Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Great Falls, MT

Home |  Current Version |  Previous Version |  Text Only |  Print | Product List |  Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
576
FNUS75 KTFX 151157
FWSTFX

Spot Forecast for Gill Gulch Fire...USFS
National Weather Service Great Falls MT
557 AM MDT Fri Aug 15 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0600 MDT on August 15.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

Another dry day is in store for the Gill Gulch fire as
southwesterly flow aloft helps bring warm and dry air into the
area. Expect afternoon RH values to dip into the upper teens as
highs climb into the low to mid 70s. While mid slope locations
should largely be protected from the southwesterly winds, ridgetop
wind gusts to 20 mph will be possible this afternoon. After a dry
overnight, Saturday will see another day of warm temperatures but
slightly higher humidity as mid level moisture pushes into the
area, though the mid level moisture may help spur a few dry
showers or thunderstorms.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of thunder...2 percent.
Max temperature.....70-75.
Min humidity........15-20 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph shifting to the
                    west late in the afternoon.
 Ridgetop...........Southwest 10 to 15 mph shifting to the west
                    around 20 mph late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......7500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 5 to 10 mph increasing to west 15 to
                    20 mph in the afternoon.

TIME (MDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........22  25  12  13  12  20  15  21  34  46  25  22
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............51  52  53  56  61  64  66  69  70  71  72  72
RH..............66  67  65  57  44  39  36  32  30  26  23  24
20 FT wind dir..SW  S   SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..5   5   5   5   5   5   5   10  10  10  10  10
20 FT wind gust.        10  10  10  15  15  20  20  20  20  20
Ridge wind dir..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W
Ridge wind spd..10  10  10  10  10  15  15  15  20  20  20  20
Mix hgt (kft)...0.1 0.1 0.1 0.5 1.5 3.0 4.5 5.5 6.5 7.0 7.5 6.5
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  SW  W   W   SW  W   W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.5   5   5   5   10  10  15  15  20  20  20  20

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of thunder...2 percent.
Min temperature.....51-56.
Max humidity........54-59 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......West winds 5 to 10 mph.
 Ridgetop...........West 15 to 20 mph decreasing to around 10 mph
                    late in the evening.
Mixing height.......0 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 15 to 20 mph decreasing to 5 to 10 mph
                    early in the evening.

TIME (MDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........16  12  23  23  30  23  23  24  24  23  23  24
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............72  71  69  64  62  60  59  58  57  56  54  54
RH..............24  26  31  35  42  44  44  47  48  52  55  55
20 FT wind dir..W   W   NW  NW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W   SW
20 FT wind spd..10  10  5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
20 FT wind gust.20  15  15  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
Ridge wind dir..W   W   W   NW  NW  W   W   W   W   W   W   SW
Ridge wind spd..20  20  20  15  15  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
Mix hgt (kft)...5.5 3.5 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Transp wind dir.W   W   NW  NW  NW  W   NW  W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.20  15  10  5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of thunder...5 percent.
Max temperature.....72-77.
Min humidity........20-25 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......West winds 5 to 10 mph.
 Ridgetop...........Southwest 10 to 15 mph shifting to the west
                    around 20 mph in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......7500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 5 to 10 mph increasing to west 15 to
                    20 mph in the afternoon.

TIME (MDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........23  25  21  16  11  17  23  23  23  39  39  39
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   10  10  10
Temp............53  53  55  59  63  67  70  72  73  74  74  74
RH..............58  58  54  49  38  34  32  29  27  27  27  29
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   10  10  10
20 FT wind gust.10  10  10  10  10  10  15  15  15  20  20  20
Ridge wind dir..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W
Ridge wind spd..10  15  15  15  15  15  15  20  20  20  20  20
Mix hgt (kft)...0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 1.5 2.5 4.0 5.5 7.0 7.5 7.0 5.5
Transp wind dir.W   SW  S   SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.5   5   5   5   5   10  15  15  20  20  20  15

$$
Forecaster...Ludwig
Requested by...Hannah Pinkerton
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2519519.6/TFX
.DELDT 08/15/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL nicholas.boucher@usda.gov,todd.a.burbridge@usda.gov,hannah.pinkerton@usda.gov,jarel.kurtz@usda.gov,jason.l.gilbert@usda.gov, tfx.ops@noaa.gov