Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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969
FNUS74 KTSA 031032
FWSTSA

Spot Forecast for Clayton Y...BIA-Choctaw Nation Forestry
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
532 AM CDT Thu Oct 3 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 CDT on October 03.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact NWS Tulsa at (918)838-7838, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
Unseasonably hot temperatures and dry weather will occur today
and this evening, with an afternoon high temperature around 90
degrees at the burn site. Skies remain sunny/clear. Winds will
remain generally light to moderate out of the south, sustained
around 5 to 10 mph. Afternoon minimum relative humidity values
will range between 30 to 35 percent, recovering above 50 percent
after sunset. Rainfall is not expected today.


.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-5 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 91.
Min humidity........34 percent.
Dewpoint............51 increasing to 58 in the afternoon.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 6 mph.
Mixing height.......5500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 7 to 13 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (28196 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to good (33442 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
Stability class.....3.
1700FT Avg MIX T(F).84 increasing to 90 late in the afternoon.

TIME (CDT)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........1   1   2   3   4   2   0   2   0
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............67  74  79  83  86  89  89  91  89
Dewpoint........49  51  53  58  59  59  59  59  59
RH..............52  44  41  43  40  37  37  34  37
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..5   5   6   6   6   6   5   5   5
20 FT wind gust.8   10  10  10  10  10  8   8   8
Mix hgt (kft)...1.1 1.5 2.4 3.0 4.0 4.9 5.3 5.5 4.8
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.12  13  12  10  8   7   7   7   7
Vrate kt-ft/1K..28  28  28  28  33  33  33  33  33
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR
1700FT Mix T(F).80  80  82  84  86  88  90  91  91

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Clear (0-10 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 59.
Max humidity........75 percent.
Dewpoint............57 decreasing to 52 after 3 am.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 8 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (33442 knot-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to poor (7213 knot-ft) late in the
                    night.
Stability class.....5.
1700FT Avg MIX T(F).87.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........0   3   4   6   4   5   3   3   8   7   8   7
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............89  85  78  74  73  71  69  68  66  64  62  61
Dewpoint........59  59  59  59  58  57  56  55  55  53  53  52
RH..............37  41  52  59  59  61  63  63  68  67  72  72
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..5   4   3   3   3   3   2   2   2   2   2   2
20 FT wind gust.7   6   6   6   6   5   5   5   4
Mix hgt (kft)...3.0 0.9 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.7
Transp wind dir.SE  S   SE  SE  S   SE  SE  SE  S   SE  S   S
Transp wind spd.8   9   8   9   10  10  10  10  10  10  9   8
Vrate kt-ft/1K..33  7   7   7   7   7   7   7   7   7   7   7
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR
1700FT Mix T(F).91  90  89  88  87  86  86  85  84  84  83  83

$$
Forecaster...B.MEJIA
Requested by...Sam McFarland
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2423455.0/TSA
.DELDT 10/03/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL smcfarland@choctawnation.com