233
FNUS75 KTFX 021713
FWSTFX

Spot Forecast for FLAT TOP RIDE FIRE...MT-BFA
National Weather Service Great Falls MT
1113 AM MDT Wed Jul 2 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1100 MDT on July 02.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
Main concern is thunderstorm potential today and Thursday. The lewdest
forecast models have all thunderstorms staying east of the burn area.
However, some storms could produce strong outflow wind gusts which
could impact the burn area. Confidence in getting measurable rainfall
today and Thu is low, but a better chance for rainfall arrives on
Friday.


.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms in the late afternoon.
CWR.................5 percent.
Chance of thunder...18 percent.
Max temperature.....84-88.
Min humidity........15-20 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms in the
                    afternoon.
 Ridgetop...........Southwest 15 to 20 mph.
Mixing height.......10000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 20 to 25 mph.

TIME (MDT)      11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........46  54  52  38  38  36  34
Weather cov.....    SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....    RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........    SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
CWR.............10  10  10  10  10  10  10
Chc of thdr (%).0   20  20  20  20  20  10
Temp............74  77  79  80  83  81  81
RH..............25  22  21  21  20  22  22
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W
20 FT wind spd..5   10  10  10  10  10  10
20 FT wind gust.15  20  20  20  20  20  20
Ridge wind dir..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Ridge wind spd..15  20  20  20  20  15  15
Mix hgt (kft)...7.0 7.5 8.5 10  10  9.5 9.5
Transp wind dir.SW  W   SW  SW  SW  W   W
Transp wind spd.20  20  20  25  20  20  20

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (55-65 percent). Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms.
CWR.................5 percent.
Chance of thunder...17 percent.
Min temperature.....50-55.
Max humidity........48-53 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms early in the
                    evening. Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms overnight.
 Ridgetop...........Southwest 10 to 15 mph increasing to around 30
                    mph.
Mixing height.......1000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 10 to 15 mph increasing to 15 to 20
                    mph after 3 am.

TIME (MDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........32  36  43  40  44  37  44  42  41  40  57  62
Weather cov.....    SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....    RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........    SCH SCH             SCH
CWR.............10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
Chc of thdr (%).10  20  20  10  10  10  20  10  10  0   0   0
Temp............81  79  75  71  67  65  63  62  61  58  57  57
RH..............22  25  28  35  39  41  44  46  47  50  51  50
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  W   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..10  10  10  5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
20 FT wind gust.20  20  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15
Ridge wind dir..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Ridge wind spd..10  15  15  20  25  25  30  30  30  30  30  30
Mix hgt (kft)...8.5 6.5 4.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0
Transp wind dir.W   SW  W   W   W   SW  SW  SW  W   W   SW  SW
Transp wind spd.15  15  15  10  10  15  15  15  15  20  15  20

$$
Forecaster...Brusda
Requested by...Meri Gobert
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2517128.0/TFX
.DELDT 07/02/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL m.gobert@blackfeetnation.com