Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK
979
FNUS74 KTSA 072043
FWSTSA
Spot Forecast for Allen Creek...USFS
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
343 PM CDT Mon Sep 7 2026
Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1600 CDT on September 07.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.
Please contact NWS Tulsa at (918)838-7838, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.
...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING...
...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 7 PM CDT TUESDAY...
.DISCUSSION...
Temperatures in the upper 90s to lower 100s persist through this
afternoon, with coolest temperatures on the ridge top. Showers
and thunderstorms have developed in the vicinity this afternoon
and will have potential to produce cloud-to-ground lightning and
erratic, strong wind gusts. Storms to the southwest, in Pushmataha
county, have become strong as of 3 PM and are likely producing
wind gusts in excess of 50 mph. Low potential for wind gusts of
this magnitude will continue through 6 PM with any strong storm
that develops near the spot location. With time, storm coverage is
likely to decrease, especially by sunset. Outside of thunderstorm
influence, light southeast winds will persist through this
evening and into tonight with a low temperature in the low-mid
70s. Minimum relative humidity values between 30 and 40 percent
this afternoon will recover to near or above 70 percent overnight.
Weather conditions Tuesday will be similar with a high
temperature near 100 and light south-southeast winds. A slight
chance of thunderstorms develops again during the afternoon,
though coverage should be less than today. Locally gusty winds
will continue to be a concern with storms Tuesday.
.REST OF TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent). Scattered showers and
thunderstorms.
Max temperature.....Around 100.
Min humidity........37 percent.
Dewpoint............68.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds. Gusty and erratic winds expected
near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......5100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 6 to 7 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (30819 knot-ft).
Stability class.....2.
1700FT Avg MIX T(F).96.
Eye level winds.....Light winds.
TIME (CDT) 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........25 23
Weather cov.....SCT SCT
Weather type....RW RW
Tstm cov........SCT SCT
Temp............98 99
Dewpoint........69 68
RH..............39 37
20 FT wind dir..SE SE
20 FT wind spd..4 3
20 FT wind gust.7 7
Eye lvl wnd dir.SE SE
Eye lvl wnd spd.4 3
Eye lvl wnd gst.7 7
Mix hgt (kft)...5.1 3.7
Transp wind dir.S SE
Transp wind spd.6 7
Vrate kt-ft/1K..31 31
Ventrate Cat....PR PR
1700FT Mix T(F).96 96
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent). Scattered showers
and thunderstorms early in the evening.
Min temperature.....Around 75.
Max humidity........71 percent.
Dewpoint............68.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southeast 5 to 6 mph in
the late evening and overnight. Gusty and
erratic winds expected near thunderstorms early
in the evening.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 6 to 12 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (30819 knot-ft) early in the evening
decreasing to poor (4590 knot-ft) late in the
night.
Stability class.....4.
1700FT Avg MIX T(F).93.
Eye level winds.....Light winds becoming southeast around 5 mph in
the late evening and overnight.
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........21 17 9 11 8 16 24 13 12 9 11 11
Weather cov.....SCT
Weather type....RW
Tstm cov........SCT
Temp............97 91 88 84 82 82 81 80 79 79 77 77
Dewpoint........68 68 68 68 69 69 68 68 68 67 67 67
RH..............39 47 52 59 65 65 65 67 69 67 71 71
20 FT wind dir..SE SE E SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE
20 FT wind spd..3 3 3 4 4 5 4 5 4 4 4 4
20 FT wind gust.7 7 8 10 10 10 10 11 11 11 10 10
Eye lvl wnd dir.SE SE E SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE
Eye lvl wnd spd.3 3 3 4 4 5 4 5 4 4 4 4
Eye lvl wnd gst.7 7 8 10 10 10 10 11 11 11 10 10
Mix hgt (kft)...2.7 1.1 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.5
Transp wind dir.SE SE E SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE
Transp wind spd.7 6 6 7 9 9 10 10 12 12 10 9
Vrate kt-ft/1K..31 6 6 6 6 6 6 5 5 5 5 5
Ventrate Cat....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
1700FT Mix T(F).96 96 96 96 95 94 93 92 91 91 91 91
.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent). Slight chance of showers
and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 98.
Min humidity........34 percent.
Dewpoint............66.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southeast around 5 mph
late in the afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds
expected near thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......7400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 7 to 9 mph decreasing to 6 to 8 mph late
in the morning.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (4590 knot-ft) early in the morning
increasing to good (50491 knot-ft) in the
afternoon.
Stability class.....4.
1700FT Avg MIX T(F).93.
Eye level winds.....Light winds.
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........8 5 3 3 3 2 2 3 20 21 7 5
Weather cov..... SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type.... RW RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........ SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Temp............77 75 78 82 87 91 94 96 97 97 98 97
Dewpoint........66 65 67 68 68 68 68 68 67 66 65 65
RH..............69 71 69 63 53 47 43 40 38 37 34 35
20 FT wind dir..SE SE SE S S S S S S SE SE SE
20 FT wind spd..3 3 3 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 4
20 FT wind gust.8 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 7 7 8 8
Eye lvl wnd dir.SE SE SE S S S S S S SE SE SE
Eye lvl wnd spd.3 3 3 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 4
Eye lvl wnd gst.8 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 7 7 8 8
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 0.4 1.1 1.8 3.9 5.8 7.3 7.4 6.9 7.1 6.6
Transp wind dir.SE SE SE S S SW S S S S S S
Transp wind spd.9 8 8 8 7 7 6 6 6 7 8 8
Vrate kt-ft/1K..5 30 30 30 30 30 30 50 50 50 50 50
Ventrate Cat....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR FR FR FR FR FR
1700FT Mix T(F).91 91 91 90 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97
$$
Forecaster...M.RADA
Requested by...Kory Garrie
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2621378.0/TSA
.DELDT 09/07/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL kory.garrie@usda.gov,araoc@firenet.gov