Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ
160
FNUS55 KTWC 152115
FWFTWC
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Arizona
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
215 PM MST Tue Sep 15 2026
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
20-FOOT WIND FORECAST OF `LIGHT WINDS` INDICATES MAINLY
TERRAIN DRIVEN WINDS
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
.DISCUSSION...An active week continues with daily chances of
showers and storms capable of producing heavy rainfall. High
temperatures will fluctuate between near normal and a few degrees
below normal. Min RH values mainly 20 to 45 percent in the valleys
and 35 to 65 percent in the mountains over the next week. RH
recoveries will continue to be excellent overnight. Winds will
generally remain less than 15 mph and terrain driven. Gusty and
erratic winds will accompany thunderstorms.
AZZ150-161415-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 150
Sonoran FDRA-Most of Pima County-South Central Pinal County-
Tohono O`odham Nation-Tucson Metropolitan area-TDC-
215 PM MST Tue Sep 15 2026
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (55-65 pct). Chance of
showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........30 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........20 pct.
* Min Temperature..........69 to 79 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 3 to 7 degs.
* Max Humidity.............75 to 85 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (55-65 pct). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........70 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........50 pct.
* Max Temperature..........81 to 91 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 7 to 11 degs.
* Min Humidity.............50 to 60 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 23 to 27 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 15 to 20 mph.
* Mixing height............5945 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........South 14 to 16 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Very good (95120 knot-ft).
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (50-60 pct). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........50 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........50 pct.
* Min Temperature..........66 to 76 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 degs.
* Max Humidity.............78 to 88 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 12 to 16 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southeast around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 15 to 20 mph.
.THURSDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (55-65 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Max Temperature..........86 to 96 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 7 degs.
* Min Humidity.............36 to 46 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 12 to 16 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southeast around 10 mph in the morning
becoming light.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
* Mixing height............5517 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........South 7 to 10 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Good (55170 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 68 to 78. Highs 92 to 102. Light
winds. Minimum Humidity 25 to 35 pct.
.SATURDAY...Clear. Lows 68 to 78. Highs 93 to 103. Light winds.
Minimum Humidity 20 to 30 pct.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 68 to 78. Highs 91 to 101. Light
winds. Minimum Humidity 21 to 31 pct.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows 68 to 78. Highs 90 to 100.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 67 to 77. Highs 90 to 100.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 150 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE TUCSON INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT
LOCATION (2550 MSL)
$$
AZZ151-161415-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 151
Western half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to
5500 feet in Southeast corner of Pinal County-
Extreme Eastern Pima County-Western third of Cochise County-
Santa Cruz County-TDC-
215 PM MST Tue Sep 15 2026
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (60-70 pct). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........40 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........40 pct.
* Min Temperature..........61 to 71 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 degs.
* Max Humidity.............85 to 95 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South around 5 mph increasing to
southeast around 15 mph after midnight.
.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (65-75 pct). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........80 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........50 pct.
* Max Temperature..........75 to 85 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 3 to 6 degs.
* Min Humidity.............61 to 71 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 6 to 10 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southeast around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 15 to 20 mph.
* Mixing height............3766 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........South 11 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Good (41426 knot-ft).
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (55-65 pct). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........60 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........50 pct.
* Min Temperature..........59 to 69 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 3 to 6 degs.
* Max Humidity.............87 to 97 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southeast around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 20 to 25 mph.
.THURSDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (50-60 pct). Slight
chance of showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........10 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........10 pct.
* Max Temperature..........80 to 90 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 6 degs.
* Min Humidity.............45 to 55 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 11 to 15 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southeast around 10 mph in the morning
becoming light.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
* Mixing height............5807 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........South 6 to 8 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Good (46456 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 61 to 71. Highs 83 to 93. Light
winds. Minimum Humidity 36 to 46 pct.
.SATURDAY...Clear. Lows 61 to 71. Highs 84 to 94. Light winds.
Minimum Humidity 30 to 40 pct.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 60 to 70. Highs 82 to 92. Light
winds. Minimum Humidity 28 to 38 pct.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 60 to 70. Highs 81 to 91.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 59 to 69. Highs 81 to 91.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 151 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE BUENOS AIRES N.W.R. LOCATION
(3500 MSL)
$$
AZZ152-161415-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 152
Eastern half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to
5500 feet in Southwest Graham County and Eastern two thirds of
Cochise County-Southern San Carlos Reservation-
Southern Greenlee County below 5000 feet-TDC-
215 PM MST Tue Sep 15 2026
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (65-75 pct). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........40 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........40 pct.
* Min Temperature..........61 to 71 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............82 to 92 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Light winds.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South around 5 mph increasing to around
20 mph after midnight.
.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (65-75 pct). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........70 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........50 pct.
* Max Temperature..........76 to 86 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 degs.
* Min Humidity.............58 to 68 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 10 to 14 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southeast around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 15 to 20 mph.
