823
FNUS72 KTBW 030717
FWSTBW

Spot Forecast for NP1 NSH3 RX Burn...Florida Forest Service
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
317 AM EDT Thu Sep 3 2026

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 EDT on September 03.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (813) 645-2323 if you have questions or
concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
High rain and storm chances are expected once again today with
widespread showers and scattered storms during the afternoon and
evening hours. This wet pattern will continue on Friday as well.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent). Widespread
                    showers and scattered thunderstorms in the
                    afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......80 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 90.
Min humidity........68 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southeast 5 to 6 mph in
                    the afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms early in the afternoon.
                    Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......3300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 6 to 9 mph.
Dispersion index....8 increasing to 27.
LVORI...............6.

TIME (EDT)      8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........44     33     43     54     61
Weather cov.....              ISOLTD SCTTRD NUMRUS
Weather type....NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........              ISOLTD SCTTRD SCTTRD
Chc of pcpn (%).10     10     20     50     70
Temp............76     83     88     88     85
RH..............100    84     71     69     75
20 ft wind......E 2    SE 3   SE 3   SE 5   SE 6
20 ft wind gust.6      7      9      13     15
Mix hgt (ft)....700    2000   2800   3200   2800
Transport wind..SE 6   SE 7   SE 7   SE 7   SE 8
Dispersion idx..5      17     27     30     27
LVORI...........9      3      3      3      3

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (25-35 percent). Widespread
                    showers and scattered thunderstorms in the
                    evening.
Chance of pcpn......80 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 73.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 5 to 6 mph early in the evening
                    becoming light, then becoming southeast around
                    5 mph late in the evening becoming light. Gusty
                    and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms
                    early in the evening. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms late in the
                    evening.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 5 to 10 mph.
Dispersion index....13 decreasing to 4 early in the evening.
LVORI...............7.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........69     76     65     42     25     10
Weather cov.....WIDSPD SCTTRD ISOLTD
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........SCTTRD SCTTRD ISOLTD
Chc of pcpn (%).80     40     20     10     0      0
Temp............82     77     76     76     75     74
RH..............84     97     97     97     100    100
20 ft wind......S 6    SE 3   SE 3   SE 3   SE 3   SE 3
20 ft wind gust.14     10     9      8      7      7
Mix hgt (ft)....1200   600    500    700    500    400
Transport wind..SE 10  E 7    SE 7   SE 8   SE 7   S 6
Dispersion idx..16     4      4      5      3      2
LVORI...........4      7      8      8      8      9

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Scattered showers
                    and thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 92.
Min humidity........64 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south 5 to 6 mph in the
                    late morning and afternoon. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms late in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......4100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 6 to 8 mph.
Dispersion index....4 increasing to 17 late in the morning, then
                    increasing to 33 late in the morning increasing
                    to 42 early in the afternoon decreasing to 30.
LVORI...............5.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........12     7      10     29     48     65
Weather cov.....                            SCTTRD SCTTRD
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........                            SCTTRD SCTTRD
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      40     50
Temp............74     76     83     89     90     87
RH..............100    99     82     68     65     69
20 ft wind......SE 3   SE 3   S 5    S 6    S 6    S 6
20 ft wind gust.6      7      9      13     14     14
Mix hgt (ft)....400    400    2100   3300   4100   3000
Transport wind..S 6    S 6    S 8    S 8    S 8    S 8
Dispersion idx..2      5      21     36     43     33
LVORI...........9      8      3      3      1      3

$$
Forecaster...Wynn
Requested by...Nathan Bartosek
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2621038.1/TBW
.DELDT 09/03/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL nathan.bartosek@fdacs.gov