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FLUS44 KTSA 171037
HWOTSA

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
537 AM CDT Fri Oct 17 2025

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-181045-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
537 AM CDT Fri Oct 17 2025

This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Northeast Oklahoma.
ONSET...After Midnight.

SIGNIFICANT WINDS.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Areawide.
ONSET...This Afternoon.

FIRE WEATHER DANGER.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Mostly Northeast Oklahoma.
ONSET...This Afternoon.


DISCUSSION...
Breezy and gusty southerly winds will develop by this afternoon
ahead of an approaching upper level storm system and cold front.
Wind gusts in excess of 25 mph will be possible across much of
eastern Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas. The gusty winds and
unseasonably warm temperature will also contribute to elevated
fire weather conditions, especially across northeast Oklahoma this
afternoon. The breezy winds and fire danger will decrease after
sunset this evening.

Thunderstorm chances will increase late tonight into Saturday
morning across northeast Oklahoma as an upper level trough
approaches from the northwest. Upper level forcing and a strong
low level jet will support scattered showers and thunderstorms to
develop. A few strong and marginally severe thunderstorms will be
possible, where large hail and damaging wind gusts will be the
main threats with the strongest storms.


SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Local Spotter Activation May Be Needed.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.
SATURDAY...Severe Thunderstorm...High Wind...and
        ...Heavy Rain Potential.
SUNDAY AND MONDAY...High Wind Potential.
TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...No Hazards.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
A cold front will move through eastern Oklahoma
and northwestern Arkansas on Saturday. Thunderstorms, including
possibly a few strong to marginally severe thunderstorms, will
likely be ongoing Saturday morning ahead of the cold front. Storms
are expected to reintensify, especially across far eastern
Oklahoma, southeastern Oklahoma, and northwestern Arkansas late
Saturday morning and through the afternoon, with all severe
hazards possible. Moderate to heavy rainfall will also be
possible with thunderstorm activity. Winds ahead of the
approaching cold front and behind the cold front will be gusty,
with northerly gusts between 25 and 35 mph behind the front.

Southerly winds will quickly return and become breezy again
Sunday and especially on Monday ahead of another approaching cold
front. Widespread southerly gusts in excess of 30 mph will occur
Monday morning into the afternoon prior to the cold front pushing
through late Monday afternoon into the evening. Much more tranquil
weather will occur starting Tuesday.

weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.

$$