Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ
223
FNUS55 KTWC 092123
FWFTWC
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Arizona
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
223 PM MST Sat Aug 9 2025
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20-FOOT WIND FORECAST OF `LIGHT WINDS` INDICATES MAINLY
TERRAIN DRIVEN WINDS
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
.DISCUSSION...
High temperatures will remain several degrees above normal through
the coming week. Daily chances for thunderstorms and wetting rains
through the week with daily variability in coverage and intensity. Min
RHs will generally be around 14-22 percent in the lower
elevations and 20-30 percent in the mountains. Winds will
generally be less than 15 mph with typical afternoon gusts up to
20 mph into the new week, though stronger northwesterly winds
possible in the Gila River Valley through early this coming week
with afternoon gusts up to 35 mph.
AZZ150-101415-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 150
Sonoran FDRA-Most of Pima County-South Central Pinal County-
Tohono O`odham Nation-Tucson Metropolitan area-TDC-
223 PM MST Sat Aug 9 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (30-40 pct). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........20 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........20 pct.
* Min Temperature..........74 to 84 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 deg.
* Max Humidity.............47 to 57 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest around 10 mph shifting to the
south after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northeast 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (30-40 pct). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........20 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........20 pct.
* Max Temperature..........99 to 109 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Min Humidity.............19 to 29 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest around 10 mph shifting to the
west in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northeast 5 to 10 mph.
* Mixing height............10177 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........Southwest 12 knots shifting to the
northwest in the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (122124 knot-ft).
.SUNDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (35-45 pct). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........20 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........20 pct.
* Min Temperature..........73 to 83 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............46 to 56 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 2 to 5 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West around 10 mph shifting to the south
after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........North 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny (15-25 pct) then becoming
partly cloudy (30-40 pct). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........20 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........20 pct.
* Max Temperature..........99 to 109 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Up 1 deg.
* Min Humidity.............19 to 29 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South around 10 mph shifting to the west
in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........North 10 to 15 mph.
* Mixing height............10445 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........South 17 knots shifting to the northwest
in the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (125340 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 74 to 84. Highs 101 to 111. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
14 to 24 pct.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 74 to 84. Highs 99 to 109. Light winds.
Minimum Humidity 14 to 24 pct.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 73 to 83. Highs 98 to 108. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
19 to 29 pct.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 72 to 82. Highs 95 to 105.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 71 to 81. Highs 93 to 103.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 150 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE TUCSON INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT
LOCATION (2550 MSL)
$$
AZZ151-101415-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 151
Western half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to
5500 feet in Southeast corner of Pinal County-
Extreme Eastern Pima County-Western third of Cochise County-
Santa Cruz County-TDC-
223 PM MST Sat Aug 9 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (40-50 pct). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........40 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........20 pct.
* Min Temperature..........65 to 75 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 deg.
* Max Humidity.............60 to 70 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 2 to 5 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........North 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (35-45 pct). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........50 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........50 pct.
* Max Temperature..........92 to 102 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 deg.
* Min Humidity.............21 to 31 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........North 10 to 15 mph.
* Mixing height............9471 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........Northwest 11 to 14 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (132594 knot-ft).
.SUNDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (50-60 pct) then becoming
partly cloudy (40-50 pct). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........30 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........20 pct.
* Min Temperature..........64 to 74 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............61 to 71 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West around 15 mph shifting to the south
after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........North 15 to 20 mph.
.MONDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny (20-30 pct) then becoming
partly cloudy (40-50 pct). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........50 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........50 pct.
* Max Temperature..........92 to 102 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Min Humidity.............21 to 31 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........North 10 to 15 mph.
* Mixing height............10629 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........Northwest 10 to 13 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (138177 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 66 to 76. Highs 93 to 103. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
18 to 28 pct.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 65 to 75. Highs 92 to 102. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
18 to 28 pct.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 65 to 75. Highs 91 to 101. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
22 to 32 pct.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 64 to 74. Highs 88 to 98.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 63 to 73. Highs 85 to 95.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 151 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE BUENOS AIRES N.W.R. LOCATION
(3500 MSL)
$$
AZZ152-101415-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 152
Eastern half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to
5500 feet in Southwest Graham County and Eastern two thirds of
Cochise County-Southern San Carlos Reservation-
Southern Greenlee County below 5000 feet-TDC-
223 PM MST Sat Aug 9 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (50-60 pct). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........40 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........40 pct.
* Min Temperature..........65 to 75 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 degs.
* Max Humidity.............56 to 66 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 6 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........North 15 to 20 mph.
.SUNDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (35-45 pct). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........40 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........40 pct.
* Max Temperature..........93 to 103 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 degs.
* Min Humidity.............17 to 27 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 6 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Northwest 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........North 10 to 15 mph.
* Mixing height............8632 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........Northwest 14 to 15 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (129480 knot-ft).
.SUNDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (55-65 pct) then becoming
partly cloudy (45-55 pct). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........40 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........40 pct.
