Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL
Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL
656
FNUS72 KTBW 171138
FWSTBW
Spot Forecast for EB-24 RX Fire...FDEP
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
738 AM EDT Thu Jul 17 2025
Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 EDT on July 17.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.
Please contact our office at (813) 645-2323 if you have questions or
concerns with this forecast.
.DISCUSSION...
Minimal fire concerns expected as abundant moisture remains across
the state, with minimum RH values remaining comfortably above
critical thresholds and south to southeast flow favoring scattered
showers and thunderstorms developing during the morning before
becoming more numerous in the afternoon, then diminishing in the
evening.
.REST OF TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent) then becoming
mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Numerous showers
and scattered thunderstorms late in the
morning.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 92.
Min humidity........61 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 8 to 10 mph shifting to the
south late in the afternoon. Gusty and erratic
winds expected near thunderstorms late in the
morning.
Mixing height.......3600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 9 to 14 mph.
Dispersion index....24 increasing to 39 late in the morning, then
increasing to 46 late in the morning decreasing
to 30 late in the afternoon decreasing to 20.
LVORI...............3.
TIME (EDT) 5AM 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM
Sky (%).........21 21 21 26 37 49 60 69 77
Weather cov..... NUM NUM NUM NUM NUM NUM NUM
Weather type.... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........ SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT
Chc of pcpn (%).10 10 60 60 60 70 70 70 60
Temp............82 86 88 90 90 90 90 88 87
RH..............80 72 66 62 61 61 61 67 69
20 FT wind dir..SE SE SE SE S S SW SE SE
20 FT wind spd..8 9 10 10 9 10 9 9 8
20 FT wind gust.13 13 14 15 14 15 15 14 13
Mix hgt (kft)...1.4 2.4 3.2 3.6 3.1 2.7 2.7 2.3 1.9
Transp wind dir.E SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE
Transp wind spd.14 14 13 12 10 10 10 9 9
Dispersion idx..24 39 49 48 42 34 29 25 20
LVORI...........4 3 2 2 2 3 3 3 3
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Numerous showers
early in the evening. Scattered thunderstorms
in the evening. Scattered showers early in the
evening.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 77.
Max humidity........96 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 5 to 7 mph early in the evening
becoming light, then becoming east 5 to 7 mph
in the late evening and overnight. Gusty and
erratic winds expected near thunderstorms in
the evening.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 7 mph shifting to the east 6
to 10 mph in the late evening and overnight.
Dispersion index....11 decreasing to 5 early in the evening.
LVORI...............5.
TIME (EDT) 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM
Sky (%).........87 87 86 83 79 64 58 61 57 59 53 59
Weather cov.....NUM NUM SCT SCT SCT
Weather type....RW RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT
Chc of pcpn (%).60 60 30 30 30 10 10 10 0 0 0 10
Temp............85 82 82 81 80 79 79 78 78 78 77 77
RH..............74 78 78 82 85 88 88 90 91 91 93 94
20 FT wind dir..E E E E E E E E E E E E
20 FT wind spd..7 6 5 3 5 5 5 6 6 6 7 7
20 FT wind gust.10 9 7 7 8 8 9 9 10 10 10 10
Mix hgt (kft)...1.6 1.3 0.9 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5
Transp wind dir.SE SE SE E E E E E E E E E
Transp wind spd.7 7 7 6 7 8 8 8 10 10 10 9
Dispersion idx..14 8 4 3 4 5 6 7 7 7 7 7
LVORI...........4 4 5 5 5 5 5 6 6 6 5 6
.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (45-55 percent). Scattered showers
and thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 94.
Min humidity........56 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 7 to 9 mph shifting to the
south 7 to 8 mph late in the afternoon. Gusty
and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms
late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......4200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 8 to 16 mph.
Dispersion index....11 increasing to 26 late in the morning, then
increasing to 40 late in the morning increasing
to 56 late in the morning decreasing to 46
decreasing to 33 late in the afternoon
decreasing to 21.
LVORI...............4.
TIME (EDT) 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM
Sky (%).........56 56 43 44 44 44 44 45 45 50 55 61
Weather cov..... SCT SCT SCT SCT
Weather type.... RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........ SCT SCT SCT SCT
Chc of pcpn (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 40 40 40 40
Temp............77 77 78 83 85 87 89 91 92 92 90 90
RH..............95 96 92 80 73 68 62 59 57 56 60 62
20 FT wind dir..E E E E SE SE SE SE SE SE S S
20 FT wind spd..7 7 7 8 8 9 9 8 8 8 8 7
20 FT wind gust.12 12 12 13 13 14 14 14 14 13 12 12
Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 0.6 0.9 1.7 2.3 2.8 3.3 3.8 4.2 3.6 2.9 2.2
Transp wind dir.E E E E E E E SE SE SE SE SE
Transp wind spd.12 10 13 14 16 15 14 13 12 9 8 8
Dispersion idx..7 9 14 26 40 52 58 59 56 46 33 21
LVORI...........6 5 5 4 3 3 2 2 1 2 3 3
$$
Forecaster...Wynn
Requested by...Rebecca Thornhill
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2518159.0/TBW
.DELDT 07/17/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL Rebecca.Thornhill@floridadep.gov