Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ
683
FNUS55 KTWC 151037
FWFTWC
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Arizona
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
337 AM MST Sat Nov 15 2025
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20-FOOT WIND FORECAST OF `LIGHT WINDS` INDICATES MAINLY
TERRAIN DRIVEN WINDS
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.DISCUSSION...Dry conditions and high temperatures 5-8 degrees
above normal will continue through today. A storm system will
begin to move across the area from the west late this afternoon
and this evening. Showers will increasing in coverage during the
day Sunday, with embedded thunderstorms and cooler temperatures.
Breezy southwest winds of 15-25 mph with gusts to 30-40 mph are
expected on Sunday. Minimum RH values in the valleys of 20-25
percent and 25-30 percent in the mounatins today, with elevated Min
RH values through all of next week at 33-43 percent in the
valleys and 50-60+ percent in the mountains. Another storm system
is expected to move into the area Tuesday and Wednesday bringing
another round of precipitation across Southeast Arizona, along
with breezy south to southwest winds Tuesday.
AZZ150-160100-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 150
Sonoran FDRA-Most of Pima County-South Central Pinal County-
Tohono O`odham Nation-Tucson Metropolitan area-TDC-
337 AM MST Sat Nov 15 2025
.TODAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (40-50 pct) then becoming
mostly cloudy (45-55 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........10 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Max Temperature..........75 to 85 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 degs.
* Min Humidity.............28 to 38 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 9 to 13 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South around 15 mph increasing to around
30 mph in the afternoon.
* Mixing height............8215 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........South 14 to 20 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (164300 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (45-55 pct) then becoming
partly cloudy (40-50 pct). Slight chance
of showers.
* Chance of Precip.........30 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Min Temperature..........53 to 63 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 1 deg.
* Max Humidity.............79 to 89 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 21 to 25 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 35 to 40 mph.
.SUNDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (50-60 pct) then becoming
partly cloudy (45-55 pct). Chance of
showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........40 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........20 pct.
* Max Temperature..........65 to 75 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 7 to 11 degs.
* Min Humidity.............42 to 52 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 9 to 13 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest 10 to 20 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 35 to 40 mph.
* Mixing height............6039 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........Southwest 21 to 23 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (138897 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows 45 to 55. Highs 65 to 75. Light
winds. Minimum Humidity 37 to 47 pct.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows 47 to 57. Highs 60 to 70. South wind around
20 mph. Minimum Humidity 46 to 56 pct.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance
of thunderstorms. Lows 44 to 54. Highs 56 to 66. Light winds.
Minimum Humidity 52 to 62 pct.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows 40 to
50. Highs 58 to 68.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows 42 to 52. Highs
60 to 70.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 150 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE TUCSON INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT
LOCATION (2550 MSL)
$$
AZZ151-160100-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 151
Western half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to
5500 feet in Southeast corner of Pinal County-
Extreme Eastern Pima County-Western third of Cochise County-
Santa Cruz County-TDC-
337 AM MST Sat Nov 15 2025
.TODAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny (20-30 pct) then becoming
partly cloudy (45-55 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Max Temperature..........72 to 82 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 degs.
* Min Humidity.............23 to 33 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 7 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 20 to 25 mph.
* Mixing height............6010 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........South 13 to 15 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Very good (90150 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (40-50 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........10 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Min Temperature..........47 to 57 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 1 deg.
* Max Humidity.............75 to 85 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 18 to 22 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest around 25 mph increasing to
around 40 mph after midnight.
.SUNDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (40-50 pct) then becoming
mostly cloudy (50-60 pct). Chance of
showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........30 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........20 pct.
* Max Temperature..........62 to 72 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 8 to 12 degs.
* Min Humidity.............47 to 57 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 26 to 30 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest 10 to 20 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 35 to 40 mph.
* Mixing height............5066 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........Southwest 22 to 24 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (121584 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows 38 to 48. Highs 61 to 71. Light
winds. Minimum Humidity 37 to 47 pct.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows 39 to 49. Highs 58 to 68. South wind around
20 mph. Minimum Humidity 42 to 52 pct.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows 38 to 48.
Highs 52 to 62. Southwest wind around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity
60 to 70 pct.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows 33 to
43. Highs 53 to 63.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows 34 to 44. Highs
56 to 66.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 151 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE BUENOS AIRES N.W.R. LOCATION
(3500 MSL)
$$
AZZ152-160100-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 152
Eastern half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to
5500 feet in Southwest Graham County and Eastern two thirds of
Cochise County-Southern San Carlos Reservation-
Southern Greenlee County below 5000 feet-TDC-
337 AM MST Sat Nov 15 2025
.TODAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny (15-25 pct) then becoming
partly cloudy (35-45 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Max Temperature..........71 to 81 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 2 to 5 degs.
