775
FNUS73 KTOP 110927
FWSTOP

SPOT FORECAST for North Burgess...USFWS
National Weather Service Topeka KS
427 AM CDT Tue Mar 11 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0700 CDT on March 11.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

Current south-southwesterly winds around 10 mph will weaken a bit
over the next couple hours, staying generally southerly and
around 5 mph for most of this morning. By late morning, a weak
cold front will gradually move through, changing winds to the
northeast at around 5-10 mph. RH falls to around or slightly below
30 percent by mid-afternoon. Light northeast winds continue
through tonight, becoming more southeasterly during the day
tomorrow.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Temperature.........45 at ignition...Max 73.
RH..................65 percent at ignition...Min 28 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Winds south at 5 mph at ignition...otherwise
                    South winds around 5 mph early in the morning
                    becoming light, then becoming northeast 5 to 6
                    mph in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 3200 ft AGL.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor /4500 knot-ft/ at ignition. Max...good
                    /32300 knot-ft/.

TIME (CDT)      7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky cover.......CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............45  46  50  54  59  63  67  71  72  73  72
RH..............65  63  56  52  44  39  36  31  30  28  29
20 FT wind dir..S   SE  SE  W   N   NE  NE  NE  E   E   NE
20 FT wind spd..5   5   3   3   4   5   6   6   5   5   6
20 FT wind gust.11  8   6   7   7   7   8   8   8   8   9
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 0.4 0.8 1.3 1.7 2.2 2.5 2.9 3.2 2.3
SDspl kt-ft/10005   3   2   5   9   14  20  25  30  32  19

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Temperature.........Min 42.
RH..................Max 82 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Northeast winds 5 to 8 mph becoming light.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (2400 knot-ft).

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky cover.......CLR CLR MCR MCR MCR PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............70  67  63  58  55  53  51  51  50  49  47  45
RH..............34  40  44  53  59  64  66  66  66  66  71  73
20 FT wind dir..NE  NE  N   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
20 FT wind spd..8   8   7   6   6   6   5   6   6   5   5   4
20 FT wind gust.12  14  14  14  14  13  13  13  13  12  12  11
Mix hgt (kft)...1.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4
SDspl kt-ft/10009   2   3   3   4   4   5   5   5   4   4   4

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny then becoming mostly cloudy.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Temperature.........Max 73.
RH..................Min 38 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Light winds becoming southeast 5 to 9 mph in
                    the late morning and afternoon.
Mixing height.......3900 ft AGL.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (3600 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to good (46300 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky cover.......PC  MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR PC  PC  MC  MC  MC
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............43  42  43  47  52  57  63  68  71  73  73  72
RH..............79  82  79  74  69  64  52  45  41  38  38  39
20 FT wind dir..NE  E   E   E   E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..4   4   3   4   5   6   7   8   8   8   9   8
20 FT wind gust.9   9   8   8   9   11  14  14  13  13  13  14
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 0.6 0.7 0.8 1.3 1.8 2.4 2.9 3.4 3.9 2.7
SDspl kt-ft/10004   4   4   5   5   10  15  21  30  39  46  29

$$
Forecaster...Reese
Requested by...David Spencer
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2505698.0/TOP
.DELDT 03/11/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL david_spencer@fws.gov