Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ
713
FNUS55 KTWC 030919
FWFTWC
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Arizona
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
219 AM MST Thu Jul 3 2025
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20-FOOT WIND FORECAST OF `LIGHT WINDS` INDICATES MAINLY
TERRAIN DRIVEN WINDS
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.DISCUSSION...Slightly below normal temperatures through
Friday, then warming back this weekend into next week. Expect
scattered showers and thunderstorms this afternoon into evening with
locally heavy rainfall. A decrease in thunderstorm activity is
expected Friday through the weekend as the area transitions into a
low grade monsoon pattern. An eventual uptick in monsoon activity is
expected next week but will be dependent on how quick the high
pressure aloft shifts north. Winds generally light and under 15 mph
with the exception of gusty and erratic winds up to 35-45 mph near
any thunderstorms.
AZZ150-032215-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 150
Sonoran FDRA-Most of Pima County-South Central Pinal County-
Tohono O`odham Nation-Tucson Metropolitan area-TDC-
219 AM MST Thu Jul 3 2025
.TODAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (30-40 pct). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........30 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........30 pct.
* Max Temperature..........91 to 101 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 degs.
* Min Humidity.............28 to 38 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 5 to 10 mph.
* Mixing height............9579 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........South 12 to 18 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (172422 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (30-40 pct). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........30 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........20 pct.
* Min Temperature..........70 to 80 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 degs.
* Max Humidity.............58 to 68 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 15 to 19 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
.INDEPENDENCE DAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (30-40 pct). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........20 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........20 pct.
* Max Temperature..........92 to 102 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 1 deg.
* Min Humidity.............26 to 36 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 5 to 10 mph.
* Mixing height............9053 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........Southwest 14 to 20 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (181060 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 72 to 82. Highs 95 to 105. Light winds.
Minimum Humidity 18 to 28 pct.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 73 to 83. Highs 99 to 109. Light winds.
Minimum Humidity 13 to 21 pct.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 74 to 84. Highs 100 to 110. Light winds.
Minimum Humidity 13 to 23 pct.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 75 to 85. Highs 100 to 110.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of thunderstorms and slight
chance of showers. Lows 75 to 85. Highs 100 to 110.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 150 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE TUCSON INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT
LOCATION (2550 MSL)
$$
AZZ151-032215-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 151
Western half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to
5500 feet in Southeast corner of Pinal County-
Extreme Eastern Pima County-Western third of Cochise County-
Santa Cruz County-TDC-
219 AM MST Thu Jul 3 2025
.TODAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (40-50 pct) then becoming
mostly cloudy (50-60 pct). Chance of
thunderstorms and slight chance of
showers.
* Chance of Precip.........50 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........50 pct.
* Max Temperature..........84 to 94 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 2 to 5 degs.
* Min Humidity.............35 to 45 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 4 to 8 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South around 10 mph shifting to the west
in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........West 5 to 10 mph.
* Mixing height............8478 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........Southwest 10 knots shifting to the west
11 knots in the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Very good (93258 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (35-45 pct). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........40 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........40 pct.
* Min Temperature..........63 to 73 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 degs.
* Max Humidity.............71 to 81 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 14 to 18 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........West around 15 mph decreasing to around
5 mph after midnight.
.INDEPENDENCE DAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (35-45 pct). Chance of
thunderstorms and slight chance of
showers.
* Chance of Precip.........30 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........30 pct.
* Max Temperature..........85 to 95 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Min Humidity.............31 to 41 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 3 to 6 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 5 to 10 mph.
* Mixing height............8424 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........West 10 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Very good (84240 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 64 to 74. Highs 89 to 99. Light winds.
Minimum Humidity 22 to 32 pct.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 66 to 76. Highs 93 to 103. Light winds.
Minimum Humidity 16 to 26 pct.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 68 to 78. Highs 94 to 104. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
16 to 26 pct.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 67 to 77. Highs 94 to 104.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 69 to 79. Highs 95 to 105.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 151 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE BUENOS AIRES N.W.R. LOCATION
(3500 MSL)
$$
AZZ152-032215-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 152
Eastern half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to
5500 feet in Southwest Graham County and Eastern two thirds of
Cochise County-Southern San Carlos Reservation-
Southern Greenlee County below 5000 feet-TDC-
219 AM MST Thu Jul 3 2025
.TODAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (55-65 pct). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........50 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........50 pct.
