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Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ
838 FNUS55 KTWC 121013 FWFTWC Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Arizona National Weather Service Tucson AZ 313 AM MST Wed Feb 12 2025 +++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++ 20-FOOT WIND FORECAST OF `LIGHT WINDS` INDICATES MAINLY TERRAIN DRIVEN WINDS +++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++ .DISCUSSION...A weather system moving through today into tonight will result in a 20 to 40% chance of light showers mainly for Graham/Greenlee Counties. Breezy conditions continue today as well with 20-ft winds of 15-20 mph east of Tucson. Less wind and dry conditions Thursday. The next weather system Friday into early Saturday will bring better chance of precipitation to the area although precipitation amounts will generally remain less than 0.25". Cooler temperatures and increased moisture will keep min RH values in the 15 to 25 percent range through Saturday. Gusty afternoon winds breezes are expected with the Friday system but min RH values too high for Red Flag concerns. Dry with warmer temperatures Sunday and Monday. AZZ150-122345- Arizona Fire Weather Zone 150 Sonoran FDRA-Most of Pima County-South Central Pinal County- Tohono O`odham Nation-Tucson Metropolitan area-TDC- 313 AM MST Wed Feb 12 2025 .TODAY... * Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy. * Max Temperature..........57 to 67 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Down 3 to 7 degs. * Min Humidity.............25 to 35 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Up 8 to 12 pct. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest 10 to 15 mph. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........West 30 to 35 mph. * Chance of Precip.........0 pct. * Mixing Height............6799 ft agl. * Transport Winds..........Southwest 15 to 19 knots. * Ventilation Category.....Excellent (129181 knot-ft). .TONIGHT... * Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy. * Min Temperature..........38 to 48 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 degs. * Max Humidity.............53 to 63 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Down 10 to 14 pct. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West around 15 mph in the evening becoming light. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........West 20 to 25 mph. * Chance of Precip.........10 pct. .THURSDAY... * Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy. * Max Temperature..........65 to 75 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Up 6 to 10 degs. * Min Humidity.............25 to 35 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Little change. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southeast around 10 mph shifting to the south in the afternoon. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 15 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip.........0 pct. * Mixing Height............7026 ft agl. * Transport Winds..........Southeast 10 knots shifting to the south 11 knots in the afternoon. * Ventilation Category.....Very good (77286 knot-ft). .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG .FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows 45 to 55. Highs 63 to 73. Southwest wind around 20 mph. Minimum Humidity 32 to 42 pct. .SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows 36 to 46. Highs 61 to 71. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 23 to 33 pct. .SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows 36 to 46. Highs 68 to 78. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 11 to 20 pct. .WASHINGTONS BIRTHDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows 41 to 51. Highs 70 to 80. .TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 40 to 50. Highs 68 to 78. NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 150 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE TUCSON INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT LOCATION (2550 MSL) $$ AZZ151-122345- Arizona Fire Weather Zone 151 Western half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to 5500 feet in Southeast corner of Pinal County- Extreme Eastern Pima County-Western third of Cochise County- Santa Cruz County-TDC- 313 AM MST Wed Feb 12 2025 .TODAY... * Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy then becoming partly cloudy. * Max Temperature..........52 to 62 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Down 5 to 9 degs. * Min Humidity.............28 to 38 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Up 11 to 15 pct. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest 15 to 20 mph. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........West around 40 mph decreasing to around 30 mph in the afternoon. * Chance of Precip.........10 pct. * Mixing Height............5583 ft agl. * Transport Winds..........West 18 to 25 knots. * Ventilation Category.....Excellent (139575 knot-ft). .TONIGHT... * Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy. * Min Temperature..........32 to 42 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 degs. * Max Humidity.............59 to 69 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Down 8 to 12 pct. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West around 15 mph in the evening becoming light. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........West 20 to 25 mph. * Chance of Precip.........10 pct. .THURSDAY... * Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy. * Max Temperature..........61 to 71 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Up 7 to 11 degs. * Min Humidity.............28 to 38 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Little change. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southeast around 10 mph shifting to the south in the afternoon. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 15 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip.........0 pct. * Mixing Height............6298 ft agl. * Transport Winds..........Southeast 12 knots shifting to the southwest 14 knots in the afternoon. * Ventilation Category.....Very good (88172 knot-ft). .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG .FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows 39 to 49. Highs 60 to 70. Southwest wind around 20 mph. Minimum Humidity 34 to 44 pct. .SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows 32 to 42. Highs 55 to 65. West wind around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 26 to 36 pct. .SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows 30 to 40. Highs 64 to 74. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 11 to 21 pct. .WASHINGTONS BIRTHDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows 36 to 46. Highs 66 to 76. .TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 35 to 45. Highs 63 to 73. NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 151 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE BUENOS AIRES N.W.R. LOCATION (3500 MSL) $$ AZZ152-122345- Arizona Fire Weather Zone 152 Eastern half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to 5500 feet in Southwest Graham County and Eastern two thirds of Cochise County-Southern San Carlos Reservation- Southern Greenlee County below 5000 feet-TDC- 313 AM MST Wed Feb 12 2025 .TODAY... * Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. * Max Temperature..........51 to 61 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Down 7 to 11 degs. * Min Humidity.............28 to 38 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Up 13 to 17 pct. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West 15 to 20 mph. