877
FXUS65 KTWC 042026
AFDTWC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
126 PM MST Tue Nov 4 2025

.SYNOPSIS...Dry and warm conditions will prevail this week with high
temperatures running 4 to 9 degrees above normal.

&&

.DISCUSSION...Some may suggest that the word bland is generally
uninteresting or lacking enjoyment. I would suggest that with
regards to the weather over the next 7-days across Southeast
Arizona, it is not only beautiful...but something to sought
after, envied by many. The upper pattern this afternoon is
defined by a broad subtropical ridge extending across northern
Mexico and Gulf states, a trough spinning up in the Gulf of Alaska
and extensive westerly/zonal flow across our neck of the woods.
The upper trough is progged to open up the next few days, allowing
for ridging to establish itself across the Eastern Pacific. This
ridge will then amplify this weekend as it tracks into the
Western states early next week.

What does all of this mean for Southeast Arizona? Well...we will
remain unseasonably warm over the next week with occasional
patches of cirrus moving through from time-to-time. The amplified
flow will spice things up this weekend by shoving a surface high
moving through the southern Rockies south into southern New
Mexico. This will result in a breezy easterly flow for Southeast
Arizona both Sunday and Monday. Otherwise, as mentioned in the
previous forecast discussion...overnight lows will remain mild
although some eastern valleys, like Sulphur Springs, will continue
to see lows in the mid to upper 30s.

&&

.AVIATION...Valid through 05/12Z. SKC to SCT cirrus clouds AOA
20k ft AGL. SFC winds terrain and diurnally driven less than 12
kts. Aviation Discussion Not Updated for TAF Amendments.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...Dry and unseasonably warm conditions for the next
week with afternoon high temperatures generally 4 to 9 degrees
above normal. Minimum RH values over the next week will remain in
the 12-22 percent range.


&&

.TWC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...None.

&&

$$

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