Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL

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898
FNUS72 KTBW 121346
FWSTBW

Spot Forecast for LH2025W1...SWFWMD
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
946 AM EDT Wed Mar 12 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 EDT on March 12.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (813) 645-2323 if you have questions or
concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
High pressure directly over the area will promote clear skies with light
and variable winds this morning but shifting to more west-southwest as the
sea breeze develops this afternoon. Due to the light flow and stable conditions,
generally expecting poor to fair dispersion conditions today with the dry air
in place likely supporting minimum RH values dropping into the low-mid 30s by
late afternoon. However, RH values will increase into Thursday as winds become
more southerly and this will bring some deeper moisture back into the region,
though no precipitation is expected throughout the forecast period.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 79.
Min humidity........35 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming west around 5 mph late in
                    the afternoon.
Mixing height.......4800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 3 to 6 mph shifting to the southwest
                    3 to 7 mph in the afternoon.
Dispersion index....15 increasing to 37.
LVORI...............3.

TIME (EDT)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........3      2      4      3
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0
Temp............59     70     76     78
RH..............77     51     37     35
20 ft wind......N 0    NW 2   SW 2   W 3
20 ft wind gust.2      5      5      7
Mix hgt (ft)....700    3000   4200   4800
Transport wind..N 5    NW 3   SW 3   SW 6
Dispersion idx..13     17     17     33
LVORI...........5      2      2      1

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Clear (0-10 percent) then becoming partly
                    cloudy (35-45 percent) then becoming mostly
                    cloudy (50-60 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 51.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds around 5 mph early in the evening
                    becoming light.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 5 to 12 mph shifting to the north 3 to 5
                    mph after 3 am.
Dispersion index....28 decreasing to 3.
LVORI...............6.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........3      0      1      3      7      42
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
Temp............76     67     61     57     54     52
RH..............39     56     74     86     94     97
20 ft wind......W 5    W 3    NW 2   NW 1   N 0    N 0
20 ft wind gust.8      8      3      2      1      1
Mix hgt (ft)....3100   400    400    400    400    400
Transport wind..W 9    W 10   NW 8   W 6    NW 5   NE 3
Dispersion idx..28     4      2      3      2      1
LVORI...........2      3      4      6      6      8

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 77.
Min humidity........51 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southwest 5 to 8 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Mixing height.......4300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East around 2 mph shifting to the south 3 to 9
                    mph in the morning, then shifting to the
                    southwest 12 to 14 mph in the afternoon.
Dispersion index....5 increasing to 18 late in the morning, then
                    increasing to 40 early in the afternoon
                    increasing to 59 early in the afternoon
                    increasing to 68 decreasing to 51 late in the
                    afternoon.
LVORI...............6.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........53     63     20     23     19     18
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
Temp............51     52     61     70     75     76
RH..............100    96     82     62     51     51
20 ft wind......N 0    E 1    S 2    S 5    SW 8   SW 8
20 ft wind gust.1      2      6      9      14     14
Mix hgt (ft)....400    500    1300   2700   4300   3800
Transport wind..E 2    SE 6   S 8    SW 12  SW 14  SW 13
Dispersion idx..2      5      13     40     72     64
LVORI...........10     7      4      1      1      1

$$
Forecaster...Giarratana
Requested by...LND
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2506159.0/TBW
.DELDT 03/12/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL danny.harris@swfwmd.state.fl.us