Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL

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741
FNUS72 KTBW 191250
FWSTBW

Spot Forecast for Training Center Burn...Florida Forest Service
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
850 AM EDT Sat Oct 19 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1100 EDT on October 19.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (813) 645-2323 if you have questions or
concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
Gusty northeasterly winds will continue to bring Atlantic moisture
over the state with warm temps and increasing RHs through the
weekend with locally high dispersion values.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 82.
Min humidity........57 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 13 to 15 mph with gusts to
                    around 26 mph.
Mixing height.......4900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 20 to 21 mph.
Dispersion index....62 decreasing to 54 late in the afternoon.
LVORI...............2.

TIME (EDT)      11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
Sky (%).........24     17     23     38
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0
LAL.............1      1      1      1
Temp............75     80     82     80
RH..............73     59     57     60
20 ft wind......NE 13  NE 14  NE 15  NE 14
20 ft wind gust.21     23     24     26
Mix hgt (ft)....2800   4700   4400   3900
Transport wind..E 20   E 21   E 21   NE 20
Dispersion idx..60     64     61     54
LVORI...........2      1      1      1

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (50-60 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (45-55 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (55-65 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 65.
Max humidity........97 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 9 to 14 mph. Gusts up to 25 mph
                    in the evening.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 14 to 18 mph.
Dispersion index....41 decreasing to 13.
LVORI...............3.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........31     58     52     45     53     64
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............78     72     69     67     66     65
RH..............62     75     87     92     97     96
20 ft wind......NE 14  NE 10  NE 10  N 10   N 9    N 9
20 ft wind gust.25     22     20     18     16     17
Mix hgt (ft)....2300   700    800    600    500    500
Transport wind..NE 18  NE 16  NE 15  N 14   N 16   N 16
Dispersion idx..41     14     10     12     14     15
LVORI...........1      4      5      5      5      5

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 82.
Min humidity........69 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 9 to 15 mph. Gusts up to 28 mph
                    in the late morning and afternoon.
Mixing height.......3500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 14 to 20 mph.
Dispersion index....10 increasing to 23 late in the morning, then
                    increasing to 37 late in the morning increasing
                    to 54 late in the morning decreasing to 47.
LVORI...............5.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........51     34     36     43     50     40
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............65     65     73     78     81     80
RH..............95     97     85     76     72     71
20 ft wind......N 9    N 10   NE 12  NE 13  NE 14  NE 15
20 ft wind gust.16     16     20     21     23     26
Mix hgt (ft)....500    600    2000   2800   3500   3300
Transport wind..N 16   N 15   NE 17  NE 18  NE 20  NE 20
Dispersion idx..11     11     37     55     57     53
LVORI...........5      6      4      3      3      3

$$
Forecaster...ADavis
Requested by...Hunter Harrison
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2424369.0/TBW
.DELDT 10/19/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL hunter.harrison@fdacs.gov