625
FNUS75 KTFX 041751
FWSTFX

Spot Forecast for Boulder Fireworks and Fire Patrol...Bull MTN Rural Fire Dist
National Weather Service Great Falls MT
1151 AM MDT Fri Jul 4 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1200 MDT on July 04.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

A weather system moving through the area today will bring at
least one round of showers and thunderstorms to the area this
afternoon (mostly likely around 1400-1700). A second round of
showers and storms looks likely as well between 1800 and 2100,
with drier conditions working into the area after. After a mostly
dry overnight period save for a stray shower, expect showers and
storms to redevelop on Saturday. Watch for gusty winds with any
shower or thunderstorm today and tomorrow, as gusty outflow winds
are possible both days.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Showers through the
                    day, with thunderstorms likely in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......90 percent.
Chance of lightning.56 percent.
Max temperature.....72-77.
Min humidity........32-37 percent.
Surface winds (mph).East winds around 10 mph shifting to the
                    southeast late in the afternoon, then shifting
                    to the northeast late in the afternoon.
Pcpn amount.........0.23 inches.
Snowfall amount.....0.0 inches.
Visibility..........6.

TIME (MDT)      12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........96  96  94  95  96  96
Weather cov.....DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY
Chc of pcpn (%).90  90  90  90  90  90
Chc of ltng (%).30  30  30  60  60  60
Temp............71  71  67  71  68  68
RH..............37  43  54  54  54  56
Surface wnd dir.NE  E   SE  SE  E   NE
Surface wnd spd.10  10  10  10  10  10
Surface wnd gst.15  15  15  15  15  15
Visibility (sm).6   6   6   6   6   6

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Rain showers
                    likely and chance of thunderstorms in the
                    evening, then chance of rain showers and slight
                    chance of thunderstorms overnight.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
Chance of lightning.40 percent.
Min temperature.....46-51.
Max humidity........80-85 percent.
Surface winds (mph).North winds around 5 mph shifting to the
                    southwest late in the evening, then becoming
                    light overnight.
Pcpn amount.........0.09 inches.
Snowfall amount.....0.0 inches.
Visibility..........6 increasing to 10 overnight.

TIME (MDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........76  74  71  73  71  70  52  43  39  36  51  57
Weather cov.....LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY CHC SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Chc of pcpn (%).60  60  60  60  60  60  30  20  20  20  30  30
Chc of ltng (%).40  40  40  30  30  30  20  20  20  20  20  20
Temp............67  63  61  59  57  55  55  53  53  51  51  50
RH..............59  66  67  73  79  81  79  84  83  81  81  84
Surface wnd dir.N   N   N   N   N   W   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W
Surface wnd spd.5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   0   0   0   0
Surface wnd gst.15  10  10  10                  5   5   5   5
Visibility (sm).6   6   6   6   6   6   10  10  10  10  10  10

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers in the morning with a slight chance of
                    thunderstorms late in the morning, then rain
                    showers likely and chance of thunderstorms in
                    the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent.
Chance of lightning.49 percent.
Max temperature.....67-72.
Min humidity........33-38 percent.
Surface winds (mph).Light winds becoming west 5 to 10 mph early in
                    the morning.
Pcpn amount.........0.03 inches.
Snowfall amount.....0.0 inches.
Visibility..........10 decreasing to 6 in the afternoon.

TIME (MDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........55  56  58  58  59  64  77  77  77  74  74  74
Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........            SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).30  30  40  40  40  40  70  60  60  60  60  60
Chc of ltng (%).10  10  10  20  20  20  30  30  30  50  50  50
Temp............50  49  53  54  60  62  62  64  66  67  68  68
RH..............85  85  78  71  58  52  49  45  41  39  37  37
Surface wnd dir.W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   NW  NW
Surface wnd spd.0   0   5   5   5   10  10  10  10  10  10  10
Surface wnd gst.5   5   10  10  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15
Visibility (sm).10  10  10  10  10  10  6   6   6   6   6   6

$$
Forecaster...Ludwig
Requested by...Steven Carey
Type of request...OTHER
.TAG 2517322.0/TFX
.DELDT 07/04/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL bullmtnrvfd@gmail.com, tfx.ops@noaa.gov