Hazardous Weather Outlook
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK
805 FLUS44 KTSA 032254 HWOTSA Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Tulsa OK 554 PM CDT Thu Apr 3 2025 ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-041030- Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK- Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK- Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK- Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK- Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK- Washington OK-Washington AR- 554 PM CDT Thu Apr 3 2025 ...SEVERE WEATHER AND FLOODING THREAT TO INCREASE FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY... This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as much of Eastern Oklahoma. .DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight. SEVERE THUNDERSTORM. RISK...Elevated. AREA...Southeast Oklahoma and West-central Arkansas. ONSET...Ongoing...break during the evening...returning after midnight. HEAVY RAIN. RISK...Limited. AREA...Southeast Oklahoma and West-central Arkansas. ONSET...After midnight. DISCUSSION... A few strong to isolated severe storms could impact parts of far southeast Oklahoma and west-central Arkansas thru around sunset. After a lull in the activity during the evening, another round of storms is expected to move into the region from the southwest after midnight tonight, with an elevated severe weather risk. Large hail to 2 inches in diameter is the main threat, along with locally damaging wind. SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT... Activation of the Regional Spotter Network Likely. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday. FRIDAY...Severe Thunderstorm...High Wind...Heavy Rain Potential. SATURDAY...Thunderstorm...High Wind...Heavy Rain Potential. SUNDAY...High Wind Potential. MONDAY thru WEDNESDAY...No Hazards. EXTENDED DISCUSSION... Scattered to numerous thunderstorms are expected to be ongoing Friday morning across eastern Oklahoma into western Arkansas, with an elevated severe weather risk. Again, large hail to 2 inches in diameter is the primary threat, with locally damaging wind also possible. After a relative lull in the activity around midday, storms are expected to develop during the afternoon across far eastern Oklahoma into western Arkansas near a retreating front, with an elevated to near significant risk of severe weather. Environmental conditions would favor all modes of severe weather, including large hail, locally damaging winds, and tornadoes, some of which could be strong. This threat should shift to the east by mid-evening. Multiple rounds of thunderstorms between tonight and Saturday are expected to yield rainfall totals in the 5 to 8 inch range across far southeast Oklahoma into west-central Arkansas, with 3 to 5 inches across the remainder of southeast Oklahoma into far northwest Arkansas. Isolated totals to near 10 inches are possible. The heavy rainfall is likely to result in some dangerous flash flooding and main-stem river flooding that will likely linger into early next week. EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PLANNING STATEMENT... Severe weather and flooding impacts are likely to impact parts of eastern Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas now through the weekend. Multiple periods of response may be required. weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information. $$