Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ
586
FNUS55 KTWC 132112
FWFTWC
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Arizona
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
212 PM MST Sun Sep 13 2026
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20-FOOT WIND FORECAST OF `LIGHT WINDS` INDICATES MAINLY
TERRAIN DRIVEN WINDS
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
.DISCUSSION...An active week ahead with daily chances of
showers and thunderstorms. High temperatures will fluctuate
between near normal and a few degrees below normal. Min RH
values mainly 20 to 45 percent in the valleys and 35 to 65
percent in the mountains over the next week. RH recoveries will
continue to be excellent overnight. Winds will generally remain
less than 15 mph and terrain driven. Gusty and erratic winds
will accompany thunderstorms.
AZZ150-141545-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 150
Sonoran FDRA-Most of Pima County-South Central Pinal County-
Tohono O`odham Nation-Tucson Metropolitan area-TDC-
212 PM MST Sun Sep 13 2026
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (30-40 pct). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........10 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........10 pct.
* Min Temperature..........72 to 82 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 degs.
* Max Humidity.............62 to 72 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 3 to 6 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South around 10 mph increasing to around
20 mph after midnight.
.MONDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (35-45 pct). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........20 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........20 pct.
* Max Temperature..........92 to 102 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 deg.
* Min Humidity.............34 to 44 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 15 to 20 mph.
* Mixing height............6760 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........South 17 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (114920 knot-ft).
.MONDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (45-55 pct). Chance of
showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........20 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........20 pct.
* Min Temperature..........70 to 80 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 3 to 6 degs.
* Max Humidity.............66 to 76 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 5 to 9 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 15 to 20 mph.
.TUESDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (50-60 pct) then becoming
partly cloudy (35-45 pct). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........10 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........10 pct.
* Max Temperature..........90 to 100 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 degs.
* Min Humidity.............34 to 44 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 15 to 20 mph.
* Mixing height............7010 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........South 15 to 17 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (119170 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance
of thunderstorms. Lows 69 to 79. Highs 90 to 100. Light winds.
Minimum Humidity 33 to 43 pct.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 69 to 79. Highs 90 to 100. Light winds.
Minimum Humidity 29 to 39 pct.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 70 to 80. Highs 93 to 103. Light
winds. Minimum Humidity 24 to 34 pct.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 70 to 80. Highs 94 to 104.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 70 to 80. Highs 92 to 102.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 150 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE TUCSON INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT
LOCATION (2550 MSL)
$$
AZZ151-141545-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 151
Western half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to
5500 feet in Southeast corner of Pinal County-
Extreme Eastern Pima County-Western third of Cochise County-
Santa Cruz County-TDC-
212 PM MST Sun Sep 13 2026
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (40-50 pct). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........20 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........20 pct.
* Min Temperature..........64 to 74 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............78 to 88 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 11 to 15 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest around 10 mph shifting to the
southeast after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (30-40 pct) then becoming
mostly cloudy (60-70 pct). Chance of
thunderstorms and slight chance of
showers.
* Chance of Precip.........60 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........50 pct.
* Max Temperature..........84 to 94 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 2 to 5 degs.
* Min Humidity.............42 to 52 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 15 to 20 mph.
* Mixing height............5872 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........South 9 to 12 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Very good (70464 knot-ft).
.MONDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (50-60 pct). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........40 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........40 pct.
* Min Temperature..........62 to 72 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 deg.
* Max Humidity.............80 to 90 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 11 to 15 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (50-60 pct) then becoming
partly cloudy (45-55 pct). Showers
likely and chance of thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........60 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........50 pct.
* Max Temperature..........82 to 92 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 degs.
* Min Humidity.............41 to 51 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southeast around 10 mph shifting to the
southwest in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 10 to 15 mph.
* Mixing height............6139 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........South 8 to 11 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Good (67529 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 61 to 71. Highs 81 to 91. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
42 to 52 pct.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 60 to 70. Highs 81 to 91. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
40 to 50 pct.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 61 to 71. Highs 83 to 93. Light winds.
Minimum Humidity 35 to 45 pct.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 61 to 71. Highs 84 to 94.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 61 to 71. Highs 82 to 92.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 151 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE BUENOS AIRES N.W.R. LOCATION
(3500 MSL)
$$
AZZ152-141545-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 152
Eastern half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to
5500 feet in Southwest Graham County and Eastern two thirds of
Cochise County-Southern San Carlos Reservation-
Southern Greenlee County below 5000 feet-TDC-
212 PM MST Sun Sep 13 2026
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (50-60 pct). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........40 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........20 pct.
* Min Temperature..........64 to 74 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............72 to 82 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest around 10 mph in the evening
becoming light.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (30-40 pct) then becoming
mostly cloudy (60-70 pct). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........60 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........50 pct.
