River Forecast
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
390 FGUS53 KMSR 300020 RVFTIA RIVER FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NWS NORTH CENTRAL RIVER FORECAST CENTER; CHANHASSEN MN 720 PM CDT TUE JUL 29 2025 : THIS IS A NWS GUIDANCE PRODUCT FROM THE NORTH CENTRAL RIVER : FORECAST CENTER. PUBLIC FORECASTS AND WARNINGS ARE ISSUED BY NWS : WEATHER FORECAST OFFICES. : : FORECAST GROUP IS TIA : : FORECASTS INCLUDE 24-HOURS OF FUTURE PRECIPITATION (QPF) IN 6 HOUR INCREMENTS : :************************************************************ :WAPSIPINICON RIVER, ANSI4 :ANAMOSA 2SE - SHAW RD, IA - DVN : :ACTION STAGE 13.0 FTMINOR STAGE 14.5 FT :MODERATE STAGE 18.0 FTMAJOR STAGE 21.5 FT : :THE RIVER STAGE WAS 9.7 FT AT 2315 Z ON JUL 29 .AR :CREST: ANSI4 0803 Z DC202507300020/DH1200/HGIFFXZ 14.2 :Crest near 14.2 FT around 12 Z on Sun, Aug 3 .ER ANSI4 0730 Z DC202507300020/DH06/HGIFF/DIH6 :RIVER FORECAST / 12Z / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z .E1 : 0729 : / 9.7 .E2 : 0730 : / 9.8 / 10.0 / 10.4 / 10.8 .E3 : 0731 : / 11.1 / 11.6 / 12.1 / 12.6 .E4 : 0801 : / 12.9 / 13.2 / 13.3 / 13.4 .E5 : 0802 : / 13.5 / 13.7 / 13.9 / 14.0 .E6 : 0803 : / 14.2 / 14.2 / 14.2 / 14.1 .E7 : 0804 : / 14.0 / 13.8 / 13.6 / 13.4 .E8 : 0805 : / 13.1 / 13.0 / 12.8 : : ***THE TABLE BELOW IS THE QPF FOR THE LOCAL DRAINAGE : AREA AND DOES NOT REPRESENT THE QPF FOR ANY UPSTREAM : WATERSHEDS*** : :QPF (IN) / 12Z / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z : 0729 / 0.00 : 0730 / 0.45 / 0.83 / 0.50 : : 24-hr QPF Total Ending on Jul 31 is 1.78 inches : :FORECASTER COMMENTS... : : :************************************************************ :WAPSIPINICON RIVER, DEWI4 :DE WITT 4S, IA - DVN : :ACTION STAGE 10.0 FTMINOR STAGE 11.0 FT :MODERATE STAGE 11.5 FTMAJOR STAGE 12.5 FT : :THE RIVER STAGE WAS 10.3 FT AT 2330 Z ON JUL 29 :RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE AROUND 03 Z ON 07/31/2025 .ER DEWI4 0730 Z DC202507300020/DH06/HGIFF/DIH6 :RIVER FORECAST / 12Z / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z .E1 : 0729 : / 10.4 .E2 : 0730 : / 10.5 / 10.6 / 10.8 / 11.2 .E3 : 0731 : / 11.5 / 11.9 / 12.0 / 12.1 .E4 : 0801 : / 12.0 / 11.9 / 11.9 / 11.9 .E5 : 0802 : / 11.8 / 11.7 / 11.7 / 11.7 .E6 : 0803 : / 11.7 / 11.7 / 11.7 / 11.8 .E7 : 0804 : / 12.0 / 12.1 / 12.1 / 12.2 .E8 : 0805 : / 12.3 / 12.3 / 12.4 : : ***THE TABLE BELOW IS THE QPF FOR THE LOCAL DRAINAGE : AREA AND DOES NOT REPRESENT THE QPF FOR ANY UPSTREAM : WATERSHEDS*** : :QPF (IN) / 12Z / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z : 0729 / 0.09 : 0730 / 0.17 / 1.12 / 0.35 : : 24-hr QPF Total