Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ
053
FNUS55 KTWC 072226
FWFTWC
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Arizona
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
326 PM MST Tue Oct 7 2025
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20-FOOT WIND FORECAST OF `LIGHT WINDS` INDICATES MAINLY
TERRAIN DRIVEN WINDS
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.DISCUSSION...Minimum relative humidities in the 10-20 percent
range today, then quickly rising Wednesday onwards as moisture
moves in. Winds become southeasterly Wednesday through Friday.
Strongest southeasterly winds likely in the Gila River Valley
where 15-20 mph winds and gusts to 30 mph are forecast. Isolated
to scattered shower chances from Wednesday through Friday, then
increasing chances for wetting rain arrives this weekend.
AZZ150-081200-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 150
Sonoran FDRA-Most of Pima County-South Central Pinal County-
Tohono O`odham Nation-Tucson Metropolitan area-TDC-
326 PM MST Tue Oct 7 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly clear (15-25 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Min Temperature..........62 to 72 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 6 degs.
* Max Humidity.............27 to 37 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 6 to 10 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest around 10 mph shifting to the
southeast after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 15 to 20 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny (20-30 pct) then becoming
partly cloudy (40-50 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........10 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Max Temperature..........91 to 101 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Min Humidity.............19 to 29 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 9 to 13 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southeast around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 15 to 20 mph.
* Mixing height............9765 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........Southeast 10 to 11 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (107415 knot-ft).
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (45-55 pct) then becoming
mostly cloudy (60-70 pct). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........10 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........10 pct.
* Min Temperature..........69 to 79 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 4 to 8 degs.
* Max Humidity.............46 to 56 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 15 to 19 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southeast around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southeast 15 to 20 mph.
.THURSDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (60-70 pct). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........20 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........20 pct.
* Max Temperature..........87 to 97 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 2 to 5 degs.
* Min Humidity.............28 to 38 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 9 to 13 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..East 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South around 25 mph decreasing to around
15 mph in the afternoon.
* Mixing height............9133 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........East 13 to 15 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (136995 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 68 to 78. Highs 89 to 99. East wind around 15 mph. Minimum
Humidity 32 to 42 pct.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 66 to 76. Highs 82 to 92. South wind around 15 mph. Minimum
Humidity 43 to 53 pct.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows 63 to 73. Highs 78 to 88. Light winds.
Minimum Humidity 48 to 58 pct.
.COLUMBUS DAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows 61 to 71. Highs 78 to 88.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows 61 to 71. Highs 78 to 88.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 150 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE TUCSON INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT
LOCATION (2550 MSL)
$$
AZZ151-081200-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 151
Western half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to
5500 feet in Southeast corner of Pinal County-
Extreme Eastern Pima County-Western third of Cochise County-
Santa Cruz County-TDC-
326 PM MST Tue Oct 7 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (20-30 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Min Temperature..........57 to 67 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 7 degs.
* Max Humidity.............45 to 55 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 7 to 11 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest around 10 mph shifting to the
southeast after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (35-45 pct) then becoming
mostly cloudy (45-55 pct). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........20 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........20 pct.
* Max Temperature..........83 to 93 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 deg.
* Min Humidity.............27 to 37 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 15 to 19 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southeast 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 10 to 15 mph.
* Mixing height............8581 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........Southeast 13 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (111553 knot-ft).
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (60-70 pct). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........20 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........20 pct.
* Min Temperature..........61 to 71 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 degs.
* Max Humidity.............65 to 75 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 17 to 21 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..East 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southeast 15 to 20 mph.
.THURSDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (55-65 pct). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........20 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........20 pct.
* Max Temperature..........81 to 91 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 degs.
* Min Humidity.............35 to 45 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 8 to 12 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..East 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southeast 15 to 20 mph.
* Mixing height............8712 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........Southeast 16 to 17 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (148104 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 61 to 71. Highs 84 to 94. Southeast wind
around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 34 to 44 pct.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 60 to 70. Highs 79 to 89. South wind around 15 mph. Minimum
Humidity 42 to 52 pct.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows 58 to 68. Highs 72 to 82. Southwest wind
around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 53 to 63 pct.
.COLUMBUS DAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 56 to 66. Highs 71 to 81.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows 56 to 66. Highs 73 to 83.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 151 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE BUENOS AIRES N.W.R. LOCATION
(3500 MSL)
$$
AZZ152-081200-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 152
Eastern half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to
5500 feet in Southwest Graham County and Eastern two thirds of
Cochise County-Southern San Carlos Reservation-
Southern Greenlee County below 5000 feet-TDC-
326 PM MST Tue Oct 7 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (40-50 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........10 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Min Temperature..........58 to 68 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 7 degs.
* Max Humidity.............61 to 71 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 17 to 21 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southeast 15 to 20 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (40-50 pct) then becoming
mostly cloudy (45-55 pct). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........20 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........20 pct.