* Min Temperature..........64 to 74 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 deg.
* Max Humidity.............59 to 69 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Northwest around 15 mph shifting to the
southwest after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northwest 20 to 25 mph.
.MONDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (20-30 pct) then becoming
mostly cloudy (45-55 pct). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........30 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........30 pct.
* Max Temperature..........92 to 102 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Min Humidity.............18 to 28 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Northwest 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........North around 20 mph decreasing to around
10 mph in the afternoon.
* Mixing height............9733 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........Northwest 11 to 14 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (136262 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 65 to 75. Highs 93 to 103. West wind around 15 mph. Minimum
Humidity 16 to 26 pct.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 64 to 74. Highs 92 to 102. West wind around 15 mph. Minimum
Humidity 16 to 26 pct.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 64 to 74. Highs 92 to 102. West wind around 15 mph. Minimum
Humidity 18 to 28 pct.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 64 to 74. Highs 88 to 98.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 63 to 73. Highs 86 to 96.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 152 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE CHIRICAHUA N.M. LOCATION (5400 MSL)
$$
AZZ153-101415-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 153
Northern Graham County-Northern Greenlee County-
White and Gila Mountains-Apache Sitgreaves NF-
Southern San Carlos Reservation above 5000 feet-SDC-
223 PM MST Sat Aug 9 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (55-65 pct) then becoming
partly cloudy (35-45 pct). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........30 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........20 pct.
* Min Temperature..........58 to 68 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 2 to 5 degs.
* Max Humidity.............48 to 58 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 11 to 15 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..North 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northwest 15 to 20 mph.
.SUNDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny (20-30 pct) then becoming
mostly cloudy (55-65 pct). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........50 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........50 pct.
* Max Temperature..........83 to 93 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 2 to 5 degs.
* Min Humidity.............19 to 29 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 4 to 8 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Northwest 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northwest 10 to 15 mph.
* Mixing height............11971 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........Northwest 13 to 14 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (167594 knot-ft).
.SUNDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (50-60 pct) then becoming
partly cloudy (45-55 pct). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........30 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........30 pct.
* Min Temperature..........57 to 67 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 degs.
* Max Humidity.............54 to 64 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 5 to 9 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Northwest 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northwest 20 to 25 mph.
.MONDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny (15-25 pct) then becoming
mostly cloudy (50-60 pct). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........40 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........40 pct.
* Max Temperature..........83 to 93 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Min Humidity.............15 to 25 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 2 to 5 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Northwest 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northwest around 25 mph decreasing to
around 15 mph in the afternoon.
* Mixing height............13122 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........Northwest 13 to 14 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (183708 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 58 to 68. Highs 83 to 93. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
18 to 27 pct.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 56 to 66. Highs 82 to 92. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
18 to 28 pct.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 57 to 67. Highs 82 to 92. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
17 to 27 pct.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of thunderstorms and slight
chance of showers. Lows 57 to 67. Highs 80 to 90.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 55 to 65. Highs 77 to 87.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 153 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE POINT OF PINES LOCATION (6040 MSL)
$$
AZZ154-101415-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 154
Forest Woodlands FDRA including the Sky Islands of Southeast
Arizona above 5500 feet-Coronado NF-TDC-
223 PM MST Sat Aug 9 2025
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (50-60 pct). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........50 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........50 pct.
* Min Temperature..........59 to 69 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 2 to 5 degs.
* Max Humidity.............54 to 64 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Down 2 to 5 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........North 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (30-40 pct) then becoming
mostly cloudy (50-60 pct). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........50 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........50 pct.
* Max Temperature..........82 to 92 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 degs.
* Min Humidity.............24 to 34 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Northwest 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........North 10 to 15 mph.
* Mixing height............10189 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........Northwest 12 to 13 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (127362 knot-ft).
.SUNDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy (55-65 pct) then becoming
partly cloudy (40-50 pct). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........40 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........40 pct.
* Min Temperature..........59 to 69 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............59 to 69 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West around 15 mph shifting to the
southwest after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........North 15 to 20 mph.
.MONDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy (20-30 pct) then becoming
mostly cloudy (60-70 pct). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Chance of Precip.........50 pct.
* Chance of Thunder........50 pct.
* Max Temperature..........81 to 91 degs.
24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Min Humidity.............24 to 34 pct.
24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Northwest 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........North 10 to 15 mph.
* Mixing height............11167 ft AGL.
* Transport winds..........Northwest 11 to 12 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (128420 knot-ft).
.Forecast days 3 through 7......
Winds in Days 3 through 5 are surface 20 ft/10-min avg
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 61 to 71. Highs 83 to 93. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
24 to 34 pct.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 59 to 69. Highs 81 to 91. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
22 to 32 pct.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 60 to 70. Highs 81 to 91. West wind around 15 mph. Minimum
Humidity 25 to 35 pct.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 59 to 69. Highs 77 to 87.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 58 to 68. Highs 75 to 85.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 154 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE AVERAGE ACROSS THE ZONE
$$
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