* Min Humidity.............20 to 30 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 1 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southeast around 10 mph shifting to the
southwest in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 15 to 20 mph.
* Mixing height............5506 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........Southeast 11 knots shifting to the
southwest 13 knots in the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Very good (71578 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (40-50 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Min Temperature..........46 to 56 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 degs.
* Max Humidity.............72 to 82 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 16 to 20 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest around 10 mph shifting to the
south after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest around 20 mph increasing to
around 30 mph after midnight.
.SUNDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (40-50 pct). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........20 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........20 pct.
* Max Temperature..........64 to 74 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 5 to 9 degs.
* Min Humidity.............44 to 54 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 21 to 25 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South around 20 mph shifting to the
southwest in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 35 to 40 mph.
* Mixing height............6003 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........Southwest 20 to 26 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (156078 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows 38 to 48. Highs 61 to 71. Light
winds. Minimum Humidity 35 to 45 pct.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows 38 to 48. Highs 59 to 69. South wind around
20 mph. Minimum Humidity 38 to 48 pct.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance
of thunderstorms. Lows 38 to 48. Highs 52 to 62. Southwest wind
around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 57 to 67 pct.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows 32 to
42. Highs 52 to 62.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows 32 to 42.
Highs 55 to 65.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 152 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE CHIRICAHUA N.M. LOCATION (5400 MSL)
$$
AZZ153-160100-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 153
Northern Graham County-Northern Greenlee County-
White and Gila Mountains-Apache Sitgreaves NF-
Southern San Carlos Reservation above 5000 feet-SDC-
337 AM MST Sat Nov 15 2025
.TODAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny (10-20 pct) then becoming
partly cloudy (40-50 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Max Temperature..........61 to 71 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 2 to 5 degs.
* Min Humidity.............23 to 33 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..East around 10 mph shifting to the south
in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 15 to 20 mph.
* Mixing height............5854 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........East 12 knots shifting to the south 15
knots in the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Very good (87810 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (45-55 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........10 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Min Temperature..........41 to 51 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 1 deg.
* Max Humidity.............72 to 82 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 19 to 23 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West around 10 mph in the evening
becoming light.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 20 to 25 mph.
.SUNDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (50-60 pct). Chance of
showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........50 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........20 pct.
* Max Temperature..........51 to 61 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 7 to 11 degs.
* Min Humidity.............60 to 70 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 34 to 38 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South 15 to 20 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest around 25 mph increasing to
around 35 mph in the afternoon.
* Mixing height............3962 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........South 17 to 21 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Very good (83202 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows 33 to 43. Highs 50 to 60. Light
winds. Minimum Humidity 44 to 54 pct.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows 34 to 44. Highs 47 to 57. South wind around
15 mph. Minimum Humidity 51 to 61 pct.
.WEDNESDAY...Showers, snow showers likely and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows 33 to 43. Highs 41 to 51. Light winds.
Minimum Humidity 68 to 78 pct.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of rain and snow
showers. Lows 27 to 37. Highs 43 to 53.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of rain and snow showers.
Lows 27 to 37. Highs 45 to 55.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 153 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE POINT OF PINES LOCATION (6040 MSL)
$$
AZZ154-160100-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 154
Forest Woodlands FDRA including the Sky Islands of Southeast
Arizona above 5500 feet-Coronado NF-TDC-
337 AM MST Sat Nov 15 2025
.TODAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny (15-25 pct) then becoming
partly cloudy (40-50 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Max Temperature..........62 to 72 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 2 to 5 degs.
* Min Humidity.............25 to 35 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 20 to 25 mph.
* Mixing height............5984 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........South 13 to 14 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Very good (80784 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (30-40 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........10 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Min Temperature..........44 to 54 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............67 to 77 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 19 to 23 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest around 20 mph increasing to
around 35 mph after midnight.
.SUNDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (40-50 pct). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........30 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........20 pct.
* Max Temperature..........54 to 64 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 6 to 10 degs.
* Min Humidity.............51 to 61 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 25 to 29 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Breezy. Southwest 15 to 25 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 35 to 40 mph.
* Mixing height............6136 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........Southwest 24 to 27 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (156468 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows 36 to 46. Highs 53 to 63. Light
winds. Minimum Humidity 42 to 52 pct.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows 38 to 48. Highs 50 to 60. South wind around
20 mph. Minimum Humidity 46 to 56 pct.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance
of thunderstorms. Lows 37 to 47. Highs 43 to 53. Southwest wind
around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 63 to 73 pct.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of snow showers and slight
chance of showers. Lows 31 to 41. Highs 43 to 53.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows 31 to 41. Highs
47 to 57.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 154 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE AVERAGE ACROSS THE ZONE
$$
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