Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK
653
FNUS54 KTSA 171714
FWFTSA
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
1114 AM CST Mon Nov 17 2025
RED FLAG...NONE.
.DISCUSSION...
Warm front lifts through the region Monday afternoon and evening
with the return of southerly winds and above seasonal average
temperatures. Before moisture can fully advect into eastern
Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas, limited fire weather danger
develops Monday afternoon. The limiting factor will be the
increasing moisture from southwest to northeast through the
afternoon and evening hours. Low storm chances remain for parts
of far eastern Oklahoma and western Arkansas tonight. A weak
frontal boundary drops back through the region Tuesday with drier
air moving in, which will allow for areas of limited fire weather
danger Tuesday afternoon. Rain and thunderstorm chances return
Wednesday and increase Wednesday night and Thursday, before
decreasing Friday once a low pressure system moves through the
Plains. Fire weather danger Wednesday through the end of the week
should remain low for most locations.
OKZ049-053-181015-
Pushmataha-Choctaw-
Including the cities of Antlers, Clayton, and Hugo
1114 AM CST Mon Nov 17 2025
Tonight Tue Tue Night Wed
CLOUD COVER Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
MAX/MIN TEMPERATURE 66 86 58 82
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY(%) 99 33 95 52
AM 20FT WIND(MPH) SW 8 LGT/VAR
PM 20FT WIND(MPH) S 8 SW 7 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE None None None Tstms
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 0 0 0 30
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN) 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01
MIXING HGT(FT AGL) 4390 3502
TRANSPORT WIND(MPH) S 16 W 21 SW 8 S 10
1700FT MIXHGT T (F) 77 73 73 72
VENT RATE(M/S-M) 0 2224 0 1034
CATEGORY DAY INDEX 1 4 1 3
STABILITY F C F C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY...Showers and chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid
60s. Highs in the lower 70s. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Rain showers. Lows in the upper 50s.
Highs in the lower 70s. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the
mid 60s. West winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of rain showers.
Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the mid 60s. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 50 percent chance of rain showers.
Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the mid 60s. Southeast winds
around 5 mph.
$$
OKZ070-071-073>075-181015-
Muskogee-McIntosh-Pittsburg-Haskell-Latimer-
Including the cities of Muskogee, Checotah, McAlester, Stigler,
and Wilburton
1114 AM CST Mon Nov 17 2025
Tonight Tue Tue Night Wed
CLOUD COVER Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Mcldy
MAX/MIN TEMPERATURE 64 83 52 80
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY(%) 95 27 91 49
AM 20FT WIND(MPH) SW 8 LGT/VAR
PM 20FT WIND(MPH) S 8 W 7 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE None None None Tstms
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 0 0 0 0
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN) 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
MIXING HGT(FT AGL) 3568 2588
TRANSPORT WIND(MPH) S 17 W 18 NW 9 S 9
1700FT MIXHGT T (F) 74 73 65 64
VENT RATE(M/S-M) 1 2101 0 786
CATEGORY DAY INDEX 1 4 1 3
STABILITY F C F C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY...Showers and chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid
60s. Highs around 70. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Rain showers. Lows in the upper 50s.
Highs in the lower 70s. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the
lower 60s. West winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of rain showers.
Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the lower 60s. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 50 percent chance of rain showers.
Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the mid 60s. East winds around
5 mph.
$$
ARZ001-181015-
Benton-
Including the cities of Rogers and Bentonville
1114 AM CST Mon Nov 17 2025
Tonight Tue Tue Night Wed
CLOUD COVER Mcldy Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
MAX/MIN TEMPERATURE 61 76 47 73
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY(%) 100 40 100 49
AM 20FT WIND(MPH) SW 9 LGT/VAR
PM 20FT WIND(MPH) S 10 G18 W 7 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE Tstms None None None
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 40 0 0 0
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN) 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00
MIXING HGT(FT AGL) 211 2857 140 1855
TRANSPORT WIND(MPH) SW 17 W 21 NW 9 S 8
1700FT MIXHGT T (F) 64 73 60 59
VENT RATE(M/S-M) 68 1610 0 399
CATEGORY DAY INDEX 1 4 1 2
STABILITY F D F C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY...Showers and chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the
lower 60s. Highs in the upper 60s. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Rain showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the upper 60s.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs around 60.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs around 60.
Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 50 percent chance of rain showers.
Lows in the mid 40s. Highs around 60. South winds around 5 mph.
$$
ARZ002-181015-
Carroll-
Including the cities of Berryville and Eureka Springs
1114 AM CST Mon Nov 17 2025
Tonight Tue Tue Night Wed
CLOUD COVER Mcldy Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
MAX/MIN TEMPERATURE 58 77 47 73
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY(%) 95 47 100 50
AM 20FT WIND(MPH) SW 9 LGT/VAR
PM 20FT WIND(MPH) SE 10 G19 W 8 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE Tstms None None None
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 40 0 0 0
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN) 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00
MIXING HGT(FT AGL) 5 3547 2 2132
TRANSPORT WIND(MPH) S 15 W 23 NW 6 SW 7
1700FT MIXHGT T (F) 62 71 61 59
VENT RATE(M/S-M) 23 2123 0 450
CATEGORY DAY INDEX 1 4 1 2
STABILITY F D F C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY...Rain showers and chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the
lower 60s. Highs in the upper 60s. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Rain showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the upper 60s.
