Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ
009 FXUS65 KTWC 022023 AFDTWC Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tucson AZ 123 PM MST Tue Dec 2 2025 .SYNOPSIS...Dry weather with seasonable high temperatures. A weather system will afternoon breezes Wednesday, then cooler temperatures and a very slight chance of snow showers for the White Mountains Wednesday night. Dry weather then returns to Southeast Arizona Thursday into early next week with high temperatures returning to near seasonable levels this weekend. && .DISCUSSION... Sunny skies across southern Arizona today with near normal high temperatures and light winds. Tomorrow, as a deep trough passes to the north of us, winds from the west will increase to 15 to 20 MPH gusting to 30 MPH and temperatures will cool to just below normal. Highs will be in the upper 50s to mid 60s.There is a very slight chance for precipitation in the Whites with only trace amounts expected. After this trough pushes east and flattens, morning lows Friday will be nearly the coldest they have been so far this season with lows in the 30s across much of the region. Low temperature in Tucson Friday morning is currently forecast to be 39 degrees. Temperatures will stay near normal for the next several days until ridging begins to develop raising temperatures to above normal by late this weekend keeping conditions dry. && .AVIATION...Valid through 04/00Z. Skies SKC thru 03/06Z then FEW-SCT clouds AOA 5 kft and 15 kft AGL thru the end of the period. SFC wind WLY/NWLY at 8-12 kts with occasional gusts to 20 kts thru 03/03Z, then variable in direction and less than 12 kts overnight. SFC winds SWLY/WLY at 8-16 kts with gusts to 25 kts, with the strongest winds along the international border including KOLS and eastern valleys including KDUG, from 03/17Z thru the end of the period. Aviation discussion not updated for TAF amendments. && .FIRE WEATHER...Dry weather with near normal high temperatures through Wednesday. A weather system will initially bring some afternoon breezes Wednesday, then cooler temperatures and a slight chance of snow showers for the White Mountains Wednesday night. Expect elevated 20-foot winds from the west/southwest around 15 mph with gusts 25 mph over portions of eastern Santa Cruz and Cochise counties Wednesday afternoon. Otherwise, Min RH values will be in the 25-35 percent range through Friday, lowering to 20-30 percent this weekend. Dry weather with lighter winds will return to Southeast Arizona Thursday into early next week with high temperatures returning to near seasonable levels this weekend. && && .TWC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ Malarkey Visit us on Facebook...Twitter...YouTube...and at weather.gov/Tucson