 152 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE CHIRICAHUA N.M. LOCATION (5400 MSL)
$$
AZZ153-021430-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 153
Northern Graham County-Northern Greenlee County-
White and Gila Mountains-Apache Sitgreaves NF-
Southern San Carlos Reservation above 5000 feet-SDC-
316 PM MST Tue Jul 1 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (60-70 pct) then becoming
partly cloudy (40-50 pct). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........40 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........40 pct.
* Min Temperature..........56 to 66 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............72 to 82 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 18 to 22 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southeast around 20 mph decreasing to
around 10 mph after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southeast 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (30-40 pct) then becoming
mostly cloudy (65-75 pct). Showers and
thunderstorms likely.
* Chance of Precip.........70 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........70 pct.
* Max Temperature..........75 to 85 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 3 to 6 degs.
* Min Humidity.............36 to 46 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 9 to 13 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southeast 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 5 to 10 mph.
* Mixing height............7926 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........Southeast 12 knots shifting to the
southwest 13 knots in the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (103038 knot-ft).
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (65-75 pct). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........50 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........50 pct.
* Min Temperature..........56 to 66 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 1 deg.
* Max Humidity.............72 to 82 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (45-55 pct) then becoming
mostly cloudy (65-75 pct). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........50 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........50 pct.
* Max Temperature..........74 to 84 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 deg.
* Min Humidity.............32 to 42 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 3 to 6 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest around 10 mph shifting to the
west in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northwest 10 to 15 mph.
* Mixing height............8372 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........West 9 to 16 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (133952 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.INDEPENDENCE DAY...Mostly clear. Lows 56 to 66. Highs 77 to 87.
Northwest wind around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 19 to 29 pct.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 56 to 66. Highs 82 to 92. Light
winds. Minimum Humidity 14 to 24 pct.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 58 to 68. Highs 85 to 95. Light
winds. Minimum Humidity 11 to 18 pct.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 61 to 71. Highs 85 to 95.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 62 to 72. Highs 83 to 93.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 153 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE POINT OF PINES LOCATION (6040 MSL)
$$
AZZ154-021430-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 154
Forest Woodlands FDRA including the Sky Islands of Southeast
Arizona above 5500 feet-Coronado NF-TDC-
316 PM MST Tue Jul 1 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (30-40 pct). Chance of
showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........30 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........20 pct.
* Min Temperature..........59 to 69 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 deg.
* Max Humidity.............65 to 75 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 7 to 11 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..East 15 to 20 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........East 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (30-40 pct) then becoming
mostly cloudy (60-70 pct). Showers
likely and chance of thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........60 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........50 pct.
* Max Temperature..........76 to 86 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 3 to 6 degs.
* Min Humidity.............38 to 48 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 9 to 13 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southeast 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........East around 5 mph shifting to the
southwest in the afternoon.
* Mixing height............8631 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........East 10 to 15 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (107887 knot-ft).
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (65-75 pct). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........60 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........50 pct.
* Min Temperature..........59 to 69 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............70 to 80 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 7 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest around 10 mph in the evening
becoming light.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........West 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (50-60 pct). Thunderstorms
likely and chance of showers.
* Chance of Precip.........70 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........70 pct.
* Max Temperature..........73 to 83 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 2 to 5 degs.
* Min Humidity.............40 to 50 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 6 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest around 10 mph shifting to the
west in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........West 10 to 15 mph.
* Mixing height............8976 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........West 8 to 14 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Very good (98736 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.INDEPENDENCE DAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 58 to 68. Highs 75 to 85. West wind around
15 mph. Minimum Humidity 30 to 40 pct.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 59 to 69. Highs 79 to 89. West wind around
15 mph. Minimum Humidity 26 to 36 pct.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 61 to 71. Highs 83 to 93. Light winds.
Minimum Humidity 15 to 25 pct.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 64 to 74. Highs 84 to 94.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 64 to 74. Highs 82 to 92.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 154 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE AVERAGE ACROSS THE ZONE
$$
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