818
FNUS72 KTBW 310806
FWSTBW

Spot Forecast for GW2025AE1 Aerial Burn...SWFWMD
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
306 AM EST Fri Jan 31 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 EST on January 31.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (813) 645-2323 if you have questions or
concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
High pressure will hold over the region today with mostly sunny skies
and warm temperatures.  Areas of fog will develop tonight and may be
locally dense.  A weak cold front will push across the region, however
little to no rain is expected.  Decreasing cloudiness on Saturday
with the potential for poor dispersion.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent). Patchy fog early in the
                    morning.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 81.
Min humidity........56 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 8 mph.
Mixing height.......3700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 10 to 16 mph.
Dispersion index....18 increasing to 33 late in the morning, then
                    increasing to 51 early in the afternoon
                    increasing to 64 late in the afternoon
                    decreasing to 45.
LVORI...............4.

TIME (EST)      8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........19     15     16     7      6
Weather cov.....PATCHY
Weather type....FOG    NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      0
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1
Temp............60     69     77     81     81
RH..............99     89     69     59     56
20 ft wind......S 5    S 7    S 8    S 8    SW 8
20 ft wind gust.10     14     16     16     16
Mix hgt (ft)....400    1300   2200   3400   3300
Transport wind..S 10   S 16   S 16   S 15   S 16
Dispersion idx..15     28     47     63     62
LVORI...........6      4      2      1      1

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Areas of fog
                    overnight.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 64.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 6 mph.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 12 to 15 mph.
Dispersion index....23 decreasing to 6.
LVORI...............5.

TIME (EST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........11     18     29     46     52     76
Weather cov.....                            AREAS
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   FOG    NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      0      10
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............76     69     66     65     66     65
RH..............67     84     94     98     98     100
20 ft wind......SW 6   SW 6   SW 6   SW 6   SW 6   SW 6
20 ft wind gust.13     12     12     12     12     10
Mix hgt (ft)....400    500    500    700    600    600
Transport wind..SW 12  S 14   S 15   SW 15  SW 15  SW 12
Dispersion idx..23     1      7      9      10     8
LVORI...........2      5      6      7      8      7

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent) then becoming
                    mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 75.
Min humidity........63 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......2600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 12 mph shifting to the north 5
                    to 8 mph in the morning and early afternoon,
                    then shifting to the northeast 3 to 5 mph late
                    in the afternoon.
Dispersion index....10.
LVORI...............4.

TIME (EST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........88     84     75     61     49     35
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).10     0      0      0      0      0
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............64     64     68     72     73     75
RH..............98     93     81     73     67     63
20 ft wind......SW 3   NW 2   N 2    NE 2   NE 2   NE 2
20 ft wind gust.7      7      7      7      7      7
Mix hgt (ft)....500    1000   1100   1700   2100   2600
Transport wind..SW 12  NW 8   N 7    N 6    NE 5   NE 3
Dispersion idx..6      6      10     11     13     13
LVORI...........6      6      4      3      3      3

$$
Forecaster...Oglesby
Requested by...Mark Maggard
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2501916.0/TBW
.DELDT 01/31/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL mark.maggard@swfwmd.state.fl.us