026
FXUS64 KTSA 091130
AFDTSA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
630 AM CDT Tue Jun 9 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1048 PM CDT Mon Jun 8 2026

 - Hot and humid weather will settle in through Thursday with heat
   impacts likely each day.

 - Thunderstorm chances and a severe weather threat return late
   Thursday into Friday night.

 - Multiple rounds of potentially heavy rainfall and a low severe
   weather risk will continue through the weekend.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Through Tuesday)
Issued at 1048 PM CDT Mon Jun 8 2026

Ongoing severe storms across central Kansas are expected to remain
north of our area overnight. Otherwise, a hot, humid, and breezy
day is on tap for Tuesday, with afternoon high temperatures in the
upper 80s to lower 90s. Afternoon heat index values will reach
near 105 degrees across parts of northeast Oklahoma and west
central Arkansas, and the current heat advisory will remain as is
for Tuesday afternoon.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Tuesday Night through Monday)
Issued at 1048 PM CDT Mon Jun 8 2026

The hot, humid, and breezy conditions will continue through
Thursday, with additional heat headlines likely both Wednesday and
Thursday. A cold front will enter northeast Oklahoma late Thursday
afternoon and push southeast through the area Thursday night
before washing out just to our south Friday. Numerous showers and
thunderstorms will accompany the front late Thursday and Thursday
night, with both a severe weather and heavy rain threat.

Shower and storm chances will continue Friday through the weekend,
with another frontal passage likely by Sunday night or Monday.
Locally heavy rainfall and some severe weather threat will also
persist until the passage of this second frontal boundary.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 630 AM CDT Tue Jun 9 2026

Currently VFR prevails at all TAF sites. There is a low chance
that low-level MVFR cigs develop or drift over the OK terminals
for a couple of hours after sunrise this morning. Went ahead and included
a TEMPO group to capture this potential at these sites through
about 15Z. By midday, VFR will prevail at all TAF sites through
the remainder of the period. A low level jet develops and
strengthens late tonight into Wednesday morning, mainly impacting
NE OK TAF sites. Southerly winds will increase and become breeze
at most sites through this afternoon, with frequent gusts in
excess of 20 knots.

Mejia

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   92  77  91  79 /   0   0   0   0
FSM   93  76  93  78 /   0   0   0   0
MLC   92  78  92  79 /   0   0   0   0
BVO   92  76  92  78 /   0   0   0   0
FYV   89  74  89  76 /   0   0   0   0
BYV   89  73  88  75 /   0   0   0   0
MKO   91  75  91  78 /   0   0   0   0
MIO   91  74  91  77 /   0   0   0   0
F10   91  75  90  78 /   0   0   0   0
HHW   91  76  91  78 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...Heat Advisory from 1 PM this afternoon to 7 PM CDT this evening
     for OKZ055>063-067-154-254-354.

AR...Heat Advisory from 1 PM this afternoon to 7 PM CDT this evening
     for ARZ129-219-220.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...05
LONG TERM....05
AVIATION...67