179
FXUS64 KTSA 030506
AFDTSA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
1206 AM CDT Thu Sep 3 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1137 PM CDT Wed Sep 2 2026

 - An extended period of hot and dry weather will persist through
   the upcoming week. Heat headlines will be needed at times.

 - Rain chances look very low through the forecast period, though
   a slight chance of showers exists across far southeast Oklahoma
   Thursday.

 - The ongoing drought situation will continue to worsen.
   Localized fire weather concerns will develop each day.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Through Thursday)
Issued at 1137 PM CDT Wed Sep 2 2026

The remnants of Edouard will bring increasing cloud cover to parts
of southeast Oklahoma Thursday, along with a slight chance for a
few showers into parts of Choctaw county. Otherwise, dry weather
will continue along with hot and humid conditions, although not
quite as hot as the past couple days in most spots. The current
configuration of the heat advisory looks good so will keep it as
is.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Thursday Night through Wednesday)
Issued at 1137 PM CDT Wed Sep 2 2026

Unseasonably hot and humid weather will continue through the
forecast period and likely beyond as a strong upper ridge remains
in control. There will be very little chance of any meaningful
rainfall although an isolated shower or storm is possible just
about any afternoon, especially in the higher terrain areas. After
another slightly "less hot" day Friday, temperatures will return
to triple digit levels just about everywhere Saturday into next
week.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1206 AM CDT Thu Sep 3 2026

Short-term model data indicates potential for low cloud to stream
north from TX up to the Ouachitas in far SE OK Thursday morning.
There is a chance that MVFR cigs could develop for a short time at
KMLC and a TEMPO will be added to this site with the 06Z update.
Aside from this, more of the same can be expected. VFR conditions
with scattered cu and intermittent gusty winds during the day,
clearing off with light winds by evening.

Lacy

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   77  99  77 101 /   0   0   0   0
FSM   76 101  74 103 /   0   0   0   0
MLC   73  98  73 101 /   0   0   0   0
BVO   71 100  71 101 /   0   0   0   0
FYV   71  99  71 100 /   0   0   0  10
BYV   74  98  72  99 /   0   0   0  10
MKO   72  99  73 101 /   0   0   0   0
MIO   74  98  74  99 /   0   0   0   0
F10   72  98  72 100 /   0   0   0   0
HHW   71  96  72  99 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...Heat Advisory from noon today to 7 PM CDT this evening for
     OKZ055>058-060>062-066-067-070-071-074-176-254-272-276-354.

AR...Heat Advisory from noon today to 7 PM CDT this evening for
     ARZ129-219-220-229.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...05
LONG TERM....05
AVIATION...30