926
FNUS72 KTBW 151136
FWSTBW

Spot Forecast for UH2026W2...SWFWMD
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
736 AM EDT Tue Sep 15 2026

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 EDT on September 15.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (813) 645-2323 if you have questions or
concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
Primarily easterly flow expected today with good afternoon
dispersions, with highest chances of showers and storms mid to
late afternoon through early evening. RHs to remain well above
critical values, with no significant concerns anticipated outside
of potential gusty and/or erratic winds in/near storms. Breezier
and slightly drier conditions developing on Wednesday as high
pressure builds into the area, occasionally gusty late morning
through afternoon, with lower afternoon rain chances.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Scattered
                    showers and thunderstorms early in the
                    afternoon. Numerous showers and thunderstorms
                    late in the afternoon, then scattered showers
                    and thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 92.
Min humidity........64 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming east 5 to 8 mph in the
                    late morning and afternoon. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms late in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......4200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 6 to 12 mph.
Dispersion index....9 increasing to 24 late in the morning, then
                    increasing to 40 early in the afternoon
                    increasing to 42 late in the afternoon
                    decreasing to 30.
LVORI...............5.

TIME (EDT)      8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........21     28     31     49     70
Weather cov.....                     SCTTRD NUMRUS
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........                     SCTTRD NUMRUS
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      10     40     60
Temp............75     83     89     91     88
RH..............100    85     70     64     69
20 ft wind......E 3    E 6    E 7    NE 8   E 8
20 ft wind gust.6      8      13     15     16
Mix hgt (ft)....400    1700   3600   3900   3100
Transport wind..E 6    E 8    E 7    E 10   E 10
Dispersion idx..6      20     36     46     38
LVORI...........9      4      3      1      3

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent) then becoming
                    mostly clear (20-30 percent). Scattered showers
                    and thunderstorms early in the evening.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 74.
Max humidity........97 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 6 to 8 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms early in the
                    evening.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 8 to 10 mph.
Dispersion index....17 decreasing to 5 early in the evening.
LVORI...............5.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........66     38     18     15     15     8
Weather cov.....SCTTRD
Weather type....RNSHWR NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........SCTTRD
Chc of pcpn (%).50     10     10     0      0      0
Temp............82     78     77     77     76     75
RH..............82     91     92     94     95     96
20 ft wind......E 8    E 8    E 7    NE 7   NE 6   NE 7
20 ft wind gust.16     15     14     13     12     13
Mix hgt (ft)....1300   500    500    500    500    500
Transport wind..E 10   E 8    E 9    E 9    E 10   E 8
Dispersion idx..21     5      3      4      5      6
LVORI...........3      6      6      6      7      6

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Isolated showers
                    and thunderstorms early in the afternoon.
                    Scattered showers and thunderstorms early in
                    the afternoon, then isolated showers and
                    thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 90.
Min humidity........61 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 9 to 17 mph. Gusts up to 28 mph
                    in the late morning and afternoon. Gusty and
                    erratic winds expected near thunderstorms late
                    in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......4900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 9 to 17 mph.
Dispersion index....9 increasing to 68.
LVORI...............4.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........13     17     25     45     50     38
Weather cov.....                            SCTTRD ISOLTD
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........                            SCTTRD ISOLTD
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      10     40     20
Temp............75     75     83     87     88     87
RH..............96     96     80     69     65     63
20 ft wind......NE 9   NE 9   NE 14  NE 15  NE 15  NE 17
20 ft wind gust.15     16     21     23     25     26
Mix hgt (ft)....400    700    2800   3700   4700   4600
Transport wind..E 9    NE 10  NE 15  E 16   E 16   NE 17
Dispersion idx..6      11     41     62     65     71
LVORI...........6      6      3      1      1      1

$$
Forecaster...Hurt
Requested by...Land Manager
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2621920.0/TBW
.DELDT 09/15/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL bradleyg896@gmail.com,bradley.gonzalez@swfwmd.state.fl.us