Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK
293
FNUS74 KTSA 011249
FWSTSA
Spot Forecast for Hubbard Burn...Arkansas Department of Agriculture Forestry
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
749 AM CDT Tue Apr 1 2025
Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 CDT on April 01.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.
Please contact NWS Tulsa at (918)838-7838, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.
.DISCUSSION...
Strong south winds expected today with gusts between 25 to 35 mph.
Minimum relative humidity values likely fall to near 40-45% this
afternoon with strong moisture recovery tonight. Strong south
winds persist overnight into Wednesday morning before a frontal
boundary moves through the area. Winds become lighter out of the
WSW tomorrow afternoon following the frontal passage. Low storm
chances develop late this evening and overnight, becoming likely
by late overnight into Wednesday morning. Storms may be severe and
capable of producing large hail, damaging winds, and tornadoes.
Rainfall through tomorrow afternoon generally between one to three
quarters of an inch.
.REST OF TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent) then becoming partly
sunny (45-55 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 69.
Min humidity........45 percent.
Dewpoint............40 increasing to 47 late in the afternoon.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 13 to 14 mph with gusts to
around 26 mph.
Mixing height.......3800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 26 to 29 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (45901 knot-ft) early in the morning
increasing to excellent (98360 knot-ft) in the
afternoon.
Stability class.....3.
1700FT Avg MIX T(F).57 increasing to 68 late in the afternoon.
TIME (CDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........15 19 10 10 27 39 53 49
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............50 53 56 62 64 67 69 69
Dewpoint........38 38 40 41 42 45 47 49
RH..............63 57 55 46 45 45 45 49
20 FT wind dir..SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE
20 FT wind spd..14 15 15 15 15 15 15 15
20 FT wind gust.26 25 25 22 23 22 23 23
Mix hgt (kft)...1.6 1.8 1.9 2.5 2.9 3.3 3.8 3.4
Transp wind dir.SE SE SE SE SE SE S S
Transp wind spd.28 26 26 26 28 28 29 29
Vrate kt-ft/1K..46 46 46 98 98 98 98 98
Ventrate Cat....FR FR FR GD GD GD GD GD
1700FT Mix T(F).53 55 59 62 65 67 69 71
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms in the late evening
and overnight. Showers and thunderstorms likely
after 3 am.
Min temperature.....Around 63.
Max humidity........87 percent.
Dewpoint............52 increasing to 60.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds around 14 mph with gusts to around
24 mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected near
thunderstorms in the late evening and
overnight.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 21 to 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (98360 knot-ft) early in the evening
decreasing to fair (19016 knot-ft) late in the
night.
Stability class.....5.
1700FT Avg MIX T(F).71.
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........57 61 76 79 90 93 93 94 95 77 56 57
Weather cov..... CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY
Weather type.... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........ CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY
Temp............69 68 69 68 68 68 67 67 68 68 67 66
Dewpoint........50 52 53 54 55 57 58 60 61 61 61 59
RH..............51 57 57 61 63 68 73 78 78 78 81 78
20 FT wind dir..S SE SE SE SE SE S S S S S S
20 FT wind spd..15 15 15 16 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15
20 FT wind gust.24 22 22 22 22 22 22 22 22 23 23 23
Mix hgt (kft)...1.7 1.1 0.6 0.8 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.9 0.9
Transp wind dir.S SE S SE S S S S S S S S
Transp wind spd.25 24 25 25 24 23 21 21 21 22 22 21
Vrate kt-ft/1K..98 23 23 23 23 23 23 19 19 19 19 19
Ventrate Cat....GD PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
1700FT Mix T(F).72 72 71 70 69 70 71 72 73 74 74 74
.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent) then becoming
mostly sunny (45-55 percent). Thunderstorms in
the morning. Showers through the day.
Thunderstorms likely in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 73.
Min humidity........54 percent.
Dewpoint............59 decreasing to 55 late in the afternoon.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 7 to 14 mph. Gusts up to 31 mph.
Gusty and erratic winds expected near
thunderstorms early in the morning. Gusty and
erratic winds expected near thunderstorms in
the late morning and afternoon.
Mixing height.......4600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 21 to 28 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (19016 knot-ft) early in the morning
increasing to excellent (104918 knot-ft) in the
afternoon.
Stability class.....4.
1700FT Avg MIX T(F).71.
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........63 78 92 89 93 86 79 72 64 55 47 48
Weather cov.....LKY DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY
Weather type....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........LKY DEF DEF DEF CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY
Temp............66 64 64 64 66 66 67 68 70 72 73 73
Dewpoint........59 59 59 60 61 61 61 61 59 58 56 55
RH..............78 84 84 87 84 84 82 78 69 61 55 54
20 FT wind dir..S S S S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW
20 FT wind spd..14 14 14 13 12 12 11 11 11 10 9 7
20 FT wind gust.22 22 25 25 24 23 21 20 19 18 17 14
Mix hgt (kft)...1.0 0.9 1.3 1.4 1.4 1.8 2.3 2.8 3.7 4.4 4.6 3.6
Transp wind dir.S S S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
Transp wind spd.21 21 21 23 22 22 24 26 28 26 25 23
Vrate kt-ft/1K..19 49 49 49 49 49 49 105 105 105 105 105
Ventrate Cat....PR FR FR FR FR FR FR VGD VGD VGD VGD VGD
1700FT Mix T(F).73 73 73 74 74 72 69 68 69 71 73 75
$$
Forecaster...M.RADA
Requested by...Jerald McBride
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2508570.0/TSA
.DELDT 04/01/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL Jerald.McBride@agriculture.arkansas.gov