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........West 30 to 35 mph. * Chance of Precip.........10 pct. * Mixing Height............6102 ft agl. * Transport Winds..........West 19 to 27 knots. * Ventilation Category.....Excellent (164754 knot-ft). .TONIGHT... * Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy. * Min Temperature..........29 to 39 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Little change. * Max Humidity.............54 to 64 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Down 2 to 5 pct. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Northwest around 20 mph becoming north around 10 mph after midnight. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........West 25 to 30 mph. * Chance of Precip.........10 pct. .THURSDAY... * Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy. * Max Temperature..........59 to 69 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Up 5 to 9 degs. * Min Humidity.............27 to 37 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 pct. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southeast around 10 mph. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 15 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip.........10 pct. * Mixing Height............4600 ft agl. * Transport Winds..........Southeast 11 knots shifting to the south 13 knots in the afternoon. * Ventilation Category.....Good (59800 knot-ft). .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG .FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows 38 to 48. Highs 60 to 70. Southwest wind around 25 mph. Minimum Humidity 33 to 43 pct. .SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows 32 to 42. Highs 55 to 65. West wind around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 23 to 33 pct. .SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows 28 to 38. Highs 62 to 72. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 11 to 21 pct. .WASHINGTONS BIRTHDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows 34 to 44. Highs 66 to 76. .TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 34 to 44. Highs 63 to 73. NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 152 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE CHIRICAHUA N.M. LOCATION (5400 MSL) $$ AZZ153-122345- Arizona Fire Weather Zone 153 Northern Graham County-Northern Greenlee County- White and Gila Mountains-Apache Sitgreaves NF- Southern San Carlos Reservation above 5000 feet-SDC- 313 AM MST Wed Feb 12 2025 .TODAY... * Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy. Chance of snow showers. * Max Temperature..........36 to 46 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Down 10 to 14 degs. * Min Humidity.............43 to 53 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Up 23 to 27 pct. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West 15 to 20 mph. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........West 30 to 35 mph. * Chance of Precip.........40 pct. * Mixing Height............4772 ft agl. * Transport Winds..........West 21 to 25 knots. * Ventilation Category.....Excellent (119300 knot-ft). .TONIGHT... * Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy then becoming partly cloudy. Slight chance of snow showers. * Min Temperature..........21 to 31 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 degs. * Max Humidity.............58 to 68 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Down 8 to 12 pct. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West around 20 mph in the evening becoming light. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........West around 30 mph decreasing to around 20 mph after midnight. * Chance of Precip.........10 pct. .THURSDAY... * Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy. * Max Temperature..........46 to 56 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Up 7 to 11 degs. * Min Humidity.............32 to 42 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Down 7 to 11 pct. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Northeast around 10 mph shifting to the south in the afternoon. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 15 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip.........10 pct. * Mixing Height............4511 ft agl. * Transport Winds..........East 12 knots shifting to the south in the afternoon. * Ventilation Category.....Very good (76687 knot-ft). .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG .FRIDAY...Showers likely and chance of snow showers. Lows 34 to 44. Highs 44 to 54. Southwest wind around 20 mph. Minimum Humidity 51 to 61 pct. .SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and snow showers. Lows 27 to 37. Highs 45 to 55. Northwest wind around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 24 to 34 pct. .SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows 24 to 34. Highs 51 to 61. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 13 to 20 pct. .WASHINGTONS BIRTHDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows 31 to 41. Highs 54 to 64. .TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows 30 to 40. Highs 50 to 60. NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 153 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE POINT OF PINES LOCATION (6040 MSL) $$ AZZ154-122345- Arizona Fire Weather Zone 154 Forest Woodlands FDRA including the Sky Islands of Southeast Arizona above 5500 feet-Coronado NF-TDC- 313 AM MST Wed Feb 12 2025 .TODAY... * Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy then becoming partly cloudy. * Max Temperature..........41 to 51 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Down 6 to 10 degs. * Min Humidity.............37 to 47 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Up 18 to 22 pct. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West 10 to 20 mph. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........West around 40 mph decreasing to around 30 mph in the afternoon. * Chance of Precip.........10 pct. * Mixing Height............7213 ft agl. * Transport Winds..........West 22 to 30 knots. * Ventilation Category.....Excellent (187538 knot-ft). .TONIGHT... * Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy. * Min Temperature..........30 to 40 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 degs. * Max Humidity.............56 to 66 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 pct. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West around 20 mph decreasing to around 10 mph after midnight. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........West 25 to 30 mph. * Chance of Precip.........10 pct. .THURSDAY... * Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy. * Max Temperature..........50 to 60 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Up 6 to 10 degs. * Min Humidity.............35 to 45 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 pct. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South 10 to 15 mph. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 15 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip.........10 pct. * Mixing Height............6587 ft agl. * Transport Winds..........South 11 to 15 knots. * Ventilation Category.....Very good (85631 knot-ft). .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG .FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows 38 to 48. Highs 52 to 62. Southwest wind around 25 mph. Minimum Humidity 34 to 44 pct. .SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of snow showers. Lows 32 to 42. Highs 45 to 55. West wind around 20 mph. Minimum Humidity 27 to 37 pct. .SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows 29 to 39. Highs 54 to 64. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 12 to 22 pct. .WASHINGTONS BIRTHDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows 36 to 46. Highs 58 to 68. .TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 36 to 46. Highs 54 to 64. NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 154 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE AVERAGE ACROSS THE ZONE $$ Visit us on Facebook...Twitter...YouTube...and at weather.gov/Tucson