Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ
870
FNUS55 KTWC 010941
FWFTWC
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Arizona
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
241 AM MST Tue Jul 1 2025
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20-FOOT WIND FORECAST OF `LIGHT WINDS` INDICATES MAINLY
TERRAIN DRIVEN WINDS
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
.DISCUSSION...Still hot today but about 5 degrees of cooling
compared to Monday as additional moisture moves in. Min RH`s
increase to 15 to 30 percent today with scattered showers and
thunderstorms for most of southeast Arizona. Even higher moisture
levels move in for Wednesday and Thursday when some of the
thunderstorms have the potential for locally heavy rain. Some drying
will tend to lower thunderstorm chances to around 20 to 30 percent
Friday into the weekend with the highest chances along the Int`l
border. Gusty east to southeast winds this morning, otherwise winds
generally light and under 15 mph with isolated gusts up to around 50
mph in/near any thunderstorms.
AZZ150-012230-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 150
Sonoran FDRA-Most of Pima County-South Central Pinal County-
Tohono O`odham Nation-Tucson Metropolitan area-TDC-
241 AM MST Tue Jul 1 2025
.TODAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny (10-20 pct) then becoming
partly cloudy (40-50 pct). Areas of
blowing dust. Slight chance of showers
and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........20 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........20 pct.
* Max Temperature..........101 to 111 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 3 to 6 degs.
* Min Humidity.............15 to 25 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 7 to 11 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southeast 5 to 10 mph.
* Mixing height............14040 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........Southeast 12 to 19 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (266760 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (40-50 pct). Areas of
blowing dust. Slight chance of showers
and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........30 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........20 pct.
* Min Temperature..........74 to 84 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 degs.
* Max Humidity.............42 to 52 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 13 to 17 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........East 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny (20-30 pct) then becoming
partly cloudy (35-45 pct). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........30 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........30 pct.
* Max Temperature..........95 to 105 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 4 to 8 degs.
* Min Humidity.............26 to 36 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 9 to 13 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 5 to 10 mph.
* Mixing height............9033 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........South 14 to 17 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (153561 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows 72 to 82. Highs 91 to 101. South wind around
15 mph. Minimum Humidity 22 to 32 pct.
.INDEPENDENCE DAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 70 to 80. Highs 92 to 102. Light winds.
Minimum Humidity 19 to 29 pct.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 70 to 80. Highs 94 to 104. Light winds.
Minimum Humidity 16 to 26 pct.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 71 to 81. Highs 98 to 108.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 73 to 83. Highs 98 to 108.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 150 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE TUCSON INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT
LOCATION (2550 MSL)
$$
AZZ151-012230-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 151
Western half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to
5500 feet in Southeast corner of Pinal County-
Extreme Eastern Pima County-Western third of Cochise County-
Santa Cruz County-TDC-
241 AM MST Tue Jul 1 2025
.TODAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny (10-20 pct) then becoming
partly cloudy (40-50 pct). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........20 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........20 pct.
* Max Temperature..........92 to 102 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 3 to 7 degs.
* Min Humidity.............20 to 30 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 10 to 14 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southeast 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........East 5 to 10 mph.
* Mixing height............11444 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........Southeast 14 to 19 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (217436 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (55-65 pct) then becoming
partly cloudy (35-45 pct). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........40 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........40 pct.
* Min Temperature..........66 to 76 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 deg.
* Max Humidity.............58 to 68 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 11 to 15 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..East 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........East 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (25-35 pct) then becoming
mostly cloudy (65-75 pct). Showers
likely and chance of thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........70 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........50 pct.
* Max Temperature..........87 to 97 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 3 to 7 degs.
* Min Humidity.............31 to 41 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 10 to 14 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southeast around 15 mph shifting to the
southwest in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 5 to 10 mph.
* Mixing height............7507 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........Southeast 13 knots shifting to the west
10 knots in the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Very good (75070 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows 64 to 74. Highs 83 to 93. Light winds.
Minimum Humidity 32 to 42 pct.
.INDEPENDENCE DAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 64 to 74. Highs 85 to 95. Light winds.
Minimum Humidity 23 to 33 pct.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 64 to 74. Highs 88 to 98. Light winds.
Minimum Humidity 20 to 30 pct.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 65 to 75. Highs 92 to 102.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 66 to 76. Highs 92 to 102.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 151 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE BUENOS AIRES N.W.R. LOCATION
(3500 MSL)
$$
AZZ152-012230-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 152
Eastern half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to
5500 feet in Southwest Graham County and Eastern two thirds of
Cochise County-Southern San Carlos Reservation-
Southern Greenlee County below 5000 feet-TDC-
241 AM MST Tue Jul 1 2025
.TODAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny (15-25 pct) then becoming
partly cloudy (35-45 pct). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........20 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........20 pct.
* Max Temperature..........89 to 99 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 4 to 8 degs.
* Min Humidity.............19 to 29 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 9 to 13 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..East 15 to 20 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........East 10 to 15 mph.