* Max Temperature..........84 to 94 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 degs.
* Min Humidity.............29 to 39 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest around 10 mph shifting to the
west in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........West 10 to 15 mph.
* Mixing height............6951 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........West 8 to 13 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Very good (90363 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (35-45 pct). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........40 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........40 pct.
* Min Temperature..........63 to 73 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 degs.
* Max Humidity.............67 to 77 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 12 to 16 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........West 15 to 20 mph.
.INDEPENDENCE DAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (30-40 pct). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........20 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........20 pct.
* Max Temperature..........87 to 97 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 degs.
* Min Humidity.............24 to 34 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 7 to 11 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........West 5 to 10 mph.
* Mixing height............8945 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........West 10 to 13 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (116285 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 64 to 74. Highs 91 to 101. Light
winds. Minimum Humidity 15 to 25 pct.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 67 to 77. Highs 95 to 105. Light winds.
Minimum Humidity 11 to 21 pct.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 68 to 78. Highs 95 to 105. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
12 to 22 pct.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 68 to 78. Highs 95 to 105.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 69 to 79. Highs 96 to 106.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 152 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE CHIRICAHUA N.M. LOCATION (5400 MSL)
$$
AZZ153-032215-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 153
Northern Graham County-Northern Greenlee County-
White and Gila Mountains-Apache Sitgreaves NF-
Southern San Carlos Reservation above 5000 feet-SDC-
219 AM MST Thu Jul 3 2025
.TODAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (55-65 pct). Thunderstorms
likely and chance of showers.
* Chance of Precip.........60 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........60 pct.
* Max Temperature..........74 to 84 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 deg.
* Min Humidity.............35 to 45 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Light winds becoming west around 15 mph
in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northwest 5 to 10 mph.
* Mixing height............8399 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........Northwest 9 to 15 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (125985 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (30-40 pct). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........40 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........40 pct.
* Min Temperature..........54 to 64 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............66 to 76 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 10 to 14 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Northwest 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........West 15 to 20 mph.
.INDEPENDENCE DAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny (10-20 pct) then becoming
partly cloudy (25-35 pct).
* Chance of Precip.........10 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........0 pct.
* Max Temperature..........78 to 88 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 6 degs.
* Min Humidity.............19 to 29 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 13 to 17 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northwest 10 to 15 mph.
* Mixing height............9424 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........West 10 to 14 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (131936 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 56 to 66. Highs 83 to 93. Light
winds. Minimum Humidity 13 to 23 pct.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 59 to 69. Highs 86 to 96. Light winds.
Minimum Humidity 11 to 19 pct.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 60 to 70. Highs 84 to 94. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
16 to 26 pct.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 60 to 70. Highs 85 to 95.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 61 to 71. Highs 86 to 96.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 153 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE POINT OF PINES LOCATION (6040 MSL)
$$
AZZ154-032215-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 154
Forest Woodlands FDRA including the Sky Islands of Southeast
Arizona above 5500 feet-Coronado NF-TDC-
219 AM MST Thu Jul 3 2025
.TODAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (50-60 pct). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........50 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........50 pct.
* Max Temperature..........73 to 83 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 2 to 5 degs.
* Min Humidity.............42 to 52 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 4 to 8 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........West 10 to 15 mph.
* Mixing height............8248 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........West 8 to 11 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Very good (78356 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (50-60 pct) then becoming
partly cloudy (30-40 pct). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........40 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........40 pct.
* Min Temperature..........57 to 67 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 degs.
* Max Humidity.............72 to 82 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 7 to 11 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........West 10 to 15 mph.
.INDEPENDENCE DAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (30-40 pct) then becoming
mostly cloudy (45-55 pct). Chance of
thunderstorms and slight chance of
showers.
* Chance of Precip.........30 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........30 pct.
* Max Temperature..........75 to 85 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 degs.
* Min Humidity.............36 to 46 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 5 to 9 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........West 5 to 10 mph.
* Mixing height............8996 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........West 9 to 12 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Very good (94458 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 59 to 69. Highs 80 to 90. Northwest wind
around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 24 to 34 pct.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 62 to 72. Highs 84 to 94. Light winds.
Minimum Humidity 16 to 26 pct.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 64 to 74. Highs 84 to 94. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
17 to 27 pct.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 63 to 73. Highs 84 to 94.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 65 to 75. Highs 85 to 95.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 154 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE AVERAGE ACROSS THE ZONE
$$
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