Ending on Jul 31 is 1.73 inches : :FORECASTER COMMENTS... : :Our model is simulating surface runoff in the local in this :basin, which is causing the initial big rise. In addition, :several basins upstream are generating surface runoff. We :have adjusted some of this runoff down to account for model :bias. THe second crest is out beyond the 7 day :deterministic window, but comes in just under Major. :************************************************************ :SOUTH SKUNK RIVER, AMEI4 :AMES 3N, IA - DMX : :ACTION STAGE 11.0 FTMINOR STAGE 12.5 FT :MODERATE STAGE 16.0 FTMAJOR STAGE 16.5 FT : :THE RIVER STAGE WAS 5.3 FT AT 2300 Z ON JUL 29 .AR :CREST: AMEI4 0801 Z DC202507300020/DH0000/HGIFFXZ 11.1 :Crest near 11.1 FT around 00 Z on Fri, Aug 1 .ER AMEI4 0730 Z DC202507300020/DH06/HGIFF/DIH6 :RIVER FORECAST / 12Z / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z .E1 : 0729 : / 5.2 .E2 : 0730 : / 5.5 / 6.3 / 7.5 / 9.0 .E3 : 0731 : / 10.1 / 10.9 / 11.1 / 10.9 .E4 : 0801 : / 10.3 / 9.6 / 9.0 / 8.5 .E5 : 0802 : / 8.0 / 7.6 / 7.2 / 6.9 .E6 : 0803 : / 6.6 / 6.4 / 6.1 / 5.9 .E7 : 0804 : / 5.8 / 5.6 / 5.5 / 5.4 .E8 : 0805 : / 5.3 / 5.2 / 5.1 : : ***THE TABLE BELOW IS THE QPF FOR THE LOCAL DRAINAGE : AREA AND DOES NOT REPRESENT THE QPF FOR ANY UPSTREAM : WATERSHEDS*** : :QPF (IN) / 12Z / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z : 0729 / 0.34 : 0730 / 1.05 / 0.68 / 0.22 : : 24-hr QPF Total Ending on Jul 31 is 2.29 inches : :FORECASTER COMMENTS... : : :************************************************************ :SOUTH SKUNK RIVER, AESI4 :AMES 5SE - WWTP, IA - DMX : :ACTION STAGE 19.0 FTMINOR STAGE 21.5 FT :MODERATE STAGE 23.5 FTMAJOR STAGE 24.5 FT : :THE RIVER STAGE WAS 13.3 FT AT 2300 Z ON JUL 29 .AR :CREST: AESI4 0731 Z DC202507300020/DH1800/HGIFFXZ 21.4 :Crest near 21.4 FT around 18 Z on Thu, Jul 31 .ER AESI4 0730 Z DC202507300020/DH06/HGIFF/DIH6 :RIVER FORECAST / 12Z / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z .E1 : 0729 : / 13.2 .E2 : 0730 : / 13.7 / 15.5 / 18.1 / 20.1 .E3 : 0731 : / 21.1 / 21.4 / 21.2 / 20.7 .E4 : 0801 : / 20.0 / 19.1 / 18.3 / 17.6 .E5 : 0802 : / 16.9 / 16.4 / 15.9 / 15.4 .E6 : 0803 : / 15.0 / 14.7 / 14.4 / 14.1 .E7 : 0804 : / 13.9 / 13.7 / 13.5 / 13.4 .E8 : 0805 : / 13.3 / 13.1 / 13.0 : : ***THE TABLE BELOW IS THE QPF FOR THE LOCAL DRAINAGE : AREA AND DOES NOT REPRESENT THE QPF FOR ANY UPSTREAM : WATERSHEDS*** : :QPF (IN) / 12Z / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z : 0729 / 0.25 : 0730 / 1.05 / 0.56 / 0.20 : : 24-hr QPF Total Ending on Jul 31 is 2.06 inches : :FORECASTER COMMENTS... : : :************************************************************ :SOUTH SKUNK RIVER, CFXI4 :COLFAX, IA - DMX : :ACTION STAGE 15.0 FTMINOR STAGE 18.0 FT :MODERATE STAGE 19.0 FTMAJOR STAGE 21.0 FT : :THE RIVER STAGE WAS 12.0 FT AT 2245 Z ON JUL 29 .AR :CREST: CFXI4 0802 Z DC202507300020/DH0000/HGIFFXZ 17.9 :Crest near 17.9 FT around 00 Z on Sat, Aug 2 .ER CFXI4 0730 Z DC202507300020/DH06/HGIFF/DIH6 :RIVER FORECAST / 12Z / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z .E1 : 0729 : / 11.9 .E2 : 0730 : / 11.9 / 12.4 / 13.2 / 14.2 .E3 : 0731 : / 15.2 / 16.1 / 16.8 / 17.3 .E4 : 0801 : / 17.6 / 17.8 / 17.9 / 17.9 .E5 : 0802 : / 17.9 / 17.7 / 17.4 / 16.8 .E6 : 0803 : / 16.2 / 15.5 / 14.8 / 14.2 .E7 : 0804 : / 13.7 / 13.3 / 12.8 / 12.5 .E8 : 0805 : / 12.2 / 12.0 / 11.7 : : ***THE TABLE BELOW IS THE QPF FOR THE LOCAL DRAINAGE : AREA AND DOES NOT REPRESENT THE QPF FOR ANY UPSTREAM : WATERSHEDS*** : :QPF (IN) / 12Z / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z : 0729 / 0.20 : 0730 / 0.85 / 0.60 / 0.21 : : 24-hr QPF Total Ending on Jul 31 is 1.86 inches : :FORECASTER COMMENTS... : : :************************************************************ :SOUTH SKUNK RIVER, OOAI4 :OSKALOOSA 4N, IA - DMX : :ACTION STAGE 18.0 FTMINOR STAGE 24.5 FT :MODERATE STAGE 28.5 FTMAJOR STAGE 30.0 FT : :THE RIVER STAGE WAS 16.9 FT AT 2330 Z ON JUL 29 .AR :CREST: OOAI4 0802 Z DC202507300020/DH1200/HGIFFXZ 21.7 :Crest near 21.7 FT around 12 Z on Sat, Aug 2 .ER OOAI4 0730 Z DC202507300020/DH06/HGIFF/DIH6 :RIVER FORECAST / 12Z / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z .E1 : 0729 : / 16.8 .E2 : 0730 : / 16.9 / 18.3 / 19.7 / 20.5 .E3 : 0731 : / 20.8 / 21.0 / 21.1 / 21.2 .E4 : 0801 : / 21.3 / 21.4 / 21.5 / 21.6 .E5 : 0802 : / 21.7 / 21.7 / 21.6 / 21.6 .E6 : 0803 : / 21.6 / 21.6 / 21.5 / 21.4 .E7 : 0804 : / 21.3 / 21.1 / 20.8 / 20.3 .E8 : 0805 : / 19.8 / 19.2 / 18.7 : : ***THE TABLE BELOW IS THE QPF FOR THE LOCAL DRAINAGE : AREA AND DOES NOT REPRESENT THE QPF FOR ANY UPSTREAM : WATERSHEDS*** : :QPF (IN) / 12Z / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z : 0729 / 0.15 : 0730 / 0.77 / 0.85 / 0.22 : : 24-hr QPF Total Ending on Jul 31 is 1.99 inches : :FORECASTER COMMENTS... : : :************************************************************ :NORTH SKUNK RIVER, SIGI4 :SIGOURNEY 2S, IA - DVN : :ACTION STAGE 14.5 FTMINOR STAGE 16.0 FT :MODERATE STAGE 18.0 FTMAJOR STAGE 21.0 FT : :THE RIVER STAGE WAS 15.3 FT AT 2330 Z ON JUL 29 .AR :CREST: SIGI4 0801 Z DC202507300020/DH0000/HGIFFXZ 21.0 :Crest near 21.0 FT around 00 Z on Fri, Aug 1 :FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AROUND 03 Z ON 08/04/2025 .ER SIGI4 0730 Z DC202507300020/DH06/HGIFF/DIH6 :RIVER FORECAST / 12Z / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z .E1 : 0729 : / 16.0 .E2 : 0730 : / 16.3 / 16.5 / 16.9 / 18.3 .E3 : 0731 : / 20.4 / 20.7 / 21.0 / 20.9 .E4 : 0801 : / 20.6 / 19.9 / 19.7 / 19.6 .E5 : 0802 : / 19.5 / 19.5 / 19.3 / 19.1 .E6 : 0803 : / 18.5 / 17.5 / 16.3 / 15.2 .E7 : 0804 : / 14.3 / 13.5 / 12.9 / 12.4 .E8 : 0805 : / 11.9 / 11.4 / 11.0 : : ***THE TABLE BELOW IS THE QPF FOR THE LOCAL DRAINAGE : AREA AND DOES NOT REPRESENT THE QPF FOR ANY UPSTREAM : WATERSHEDS*** : :QPF (IN) / 12Z / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z : 0729 / 0.12 : 0730 / 0.90 / 0.97 / 0.25 : : 24-hr QPF Total Ending on Jul 31 is 2.24 inches : :FORECASTER COMMENTS... : :Our model is simulating substantial surface runoff in the :local in this basin, which is causing the next big rise. :Because it is QPF driven, we have adjusted some of this :runoff down to hold below Major. This site tends to over :simulate until it gets saturated. Then we tend to under :simulate. Right now the model is under simulating. If the :QPF was QPE, we would issue this above Major. :************************************************************ :SKUNK RIVER, AGSI4 :AUGUSTA, IA - DVN : :ACTION STAGE 14.0 FTMINOR STAGE 15.0 FT :MODERATE STAGE 17.0 FTMAJOR STAGE 20.0 FT : :THE RIVER STAGE WAS 11.1 FT AT 2245 Z ON JUL 29 :RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE AROUND 15 Z ON 07/31/2025 .AR :CREST: AGSI4 0801 Z DC202507300020/DH1800/HGIFFXZ 18.8 :Crest near 18.8 FT around 18 Z on Fri, Aug 1 :FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AROUND 12 Z ON 08/03/2025 .ER AGSI4 0730 Z DC202507300020/DH06/HGIFF/DIH6 :RIVER FORECAST / 12Z / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z .E1 : 0729 : / 11.2 .E2 : 0730 : / 11.4 / 11.8 / 12.4 / 13.4 .E3 : 0731 : / 14.5 / 15.8 / 17.1 / 18.1 .E4 : 0801 : / 18.7 / 18.8 / 18.6 / 18.1 .E5 : 0802 : / 17.4 / 16.7 / 16.1 / 15.5 .E6 : 0803 : / 15.0 / 14.6 / 14.2 / 14.0 .E7 : 0804 : / 13.7 / 13.6 / 13.4 / 13.3 .E8 : 0805 : / 13.1 / 12.9 / 12.8 : : ***THE TABLE BELOW IS THE QPF FOR THE LOCAL DRAINAGE : AREA AND DOES NOT REPRESENT THE QPF FOR ANY UPSTREAM : WATERSHEDS*** : :QPF (IN) / 12Z / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z : 0729 / 0.05 : 0730 / 0.21 / 0.64 / 0.43 : : 24-hr QPF Total Ending on Jul 31 is 1.33 inches : :FORECASTER COMMENTS... : :Several basins upstream are generating surface runoff. We :have adjusted some of this runoff down to account for model :bias and the fact that there is QPF uncertainty. : :******************************************************************* : $$ : FCSTR EXT: 2528 : :...END of MESSAGE...