Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

Home |  Current Version |  Previous Version |  Text Only |  Print | Product List |  Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32
010
FXUS64 KTSA 070525
AFDTSA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
1225 AM CDT Tue Oct 7 2025

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1224 AM CDT Tue Oct 7 2025

  - Cooler temperatures today and Wednesday following the passage of
    a cold front.

  - Unseasonably warm temperatures return late this week through the
    weekend.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Today)
Issued at 1224 AM CDT Tue Oct 7 2025

A cold front will continue moving south across the area today, with
cooler temperatures following in its wake. A few showers and
thunderstorms will remain possible near the Kansas border this
morning, but most of the rain will remain to the north of the area.
Afternoon high temperatures will range from the lower 70s near the
Kansas border to the upper 80s near the Red River.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Tonight through Monday)
Issued at 1224 AM CDT Tue Oct 7 2025

After another relatively cooler day Wednesday, a warming trend
will take place Thursday through the weekend as an upper ridge
builds back over the area. Unseasonably warm temperatures and
increasing south winds will likely begin to raise fire weather
concerns some over the weekend as well.

The upper ridge shifts just east of the area by early next week,
which may allow some low precipitation chances to return to areas
near the Kansas border by that time. Temperatures will remain well
above normal into next week.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1224 AM CDT Tue Oct 7 2025

A shallow cold front will slide south across the region today and
tonight, bringing a period of low clouds to all TAF sites at some
point. Cigs behind the front at the NE OK sites in the near term
are expected to be IFR, but are expected to trend toward MVFR
Tuesday morning. Cigs behind the front as it pushes through NW AR
and SE OK are expected to be MVFR, though a trend toward IFR in
far NW AR is expected by late afternoon. Inserted a prob30 group
for showers at KFSM for Tuesday afternoon as well.

Lacy

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   76  57  78  59 /  10   0   0   0
FSM   86  64  81  57 /  10  10   0   0
MLC   84  60  82  57 /  10  10   0   0
BVO   72  52  76  53 /  10   0   0   0
FYV   80  55  77  50 /  10  10   0   0
BYV   78  56  74  51 /  10   0   0   0
MKO   81  60  80  59 /  10   0   0   0
MIO   75  54  77  55 /  10   0   0   0
F10   81  58  80  58 /  10   0   0   0
HHW   87  64  82  60 /  10  10   0   0

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
AR...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...05
LONG TERM....05
AVIATION...30