* Max Temperature..........80 to 90 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 degs.
* Min Humidity.............32 to 42 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 19 to 23 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southeast 10 to 20 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 10 to 15 mph.
* Mixing height............5108 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........Southeast 19 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Very good (97052 knot-ft).
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (60-70 pct). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........30 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........20 pct.
* Min Temperature..........60 to 70 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 degs.
* Max Humidity.............67 to 77 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 5 to 9 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..East 15 to 20 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southeast 20 to 25 mph.
.THURSDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (50-60 pct). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........10 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........10 pct.
* Max Temperature..........79 to 89 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 deg.
* Min Humidity.............38 to 48 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 6 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..East 10 to 20 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southeast 20 to 25 mph.
* Mixing height............5962 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........Southeast 21 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (125202 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 60 to 70. Highs 82 to 92. Southeast wind
around 20 mph. Minimum Humidity 33 to 43 pct.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 59 to 69. Highs 79 to 89. South wind around 15 mph. Minimum
Humidity 40 to 50 pct.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows 57 to 67. Highs 71 to 81. Light winds.
Minimum Humidity 53 to 63 pct.
.COLUMBUS DAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 55 to 65. Highs 71 to 81.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows 55 to 65. Highs 73 to 83.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 152 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE CHIRICAHUA N.M. LOCATION (5400 MSL)
$$
AZZ153-081200-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 153
Northern Graham County-Northern Greenlee County-
White and Gila Mountains-Apache Sitgreaves NF-
Southern San Carlos Reservation above 5000 feet-SDC-
326 PM MST Tue Oct 7 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (25-35 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........10 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Min Temperature..........50 to 60 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 7 degs.
* Max Humidity.............71 to 81 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 37 to 41 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southeast 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South around 15 mph increasing to around
25 mph after midnight.
.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (35-45 pct). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........40 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........40 pct.
* Max Temperature..........69 to 79 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 2 to 5 degs.
* Min Humidity.............48 to 58 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 28 to 32 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southeast 15 to 20 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 15 to 20 mph.
* Mixing height............6300 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........Southeast 17 to 18 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (113400 knot-ft).
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (50-60 pct). Chance of
showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........30 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........20 pct.
* Min Temperature..........51 to 61 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 degs.
* Max Humidity.............76 to 86 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 6 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southeast 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southeast 25 to 30 mph.
.THURSDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (70-80 pct). Chance of
showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........30 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........20 pct.
* Max Temperature..........67 to 77 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 degs.
* Min Humidity.............53 to 63 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 6 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southeast 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southeast 25 to 30 mph.
* Mixing height............5984 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........Southeast 21 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (125664 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 53 to 63. Highs 69 to 79. Southeast wind
around 20 mph. Minimum Humidity 44 to 54 pct.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 53 to 63. Highs 68 to 78. South wind around 15 mph. Minimum
Humidity 49 to 59 pct.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 49 to 59. Highs 61 to 71. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
58 to 68 pct.
.COLUMBUS DAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 47 to 57. Highs 60 to 70.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows 49 to 59. Highs 63 to 73.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 153 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE POINT OF PINES LOCATION (6040 MSL)
$$
AZZ154-081200-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 154
Forest Woodlands FDRA including the Sky Islands of Southeast
Arizona above 5500 feet-Coronado NF-TDC-
326 PM MST Tue Oct 7 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (40-50 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........10 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Min Temperature..........54 to 64 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 degs.
* Max Humidity.............51 to 61 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 16 to 20 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South around 10 mph shifting to the
southeast after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southeast 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (40-50 pct) then becoming
mostly cloudy (50-60 pct). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........20 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........20 pct.
* Max Temperature..........71 to 81 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 degs.
* Min Humidity.............41 to 51 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 24 to 28 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southeast 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southeast 10 to 15 mph.
* Mixing height............6685 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........Southeast 15 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (100275 knot-ft).
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (65-75 pct). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........20 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........20 pct.
* Min Temperature..........54 to 64 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 1 deg.
* Max Humidity.............68 to 78 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 16 to 20 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..East 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southeast 20 to 25 mph.
.THURSDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (50-60 pct). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........20 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........20 pct.
* Max Temperature..........70 to 80 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 deg.
* Min Humidity.............52 to 62 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 11 to 15 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..East 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southeast 20 to 25 mph.
* Mixing height............7511 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........Southeast 18 to 19 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (138953 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 55 to 65. Highs 73 to 83. Southeast wind
around 20 mph. Minimum Humidity 39 to 49 pct.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 55 to 65. Highs 70 to 80. South wind around 15 mph. Minimum
Humidity 46 to 56 pct.
.SUNDAY...Showers likely and slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows
52 to 62. Highs 62 to 72. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 61 to
71 pct.
.COLUMBUS DAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 51 to 61. Highs 61 to 71.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows 51 to 61. Highs 64 to 74.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 154 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE AVERAGE ACROSS THE ZONE
$$
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