399
FXUS64 KTSA 240756
AFDTSA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
256 AM CDT Tue Jun 24 2025

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 200 PM CDT Sun Jun 22 2025

   - Hot and humid conditions will prevail for the next week with daily
     heat indices of 95-105 F across the area.

   - Daily isolated to scattered showers and storms likely much of
     this week.

   - Storm coverage may increase early next week.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Today)
Issued at 237 AM CDT Tue Jun 24 2025

Persistent upper pattern today with expansive upper ridge to the
east, with local forecast area remaining under southerly flow on
western side. Expect similar conditions to last few days
temeprature-wise with HI values again reaching mid 90s to around
100. Isolated to widely scattered showers and thunderstorms are
expected again this afternoon favoring the higher terrain areas of
western AR and southeast OK, with most guidance suggesting a
minor uptick in coverage.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Tonight through Monday)
Issued at 237 AM CDT Tue Jun 24 2025

Pattern remains essentially unchanged into Wednesday, with temps
in a similar range and more isolated convection in the afternoon.
By later in the week the ridge does break down some with more
westerly mid level flow spreading over the region. This should
result in slightly hotter temperatures going into the weekend
along with lower thunderstorm chances. Exception may be potential
for Central PLains convection to make a run at far northern areas
Thursday night into Friday.

By early next week, the eastern ridge is forecast to break down
further and a weak cold front could move close enough to result
in higher storm chances across parts of the area by Mon/Tue. This
could also knock temperatures back down at least a few degrees.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1212 AM CDT Tue Jun 24 2025

VFR conditions will prevail thru the period. Will see sct cu at
all sites during the day with some sct high cloud throughout.
Isolated storm coverage at best over toward W AR doesn`t warrant
mention in TAF. Sfc winds will again be lighter and less gusty on
Tuesday than they have been the past few days.

Lacy

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   93  75  92  75 /   0   0  10  10
FSM   95  75  94  75 /  20  20  20  10
MLC   92  73  91  73 /   0   0  20  10
BVO   93  72  92  72 /   0   0  10  10
FYV   92  72  91  72 /  20  20  20  10
BYV   91  72  91  71 /  20  20  20  10
MKO   91  73  90  73 /   0   0  20  10
MIO   92  72  91  73 /   0  10  10  10
F10   91  72  90  73 /   0  10  10  10
HHW   91  72  90  73 /   0   0  20  10

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
AR...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...14
LONG TERM....14
AVIATION...30