* Mixing height............5707 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........Southeast 10 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Good (57070 knot-ft).
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (60-70 pct). Showers and
thunderstorms likely.
* Chance of Precip.........60 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........60 pct.
* Min Temperature..........59 to 69 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 degs.
* Max Humidity.............85 to 95 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Light winds becoming southeast around 10
mph after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 20 to 25 mph.
.THURSDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (55-65 pct). Slight
chance of showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........20 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........20 pct.
* Max Temperature..........79 to 89 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 degs.
* Min Humidity.............49 to 59 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 9 to 13 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southeast around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 10 to 15 mph.
* Mixing height............5324 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........South 9 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Good (47916 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 60 to 70. Highs 82 to 92. Light winds.
Minimum Humidity 37 to 47 pct.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 60 to 70. Highs 82 to 92. Light
winds. Minimum Humidity 31 to 41 pct.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 59 to 69. Highs 82 to 92. Light
winds. Minimum Humidity 26 to 36 pct.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 59 to 69. Highs 80 to 90.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 59 to 69. Highs 79 to 89.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 152 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE CHIRICAHUA N.M. LOCATION (5400 MSL)
$$
AZZ153-161415-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 153
Northern Graham County-Northern Greenlee County-
White and Gila Mountains-Apache Sitgreaves NF-
Southern San Carlos Reservation above 5000 feet-SDC-
215 PM MST Tue Sep 15 2026
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (70-80 pct). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........60 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........50 pct.
* Min Temperature..........54 to 64 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............82 to 92 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 13 to 17 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Light winds.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest around 5 mph increasing to
south around 15 mph after midnight.
.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (70-80 pct). Showers
likely and chance of thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........70 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........50 pct.
* Max Temperature..........68 to 78 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 3 to 7 degs.
* Min Humidity.............59 to 69 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 7 to 11 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Light winds.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 20 to 25 mph.
* Mixing height............3962 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........Southeast 11 to 12 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Good (47544 knot-ft).
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (80-90 pct). Showers and
thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........80 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........80 pct.
* Min Temperature..........53 to 63 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 degs.
* Max Humidity.............83 to 93 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..East around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 20 to 25 mph.
.THURSDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (60-70 pct). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........50 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........50 pct.
* Max Temperature..........69 to 79 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 degs.
* Min Humidity.............52 to 62 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 5 to 9 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southeast around 10 mph shifting to the
south in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South around 25 mph decreasing to around
15 mph in the afternoon.
* Mixing height............5036 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........South 11 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Good (55396 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows 53 to 63. Highs 73 to 83. Light winds.
Minimum Humidity 41 to 51 pct.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 52 to 62. Highs 73 to 83. Light winds.
Minimum Humidity 33 to 43 pct.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 51 to 61. Highs 73 to 83. Light
winds. Minimum Humidity 27 to 37 pct.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 51 to 61. Highs 70 to 80.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 51 to 61. Highs 68 to 78.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 153 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE POINT OF PINES LOCATION (6040 MSL)
$$
AZZ154-161415-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 154
Forest Woodlands FDRA including the Sky Islands of Southeast
Arizona above 5500 feet-Coronado NF-TDC-
215 PM MST Tue Sep 15 2026
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (60-70 pct). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........50 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........50 pct.
* Min Temperature..........55 to 65 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 deg.
* Max Humidity.............85 to 95 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 10 to 14 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Light winds becoming southeast around 10
mph after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South around 5 mph increasing to
southeast around 15 mph after midnight.
.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (65-75 pct). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........80 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........50 pct.
* Max Temperature..........65 to 75 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 4 to 8 degs.
* Min Humidity.............69 to 79 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 8 to 12 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southeast around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 15 to 20 mph.
* Mixing height............7330 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........South 10 to 11 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Very good (76965 knot-ft).
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (55-65 pct). Showers and
thunderstorms likely.
* Chance of Precip.........60 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........60 pct.
* Min Temperature..........53 to 63 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 2 to 5 degs.
* Max Humidity.............87 to 97 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 10 to 14 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 25 to 30 mph.
.THURSDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (50-60 pct). Chance of
showers and slight chance of thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........20 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........20 pct.
* Max Temperature..........69 to 79 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 4 to 8 degs.
* Min Humidity.............59 to 69 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 14 to 18 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southeast around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
* Mixing height............6662 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........South 7 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Good (46634 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 55 to 65. Highs 72 to 82. Light winds.
Minimum Humidity 47 to 57 pct.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 55 to 65. Highs 73 to 83. Light
winds. Minimum Humidity 41 to 51 pct.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 55 to 65. Highs 71 to 81. Light
winds. Minimum Humidity 36 to 46 pct.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 55 to 65. Highs 70 to 80.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 54 to 64. Highs 69 to 79.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 154 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE AVERAGE ACROSS THE ZONE
$$
Visit us on Facebook...X...YouTube...and at weather.gov/Tucson