Hazardous Weather Outlook
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK
365 FLUS44 KTSA 171010 HWOTSA Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Tulsa OK 510 AM CDT Sat May 17 2025 ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-181015- Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK- Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK- Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK- Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK- Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK- Washington OK-Washington AR- 510 AM CDT Sat May 17 2025 ...MULTIPLE ROUNDS OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE THROUGH TUESDAY... This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as much of Eastern Oklahoma. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight. TORNADO. RISK...Limited. AREA...Mainly Southeast Oklahoma. ONSET...This Afternoon. SEVERE THUNDERSTORM. RISK...Elevated. AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and Western Arkansas. ONSET...This Afternoon. DISCUSSION... Scattered thunderstorms will become possible this afternoon and evening as storms are forecast to develop along a dry line in western Oklahoma and northwest Texas. Storms will quickly move into portions of eastern Oklahoma. Conditions will support severe thunderstorms, with large hail the main threat, though damaging winds and tornadoes will also be possible, especially across southeast Oklahoma. Additional thunderstorms development is possible along a warm front later this evening and overnight across portions of northeast Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas. Large hail will again be the main threat with this activity through the overnight hours. SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT... Activation of the Regional Spotter Network Likely. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday. SUNDAY AND MONDAY...Severe Thunderstorm Potential...High Wind Potential...Heavy Rain Potential. TUESDAY...Thunderstorm Potential...High Wind Potential. WEDNESDAY...High Wind Potential. THURSDAY AND FRIDAY...Thunderstorm Potential. EXTENDED DISCUSSION... Unsettled weather will continue through Tuesday with several rounds of thunderstorms expected. Severe storm potential increases again during the day Sunday for eastern Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas and remain possible into Sunday night as a strong storm system moves out into the Plains. Higher thunderstorm coverage and severe potential are likely in the Monday through Tuesday time frame as the main upper storm system moves over the region. More widespread coverage of severe thunderstorms is progged by Monday afternoon, with all hazards in play, including the potential for very large hail and strong tornadoes with any discrete storms. In addition to the severe weather potential, locally heavy rainfall may also occur each day through Tuesday, especially for areas that see storms multiple days in a row. weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information. $$