South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs around 60.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the
lower 60s. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 40 percent chance of rain showers.
Lows in the mid 40s. Highs around 60. South winds around 5 mph.
$$
ARZ010-181015-
Washington AR-
Including the cities of Fayetteville and Springdale
1114 AM CST Mon Nov 17 2025
Tonight Tue Tue Night Wed
CLOUD COVER Mcldy Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
MAX/MIN TEMPERATURE 62 78 48 75
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY(%) 99 39 94 47
AM 20FT WIND(MPH) SW 9 LGT/VAR
PM 20FT WIND(MPH) S 11 G21 W 8 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE Tstms None None None
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 40 0 0 0
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN) 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00
MIXING HGT(FT AGL) 2 2997 2038
TRANSPORT WIND(MPH) S 20 W 21 NW 8 SW 8
1700FT MIXHGT T (F) 63 73 60 58
VENT RATE(M/S-M) 32 1736 0 449
CATEGORY DAY INDEX 1 4 1 2
STABILITY F D F C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY...Showers and chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the
lower 60s. Highs in the upper 60s. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Rain showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the upper 60s.
South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs around 60.
West winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs around 60.
Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 50 percent chance of rain showers.
Lows in the mid 40s. Highs around 60. Southeast winds around
5 mph.
$$
ARZ011-181015-
Madison-
Including the city of Huntsville
1114 AM CST Mon Nov 17 2025
Tonight Tue Tue Night Wed
CLOUD COVER Mcldy Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
MAX/MIN TEMPERATURE 59 77 49 75
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY(%) 97 47 91 50
AM 20FT WIND(MPH) SW 9 LGT/VAR
PM 20FT WIND(MPH) S 11 G20 SW 8 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE Tstms None None None
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 40 0 0 0
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN) 0.03 0.00 0.00 0.00
MIXING HGT(FT AGL) 1 3367 2178
TRANSPORT WIND(MPH) S 20 W 23 NW 7 SW 8
1700FT MIXHGT T (F) 61 71 60 59
VENT RATE(M/S-M) 5 2040 0 471
CATEGORY DAY INDEX 1 4 1 2
STABILITY F D F C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY...Showers and chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the
lower 60s. Highs in the mid 60s. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Rain showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the upper 60s.
South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the
upper 50s. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs around 60.
Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 40 percent chance of rain showers.
Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the upper 50s. South winds around
5 mph.
$$
ARZ019-181015-
Crawford-
Including the city of Van Buren
1114 AM CST Mon Nov 17 2025
Tonight Tue Tue Night Wed
CLOUD COVER Mcldy Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
MAX/MIN TEMPERATURE 61 80 52 77
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY(%) 100 41 85 49
AM 20FT WIND(MPH) SW 7 LGT/VAR
PM 20FT WIND(MPH) SE 8 W 8 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE Tstms None None Showers
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 0 0 0 0
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN) 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
MIXING HGT(FT AGL) 1 3538 1903
TRANSPORT WIND(MPH) SE 15 W 21 NW 8 S 6
1700FT MIXHGT T (F) 66 74 64 61
VENT RATE(M/S-M) 1 1820 0 379
CATEGORY DAY INDEX 1 4 1 2
STABILITY F C F C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY...Showers and chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the
lower 60s. Highs in the upper 60s. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Rain showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the upper 60s.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows around 50. Highs in the lower
60s. West winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of rain showers.
Lows in the mid 40s. Highs around 60. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 50 percent chance of rain showers.
Lows in the upper 40s. Highs around 60. East winds around 5 mph.
$$
ARZ020-181015-
Franklin-
Including the cities of Ozark and Charleston
1114 AM CST Mon Nov 17 2025
Tonight Tue Tue Night Wed
CLOUD COVER Mcldy Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
MAX/MIN TEMPERATURE 60 83 52 78
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY(%) 100 47 90 53
AM 20FT WIND(MPH) SW 7 LGT/VAR
PM 20FT WIND(MPH) E 7 W 8 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE Tstms None None Showers
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 30 0 0 0
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN) 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00
MIXING HGT(FT AGL) 4019 2006
TRANSPORT WIND(MPH) SE 14 W 22 W 9 S 5
1700FT MIXHGT T (F) 65 75 66 62
VENT RATE(M/S-M) 0 2213 0 385
CATEGORY DAY INDEX 1 4 1 2
STABILITY F C F C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY...Rain showers and chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the
lower 60s. Highs in the upper 60s. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Rain showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows around 60. Highs around 70. Southeast winds
around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the
lower 60s. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of rain showers.
Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the lower 60s. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 40 percent chance of rain showers.
Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the lower 60s. East winds around
5 mph.
$$
ARZ029-181015-
Sebastian-
Including the city of Fort Smith
1114 AM CST Mon Nov 17 2025
Tonight Tue Tue Night Wed
CLOUD COVER Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
MAX/MIN TEMPERATURE 63 83 53 79
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY(%) 100 40 90 48
AM 20FT WIND(MPH) SW 9 G17 LGT/VAR
PM 20FT WIND(MPH) SE 6 W 9 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE Tstms None None Showers
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 0 0 0 0
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN) 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
MIXING HGT(FT AGL) 4249 2468
TRANSPORT WIND(MPH) SE 13 W 22 W 9 SW 8
1700FT MIXHGT T (F) 70 74 67 65
VENT RATE(M/S-M) 0 2257 0 675
CATEGORY DAY INDEX 1 4 1 3
STABILITY F D F C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY...Showers and chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid
60s. Highs around 70. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the lower 70s.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows around 50. Highs in the lower
60s. West winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of rain showers.
Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the lower 60s. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 40 percent chance of rain showers.
Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the lower 60s. East winds around
5 mph.
$$
OKZ058-063-068-069-072-181015-
Ottawa-Delaware-Cherokee-Adair-Sequoyah-
Including the cities of Miami, Grove, Jay, Tahlequah, Stilwell,
and Sallisaw
1114 AM CST Mon Nov 17 2025
Tonight Tue Tue Night Wed
CLOUD COVER Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
MAX/MIN TEMPERATURE 60 79 47 77
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY(%) 100 35 99 46
AM 20FT WIND(MPH) SW 7 LGT/VAR
PM 20FT WIND(MPH) SE 9 G17 W 6 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE Tstms None None Showers
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 30 0 0 0
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN) 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00
MIXING HGT(FT AGL) 1 3007 2059
TRANSPORT WIND(MPH) S 18 W 18 NW 9 S 8
1700FT MIXHGT T (F) 68 73 61 59
VENT RATE(M/S-M) 7 1693 0 477
CATEGORY DAY INDEX 1 4 1 2
STABILITY F C F C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY...Rain showers and chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the
lower 60s. Highs in the upper 60s. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Rain showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the upper 60s.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the
lower 60s. West winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the
lower 60s. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 50 percent chance of rain showers.
Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the lower 60s. East winds around
5 mph.
$$
OKZ054>057-059>062-064>067-181015-
Osage-Washington OK-Nowata-Craig-Pawnee-Tulsa-Rogers-Mayes-Creek-
Okfuskee-Okmulgee-Wagoner-
Including the cities of Pawhuska, Bartlesville, Nowata, Vinita,
Pawnee, Tulsa, Claremore, Pryor, Sapulpa, Okemah, Okmulgee,
and Wagoner
1114 AM CST Mon Nov 17 2025
Tonight Tue Tue Night Wed
CLOUD COVER Pcldy Mclear Pcldy Mcldy
MAX/MIN TEMPERATURE 54 78 46 76
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY(%) 93 29 98 44
AM 20FT WIND(MPH) W 6 LGT/VAR
PM 20FT WIND(MPH) S 8 NW 6 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE Tstms None None Showers
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 0 0 0 0
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN) 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
MIXING HGT(FT AGL) 160 2794 134 2067
TRANSPORT WIND(MPH) S 17 NW 13 N 10 S 9
1700FT MIXHGT T (F) 72 70 60 59
VENT RATE(M/S-M) 58 1068 0 630
CATEGORY DAY INDEX 1 3 1 3
STABILITY F C F C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY...Rain showers and chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the
lower 60s. Highs in the upper 60s. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Rain showers. Lows in the upper 50s.
Highs in the upper 60s. East winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs around 60.
West winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the
lower 60s. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 50 percent chance of rain showers.
Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the lower 60s. Southeast winds
around 5 mph.
$$
OKZ076-181015-
Le Flore-
Including the city of Poteau
1114 AM CST Mon Nov 17 2025
Tonight Tue Tue Night Wed
CLOUD COVER Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
MAX/MIN TEMPERATURE 64 84 53 80
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY(%) 99 34 95 48
AM 20FT WIND(MPH) SW 9 G18 LGT/VAR
PM 20FT WIND(MPH) S 8 G17 SW 8 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE Tstms None None Tstms
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 0 0 0 0
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN) 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
MIXING HGT(FT AGL) 3968 2908
TRANSPORT WIND(MPH) S 15 W 21 W 8 SW 9
1700FT MIXHGT T (F) 73 73 67 65
VENT RATE(M/S-M) 0 2301 0 879
CATEGORY DAY INDEX 1 4 1 3
STABILITY F D F C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY...Showers and chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid
60s. Highs in the upper 60s. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Rain showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows around 60. Highs in the lower 70s. Southeast
winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the
lower 60s. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of rain showers.
Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the lower 60s. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 50 percent chance of rain showers.
Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the lower 60s. East winds around
5 mph.
$$