Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Great Falls, MT
Issued by NWS Great Falls, MT
511
FNUS75 KTFX 141111
FWSTFX
Spot Forecast for Bear Gulch...USFS
National Weather Service Great Falls MT
511 AM MDT Mon Sep 14 2026
Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 MDT on September 14.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.
.DISCUSSION...
Mostly dry conditions are expected for the next few days, with the
next chance for precipitation on Thursday night. Afternoon
temperatures will be seasonable, with a slow warming trend later
this week. It will be windy later today, with lighter winds
expected for Tue/Wed.
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent) then becoming
mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
Max temperature.....58-63.
Min humidity........39-44 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
Slope/valley.......Breezy. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts
to around 30 mph increasing to west 20 to 25
mph with gusts to around 40 mph early in the
late morning.
Mixing height.......5000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 15 to 20 mph increasing to 30 to 35 mph in
the late morning.
TIME (MDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........75 75 67 49 44 45 31 24 33 27
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Chc of thdr (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Temp............48 49 51 52 52 54 57 56 58 58
RH..............66 58 61 60 57 54 51 52 47 48
20 FT wind dir..SW W W W W W W W W W
20 FT wind spd..20 20 25 25 25 20 20 20 20 15
20 FT wind gust.35 35 40 35 35 35 35 30 30 30
Mix hgt (kft)...1.0 3.5 3.5 4.0 4.0 4.0 5.0 5.0 5.0 4.5
Transp wind dir.W W W W W W W W W W
Transp wind spd.20 30 30 35 35 35 35 30 25 25
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (20-30 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
Min temperature.....40-45.
Max humidity........74-79 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
Slope/valley.......West winds 10 to 15 mph, becoming downslope
overnight.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 15 to 20 mph decreasing to 5 to 10 mph
early in the evening.
TIME (MDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........25 28 30 29 30 29 20 13 11 20 21 40
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Chc of thdr (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Temp............58 58 56 52 51 50 49 48 47 46 44 43
RH..............44 44 51 58 61 64 65 64 68 72 76 77
20 FT wind dir..W W W W SW SW SW SW SW S S SW
20 FT wind spd..15 10 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 0
20 FT wind gust.25 20 15 10 10 10 10 10 5
Mix hgt (kft)...4.0 3.0 1.0 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5
Transp wind dir.W W W W W W W SW SW S SW S
Transp wind spd.20 15 10 10 10 10 5 5 5 5 5 5
.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (65-75 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
Max temperature.....65-70.
Min humidity........31-36 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
Slope/valley.......Light winds becoming northeast around 5 mph in
the afternoon.
Mixing height.......5000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 5 to 10 mph shifting to the east late in
the afternoon, then shifting to the northeast
late in the afternoon.
TIME (MDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........62 62 62 59 59 59 75 75 75 77 77 77
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Chc of thdr (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Temp............42 42 44 48 51 54 57 61 64 64 66 65
RH..............79 79 73 61 60 56 49 43 39 38 36 36
20 FT wind dir..SW SW SW E E E NE NE NE N N N
20 FT wind spd..0 0 0 0 0 0 5 5 5 5 5 5
20 FT wind gust.5 5 5 10 10 10 15 15 15 15 15 15
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.5 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.5 4.5 4.5 5.0 4.0
Transp wind dir.S SW SW S SE S SE S SE E NE NE
Transp wind spd.5 5 5 5 5 5 5 10 10 10 10 10
$$
Forecaster...Brusda
Requested by...Kyle Miller
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2621433.6/TFX
.DELDT 09/14/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL kyle.a.miller@usda.gov