* Mixing height............8789 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........East 17 to 22 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (193358 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (55-65 pct) then becoming
partly cloudy (35-45 pct). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........30 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........30 pct.
* Min Temperature..........66 to 76 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............60 to 70 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 10 to 14 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..East 10 to 20 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northeast 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (30-40 pct) then becoming
mostly cloudy (65-75 pct). Showers
likely and chance of thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........60 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........50 pct.
* Max Temperature..........86 to 96 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 2 to 5 degs.
* Min Humidity.............28 to 38 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 6 to 10 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southeast around 20 mph becoming south
around 10 mph in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........North around 5 mph shifting to the west
in the afternoon.
* Mixing height............7876 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........East 16 knots shifting to the northeast
10 knots in the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Very good (78760 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows 65 to 75. Highs 84 to 94. Southwest wind
around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 27 to 37 pct.
.INDEPENDENCE DAY...Partly cloudy. Lows 64 to 74. Highs 87 to 97.
West wind around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 18 to 28 pct.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 64 to 74. Highs 90 to 100.
Northwest wind around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 15 to 25 pct.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 66 to 76. Highs 93 to 103.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 68 to 78. Highs 93 to 103.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 152 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE CHIRICAHUA N.M. LOCATION (5400 MSL)
$$
AZZ153-012230-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 153
Northern Graham County-Northern Greenlee County-
White and Gila Mountains-Apache Sitgreaves NF-
Southern San Carlos Reservation above 5000 feet-SDC-
241 AM MST Tue Jul 1 2025
.TODAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny (20-30 pct) then becoming
mostly cloudy (45-55 pct). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........50 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........50 pct.
* Max Temperature..........79 to 89 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 5 to 9 degs.
* Min Humidity.............28 to 38 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 14 to 18 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southeast 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southeast 10 to 15 mph.
* Mixing height............9501 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........East 13 to 18 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (171018 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (65-75 pct) then becoming
partly cloudy (35-45 pct). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........40 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........40 pct.
* Min Temperature..........56 to 66 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 deg.
* Max Humidity.............71 to 81 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 13 to 17 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..East 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South around 5 mph shifting to the
northeast after midnight.
.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (30-40 pct) then becoming
mostly cloudy (75-85 pct). Showers and
thunderstorms likely.
* Chance of Precip.........70 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........70 pct.
* Max Temperature..........75 to 85 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 2 to 5 degs.
* Min Humidity.............38 to 48 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 8 to 12 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southeast around 15 mph shifting to the
southwest in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northeast around 5 mph shifting to the
southwest in the afternoon.
* Mixing height............7001 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........Southeast 12 knots shifting to the west
11 knots in the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Very good (77011 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 56 to 66. Highs 74 to 84. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
33 to 43 pct.
.INDEPENDENCE DAY...Mostly clear. Lows 55 to 65. Highs 78 to 88.
Northwest wind around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 17 to 27 pct.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 56 to 66. Highs 82 to 92. Light
winds. Minimum Humidity 13 to 21 pct.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 58 to 68. Highs 85 to 95.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 60 to 70. Highs 83 to 93.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 153 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE POINT OF PINES LOCATION (6040 MSL)
$$
AZZ154-012230-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 154
Forest Woodlands FDRA including the Sky Islands of Southeast
Arizona above 5500 feet-Coronado NF-TDC-
241 AM MST Tue Jul 1 2025
.TODAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny (10-20 pct) then becoming
partly cloudy (30-40 pct). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........20 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........20 pct.
* Max Temperature..........80 to 90 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 4 to 8 degs.
* Min Humidity.............27 to 37 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 14 to 18 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Breezy. East around 25 mph decreasing to
around 15 mph in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........East 10 to 15 mph.
* Mixing height............11608 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........East 16 to 20 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (208944 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (45-55 pct) then becoming
partly cloudy (35-45 pct). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........40 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........40 pct.
* Min Temperature..........59 to 69 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 deg.
* Max Humidity.............63 to 73 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 10 to 14 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..East 10 to 20 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........East 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (30-40 pct) then becoming
mostly cloudy (70-80 pct). Showers and
thunderstorms likely.
* Chance of Precip.........70 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........70 pct.
* Max Temperature..........76 to 86 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 3 to 6 degs.
* Min Humidity.............41 to 51 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 11 to 15 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southeast around 20 mph becoming
southwest around 10 mph in the
afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........North around 5 mph shifting to the west
in the afternoon.
* Mixing height............8661 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........East 14 knots shifting to the north in
the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Very good (77949 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows 59 to 69. Highs 73 to 83. Light winds.
Minimum Humidity 40 to 50 pct.
.INDEPENDENCE DAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 59 to 69. Highs 76 to 86. West wind around
15 mph. Minimum Humidity 27 to 37 pct.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 60 to 70. Highs 79 to 89. Northwest wind
around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 22 to 32 pct.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 61 to 71. Highs 82 to 92.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 63 to 73. Highs 82 to 92.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 154 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE AVERAGE ACROSS THE ZONE
$$
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