Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Topeka, KS

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797
FNUS73 KTOP 121149
FWSTOP

SPOT FORECAST for Office tallgrass...USFWS
National Weather Service Topeka KS
649 AM CDT Wed Mar 12 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0700 CDT on March 12.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

Winds will remain light for the burn time, mainly prevailing out of the
northeast under 10 mph. There may be a brief window from 1 pm through 6 PM
where northwest winds increase to around 10 mph with an occasional gust to
15 mph. Fuels should cure quickly this afternoon as afternoon RH values
fall in the 25-30 percent range. RH values increase above 40 percent after 7 PM.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Temperature.........45 at ignition...Max 76.
RH..................80 percent at ignition...Min 35 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Winds northeast at 3 mph at
                    ignition...otherwise Light winds becoming east
                    5 to 7 mph late in the morning.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 3300 ft AGL.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor /1700 knot-ft/ at ignition. Max...good
                    /36400 knot-ft/.

TIME (CDT)      7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky cover.......PC  MCR MCR CLR CLR CLR CLR MCR PC  PC  PC
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............45  45  48  55  60  65  69  72  74  73  74
RH..............80  78  75  65  57  50  44  38  35  35  35
20 FT wind dir..NE  E   NE  NE  NE  E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..3   3   3   3   5   6   6   7   7   6   6
20 FT wind gust.5   5   5   5   8   11  12  12  11  11  11
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 1.2 1.6 2.1 2.5 3.0 3.3 2.4
SDspl kt-ft/10002   2   2   2   8   14  23  28  34  36  24

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy then becoming mostly clear.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Temperature.........Min 45.
RH..................Max 91 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......East winds 5 to 6 mph early in the evening
                    becoming light, then becoming north around 5
                    mph overnight becoming light.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (3200 knot-ft).

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky cover.......MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  PC  MCR MCR CLR CLR CLR CLR
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............73  69  66  61  58  56  55  53  51  50  47  46
RH..............37  41  46  57  61  65  70  75  81  81  89  91
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   NE  NE  N   NE  N   N   N   N   N
20 FT wind spd..6   5   5   5   4   4   4   5   4   4   4   4
20 FT wind gust.9   8   8   7   7   8   11  11  9   7   6   7
Mix hgt (kft)...0.9 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.4
SDspl kt-ft/10007   3   3   3   3   4   5   5   4   4   4   4

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Temperature.........Max 77.
RH..................Min 35 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Light winds becoming southeast 5 to 10 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Mixing height.......3900 ft AGL.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (2100 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to good (42700 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky cover.......CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR MCR MCR
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............46  45  46  49  56  61  66  72  74  75  77  75
RH..............88  88  87  83  72  62  53  46  40  37  35  37
20 FT wind dir..N   N   N   N   NE  E   E   SE  SE  SE  S   S
20 FT wind spd..4   3   3   2   3   3   4   5   6   8   9   10
20 FT wind gust.6   6   6   5   6   6   7   9   11  12  14  14
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.7 1.3 2.1 2.9 3.2 3.5 3.9 3.0
SDspl kt-ft/10003   3   2   2   3   7   12  20  26  34  43  37

$$
Forecaster...Griesemer
Requested by...David Spencer
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2506115.0/TOP
.DELDT 03/12/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL david_spencer@fws.gov