* Max Temperature..........84 to 94 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 2 to 5 degs.
* Min Humidity.............39 to 49 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 1 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Light winds becoming southwest around 10
mph in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
* Mixing height............4742 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........Southwest 6 to 10 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Good (47420 knot-ft).
.MONDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (65-75 pct). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........50 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........50 pct.
* Min Temperature..........62 to 72 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 degs.
* Max Humidity.............78 to 88 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 7 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest around 10 mph in the evening
becoming light.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (60-70 pct). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........50 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........50 pct.
* Max Temperature..........82 to 92 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 3 to 6 degs.
* Min Humidity.............41 to 51 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 8 to 12 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Light winds becoming southwest around 10
mph in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 5 to 10 mph.
* Mixing height............4132 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........South 6 to 7 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Fair (28924 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.WEDNESDAY...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Lows
62 to 72. Highs 81 to 91. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 43 to
53 pct.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 60 to 70. Highs 80 to 90. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
43 to 53 pct.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 60 to 70. Highs 81 to 91. Light winds.
Minimum Humidity 37 to 47 pct.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 60 to 70. Highs 81 to 91.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 60 to 70. Highs 80 to 90.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 152 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE CHIRICAHUA N.M. LOCATION (5400 MSL)
$$
AZZ153-141545-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 153
Northern Graham County-Northern Greenlee County-
White and Gila Mountains-Apache Sitgreaves NF-
Southern San Carlos Reservation above 5000 feet-SDC-
212 PM MST Sun Sep 13 2026
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (55-65 pct). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........30 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........30 pct.
* Min Temperature..........56 to 66 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 1 deg.
* Max Humidity.............72 to 82 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 6 to 10 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest around 10 mph in the evening
becoming light.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (50-60 pct). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........60 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........50 pct.
* Max Temperature..........75 to 85 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 degs.
* Min Humidity.............45 to 55 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 6 to 10 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Light winds becoming southwest around 10
mph in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
* Mixing height............6000 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........Southwest 8 to 10 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Good (60000 knot-ft).
.MONDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (65-75 pct). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........50 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........50 pct.
* Min Temperature..........55 to 65 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 degs.
* Max Humidity.............77 to 87 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Northwest around 10 mph in the evening
becoming light.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........West around 15 mph decreasing to around
5 mph after midnight.
.TUESDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (65-75 pct). Chance of
thunderstorms and slight chance of
showers.
* Chance of Precip.........60 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........50 pct.
* Max Temperature..........75 to 85 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 degs.
* Min Humidity.............42 to 52 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Light winds becoming southwest around 10
mph in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
* Mixing height............6147 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........East 7 knots shifting to the southwest 9
knots in the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Good (55323 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 55 to 65. Highs 71 to 81. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
46 to 56 pct.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 54 to 64. Highs 70 to 80. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
48 to 58 pct.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 53 to 63. Highs 72 to 82. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
42 to 52 pct.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 52 to 62. Highs 72 to 82.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 52 to 62. Highs 71 to 81.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 153 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE POINT OF PINES LOCATION (6040 MSL)
$$
AZZ154-141545-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 154
Forest Woodlands FDRA including the Sky Islands of Southeast
Arizona above 5500 feet-Coronado NF-TDC-
212 PM MST Sun Sep 13 2026
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (45-55 pct) then becoming
partly cloudy (40-50 pct). Chance of
showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........30 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........20 pct.
* Min Temperature..........59 to 69 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............72 to 82 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 8 to 12 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (35-45 pct) then becoming
mostly cloudy (70-80 pct). Showers
likely and chance of thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........70 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........50 pct.
* Max Temperature..........73 to 83 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 degs.
* Min Humidity.............52 to 62 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 8 to 12 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Light winds becoming southwest around 10
mph in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
* Mixing height............5791 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........Southwest 7 to 10 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Good (49223 knot-ft).
.MONDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (60-70 pct). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........50 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........50 pct.
* Min Temperature..........56 to 66 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 degs.
* Max Humidity.............79 to 89 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 7 to 11 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (65-75 pct). Showers
likely and chance of thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........70 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........50 pct.
* Max Temperature..........71 to 81 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 2 to 5 degs.
* Min Humidity.............58 to 68 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Light winds.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 5 to 10 mph.
* Mixing height............6112 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........South 6 to 7 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Fair (39728 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 56 to 66. Highs 69 to 79. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
56 to 66 pct.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 55 to 65. Highs 70 to 80. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
56 to 66 pct.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 55 to 65. Highs 72 to 82. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
50 to 60 pct.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 55 to 65. Highs 72 to 82.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 55 to 65. Highs 70 to 80.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 154 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE AVERAGE ACROSS THE ZONE
$$
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