Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL
Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL
293 FNUS72 KTBW 221737 FWSTBW Spot Forecast for RC11...FFS National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL 137 PM EDT Thu May 22 2025 Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 EDT on May 23. If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather Service. Please contact our office at (813) 645-2323 if you have questions or concerns with this forecast. .DISCUSSION... Weak high pressure across the area will maintain a light wind flow environment with light/variable winds Friday morning shifting to the west in the afternoon as the sea breeze develops. There should also be enough moisture in place for the development of scattered showers and thunderstorms by late afternoon and evening with gusty erratic winds possible in the vicinity of this activity. Otherwise, deep mixing heights over 6000 ft AGL are expected by mid afternoon, particularly before any precipitation occurs and minimum RH values will drop into the mid 40 percent range later in the day. .FRIDAY... TIME (EDT) 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM Sky (%).........34 22 23 25 42 Weather cov.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR Tstm cov........S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC Chc of pcpn (%).10 20 20 30 40 Temp............73 83 88 91 91 RH..............86 62 51 45 44 20 ft wind......S 2 NW 2 NW 3 W 5 W 6 20 ft wind gust.5 6 8 10 10 Mix hgt (ft)....500 2100 4000 6100 5400 Transport wind..N 3 NW 5 W 5 W 5 NW 6 Dispersion idx..3 12 25 37 46 LVORI...........6 3 2 1 1 .FRIDAY NIGHT... TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM Sky (%).........42 27 28 18 12 15 Weather cov.....CHANCE Weather type....RNSHWR NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE Tstm cov........S CHC Chc of pcpn (%).40 10 10 10 0 0 Temp............86 81 78 75 72 71 RH..............54 76 82 87 95 95 20 ft wind......SW 6 SE 6 SE 3 SE 2 SE 2 S 2 20 ft wind gust.12 12 9 7 6 6 Mix hgt (ft)....3600 700 500 500 400 400 Transport wind..NE 8 SE 9 SE 7 SE 7 S 7 S 7 Dispersion idx..32 4 1 3 3 3 LVORI...........1 4 5 6 8 7 .SATURDAY... TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM Sky (%).........17 17 12 13 22 28 Weather cov..... CHANCE CHANCE Weather type....NONE NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR Tstm cov........ S CHC S CHC Chc of pcpn (%).0 10 10 10 40 40 Temp............72 73 83 89 92 92 RH..............96 96 73 58 51 51 20 ft wind......S 2 SE 2 SE 3 SE 3 SE 5 E 5 20 ft wind gust.5 6 7 8 10 12 Mix hgt (ft)....600 800 2300 4300 6700 6100 Transport wind..S 6 S 7 S 8 S 7 S 6 SE 6 Dispersion idx..3 6 22 38 47 46 LVORI...........8 6 3 1 1 1 $$ Forecaster...Giarratana Requested by...Jordan Kent Type of request...PRESCRIBED .TAG 2514525.0/TBW .DELDT 05/22/25 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL jordan.kent@fdacs.gov