Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK
163
FNUS54 KTSA 160451
FWFTSA
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
1051 PM CST Sat Nov 15 2025
RED FLAG...NONE.
.DISCUSSION...
A weak and mostly dry frontal boundary continues to move through
the forecast area and will remain in the vicinity Sunday before
retreating northward Monday. Limited fire concerns may develop
behind the frontal boundary, with drier air and breezy east winds
developing Sunday afternoon. Increasing winds and warm
temperatures again will aid in limited to elevated fire weather
concerns again on Monday afternoon for portions of the region,
especially across northeast Oklahoma. Shower and thunderstorm
chances return Monday into Tuesday and increase drastically area-
wide Wednesday into Thursday with a low pressure system moving
into the Plains. A heavy rain threat exists for the middle to
latter part of next week, which will likely lower fire weather
concerns for the latter half of the week.
OKZ049-053-160615-
Pushmataha-Choctaw-
Including the cities of Antlers, Clayton, and Hugo
1051 PM CST Sat Nov 15 2025
Sun Sun Night Mon
CLOUD COVER Mclear Pcldy Pcldy
MAX/MIN TEMPERATURE 80 58 83
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY(%) 45 87 48
AM 20FT WIND(MPH) LGT/VAR SE 9
PM 20FT WIND(MPH) E 6 E 6 S 9
PRECIP TYPE None None None
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 0 0 0
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN) 0.00 0.00 0.00
MIXING HGT(FT AGL) 3531 2911
TRANSPORT WIND(MPH) E 17 E 14 S 21
1700FT MIXHGT T (F) 70 68 70
VENT RATE(M/S-M) 1448 0 1724
CATEGORY DAY INDEX 4 1 4
STABILITY C F C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the lower
80s. South winds around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the mid 70s.
South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Showers and chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the
lower 60s. Highs in the lower 70s. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Rain showers likely. Lows in the lower
50s. Highs in the upper 60s. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the
lower 60s. West winds around 5 mph.
$$
OKZ070-071-073>075-160615-
Muskogee-McIntosh-Pittsburg-Haskell-Latimer-
Including the cities of Muskogee, Checotah, McAlester, Stigler,
and Wilburton
1051 PM CST Sat Nov 15 2025
Sun Sun Night Mon
CLOUD COVER Mclear Pcldy Mclear
MAX/MIN TEMPERATURE 78 56 81
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY(%) 39 79 47
AM 20FT WIND(MPH) NE 6 SE 9
PM 20FT WIND(MPH) E 8 E 6 S 10
PRECIP TYPE None None None
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 0 0 0
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN) 0.00 0.00 0.00
MIXING HGT(FT AGL) 3281 2943
TRANSPORT WIND(MPH) E 18 E 12 S 21
1700FT MIXHGT T (F) 69 66 65
VENT RATE(M/S-M) 1280 0 1693
CATEGORY DAY INDEX 4 1 4
STABILITY C F C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the lower 80s.
Southeast winds around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid 70s.
South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Showers and chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the
lower 60s. Highs around 70. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Rain showers likely. Lows in the mid
50s. Highs in the mid 60s. Southeast winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the
upper 50s. West winds around 5 mph.
$$
ARZ001-160615-
Benton-
Including the cities of Rogers and Bentonville
1051 PM CST Sat Nov 15 2025
Sun Sun Night Mon
CLOUD COVER Mclear Mclear Pcldy
MAX/MIN TEMPERATURE 71 50 69
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY(%) 36 66 52
AM 20FT WIND(MPH) E 7 SE 10
PM 20FT WIND(MPH) E 7 E 5 SE 12
PRECIP TYPE None None Tstms
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 0 0 20
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN) 0.00 0.00 0.01
MIXING HGT(FT AGL) 2423 158 2145
TRANSPORT WIND(MPH) E 14 E 10 S 21
1700FT MIXHGT T (F) 64 64 56
VENT RATE(M/S-M) 907 43 1593
CATEGORY DAY INDEX 3 1 4
STABILITY C F C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of rain showers and slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the
upper 70s. Southeast winds around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with rain showers likely and chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the lower 70s.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Rain showers and chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the
upper 50s. Highs in the upper 60s. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Rain showers likely. Lows in the lower
50s. Highs in the lower 60s. Southeast winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of rain showers.
Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the mid 50s. West winds around
5 mph.
$$
ARZ002-160615-
Carroll-
Including the cities of Berryville and Eureka Springs
1051 PM CST Sat Nov 15 2025
Sun Sun Night Mon
CLOUD COVER Mclear Mclear Pcldy
MAX/MIN TEMPERATURE 69 47 67
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY(%) 38 66 51
AM 20FT WIND(MPH) E 5 SE 8
PM 20FT WIND(MPH) E 5 LGT/VAR SE 10
PRECIP TYPE None None Tstms
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 0 0 20
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN) 0.00 0.00 0.01
MIXING HGT(FT AGL) 2484 3 1959
TRANSPORT WIND(MPH) E 12 E 9 S 21
1700FT MIXHGT T (F) 60 61 52
VENT RATE(M/S-M) 830 1 1513
CATEGORY DAY INDEX 3 1 4
STABILITY C F C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of rain showers and slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the upper
70s. Southeast winds around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with rain showers likely and chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the lower 70s.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Rain showers and chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the
upper 50s. Highs in the upper 60s. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Rain showers. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs
in the lower 60s. South winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of rain showers.
Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the mid 50s. West winds around
5 mph.
$$
ARZ010-160615-
Washington AR-
Including the cities of Fayetteville and Springdale
1051 PM CST Sat Nov 15 2025
Sun Sun Night Mon
CLOUD COVER Mclear Mclear Mclear
MAX/MIN TEMPERATURE 72 51 68
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY(%) 34 63 45
AM 20FT WIND(MPH) E 8 SE 13 G20
PM 20FT WIND(MPH) E 8 E 6 SE 14
PRECIP TYPE None None Tstms
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 0 0 0
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN) 0.00 0.00 0.00
MIXING HGT(FT AGL) 2683 2 1738
TRANSPORT WIND(MPH) E 14 E 9 S 22
1700FT MIXHGT T (F) 64 63 52
VENT RATE(M/S-M) 1142 0 1386
CATEGORY DAY INDEX 3 1 4
STABILITY C F C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of rain showers and slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the mid
70s. Southeast winds around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with rain showers likely and chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the lower 70s.
South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Rain showers and chance of thunderstorms. Lows around
60. Highs in the upper 60s. Southeast winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Rain showers likely. Lows in the lower
50s. Highs in the lower 60s. Southeast winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of rain showers.
Lows around 40. Highs in the mid 50s. West winds around 5 mph.
$$
ARZ011-160615-
Madison-
Including the city of Huntsville
1051 PM CST Sat Nov 15 2025
Sun Sun Night Mon
CLOUD COVER Mclear Mclear Pcldy
MAX/MIN TEMPERATURE 70 49 66
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY(%) 38 65 46
AM 20FT WIND(MPH) E 7 SE 10 G20
PM 20FT WIND(MPH) E 7 E 5 SE 12
PRECIP TYPE None None Tstms
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 0 0 0
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN) 0.00 0.00 0.00
MIXING HGT(FT AGL) 2368 1597
TRANSPORT WIND(MPH) E 13 E 10 S 21
1700FT MIXHGT T (F) 59 59 48
VENT RATE(M/S-M) 883 0 1356
CATEGORY DAY INDEX 3 1 4
STABILITY C F C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of rain showers and slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the mid
70s. Southeast winds around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with rain showers likely and chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the lower 70s.
South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Rain showers and chance of thunderstorms. Lows around
60. Highs in the mid 60s. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Rain showers. Lows in the lower 50s.
Highs in the lower 60s. Southeast winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of rain showers.
Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the mid 50s. West winds around
5 mph.
$$
ARZ019-160615-
Crawford-
Including the city of Van Buren
1051 PM CST Sat Nov 15 2025
Sun Sun Night Mon
CLOUD COVER Mclear Pcldy Pcldy
MAX/MIN TEMPERATURE 73 51 71
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY(%) 36 59 44
AM 20FT WIND(MPH) E 8 E 12
PM 20FT WIND(MPH) E 9 E 8 SE 12
PRECIP TYPE None None Tstms
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 0 0 0
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN) 0.00 0.00 0.00
MIXING HGT(FT AGL) 2960 1 1781
TRANSPORT WIND(MPH) E 15 E 10 SE 20
1700FT MIXHGT T (F) 68 65 55
VENT RATE(M/S-M) 1050 0 1434
CATEGORY DAY INDEX 3 1 4
STABILITY C F C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows around 60. Highs in the upper 70s. East winds
around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with rain showers likely and chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the lower 70s.
South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Showers and chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the
lower 60s. Highs in the upper 60s. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Rain showers likely. Lows in the mid
50s. Highs in the lower 60s. Southeast winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of rain showers.
Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the upper 50s. West winds around
5 mph.
$$
ARZ020-160615-
Franklin-
Including the cities of Ozark and Charleston
1051 PM CST Sat Nov 15 2025
Sun Sun Night Mon
CLOUD COVER Mclear Pcldy Pcldy
MAX/MIN TEMPERATURE 75 50 71
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY(%) 38 63 44
AM 20FT WIND(MPH) E 8 E 11 G19
PM 20FT WIND(MPH) E 9 E 7 E 11
PRECIP TYPE None None Tstms
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 0 0 20
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN) 0.00 0.00 0.02
MIXING HGT(FT AGL) 2931 1813
TRANSPORT WIND(MPH) E 15 E 9 SE 17
1700FT MIXHGT T (F) 67 66 54
VENT RATE(M/S-M) 1076 0 1153
CATEGORY DAY INDEX 3 1 3
STABILITY C F C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the upper 70s.
East winds around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with rain showers likely and chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the lower 70s.
South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Showers and chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the
lower 60s. Highs in the upper 60s. East winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Rain showers. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs
in the mid 60s. Southeast winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of rain showers.
Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the upper 50s. West winds around
5 mph.
$$
ARZ029-160615-
Sebastian-
Including the city of Fort Smith
1051 PM CST Sat Nov 15 2025
Sun Sun Night Mon
CLOUD COVER Mclear Pcldy Pcldy
MAX/MIN TEMPERATURE 76 55 76
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY(%) 37 63 49
AM 20FT WIND(MPH) E 7 E 10
PM 20FT WIND(MPH) E 10 E 8 SE 11
PRECIP TYPE None None Tstms
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 0 0 0
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN) 0.00 0.00 0.00
MIXING HGT(FT AGL) 3082 2823
TRANSPORT WIND(MPH) E 17 E 12 S 17
1700FT MIXHGT T (F) 68 68 63
VENT RATE(M/S-M) 1144 0 1361
CATEGORY DAY INDEX 3 1 4
STABILITY C F C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs around 80. East winds
around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid 70s.
South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Showers and chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the
lower 60s. Highs in the lower 70s. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Rain showers likely. Lows in the mid
50s. Highs in the upper 60s. Southeast winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of rain showers.
Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the upper 50s. West winds around
5 mph.
$$
OKZ058-063-068-069-072-160615-
Ottawa-Delaware-Cherokee-Adair-Sequoyah-
Including the cities of Miami, Grove, Jay, Tahlequah, Stilwell,
and Sallisaw
1051 PM CST Sat Nov 15 2025
Sun Sun Night Mon
CLOUD COVER Mclear Mclear Pcldy
MAX/MIN TEMPERATURE 74 52 75
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY(%) 34 65 47
AM 20FT WIND(MPH) E 7 SE 10
PM 20FT WIND(MPH) E 7 E 6 SE 11
PRECIP TYPE None None Showers
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 0 0 0
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN) 0.00 0.00 0.00
MIXING HGT(FT AGL) 2907 1 2413
TRANSPORT WIND(MPH) E 15 E 14 S 22
1700FT MIXHGT T (F) 68 67 59
VENT RATE(M/S-M) 1201 2 1692
CATEGORY DAY INDEX 3 1 4
STABILITY C F C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the upper 70s.
Southeast winds around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the lower 70s.
South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Rain showers and chance of thunderstorms. Lows around
60. Highs in the upper 60s. East winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Rain showers likely. Lows in the lower
50s. Highs in the lower 60s. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of rain showers.
Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the upper 50s. West winds around
5 mph.
$$
OKZ054>057-059>062-064>067-160615-
Osage-Washington OK-Nowata-Craig-Pawnee-Tulsa-Rogers-Mayes-Creek-
Okfuskee-Okmulgee-Wagoner-
Including the cities of Pawhuska, Bartlesville, Nowata, Vinita,
Pawnee, Tulsa, Claremore, Pryor, Sapulpa, Okemah, Okmulgee,
and Wagoner
1051 PM CST Sat Nov 15 2025
Sun Sun Night Mon
CLOUD COVER Mclear Mclear Mclear
MAX/MIN TEMPERATURE 74 51 81
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY(%) 34 79 41
AM 20FT WIND(MPH) NE 8 SE 10 G17
PM 20FT WIND(MPH) E 8 E 5 S 13
PRECIP TYPE None None None
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 0 0 0
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN) 0.00 0.00 0.00
MIXING HGT(FT AGL) 2862 134 2781
TRANSPORT WIND(MPH) E 16 E 12 S 22
1700FT MIXHGT T (F) 68 67 60
VENT RATE(M/S-M) 1219 57 2322
CATEGORY DAY INDEX 3 1 4
STABILITY C F C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the
upper 70s. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with chance of rain showers and slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid
70s. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Rain showers and chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the
upper 50s. Highs in the upper 60s. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Rain showers likely. Lows around 50.
Highs in the lower 60s. Southeast winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of rain showers.
Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the upper 50s. West winds around
5 mph.
$$
OKZ076-160615-
Le Flore-
Including the city of Poteau
1051 PM CST Sat Nov 15 2025
Sun Sun Night Mon
CLOUD COVER Mclear Pcldy Pcldy
MAX/MIN TEMPERATURE 76 55 78
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY(%) 37 74 49
AM 20FT WIND(MPH) E 6 SE 9 G18
PM 20FT WIND(MPH) E 9 E 7 SE 10
PRECIP TYPE None None Showers
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 0 0 0
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN) 0.00 0.00 0.00
MIXING HGT(FT AGL) 3352 3070
TRANSPORT WIND(MPH) E 17 E 12 S 20
1700FT MIXHGT T (F) 68 64 63
VENT RATE(M/S-M) 1294 0 1657
CATEGORY DAY INDEX 4 1 4
STABILITY C F C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the upper 70s. East
winds around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid 70s. South
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Showers and chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the
lower 60s. Highs around 70. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Rain showers likely. Lows in the mid
50s. Highs in the mid 60s. South winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the
upper 50s. West winds around 5 mph.
$$