114
FNUS72 KTBW 231410
FWSTBW

Spot Forecast for Sims 22...Florida Forest Service
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
910 AM EST Sun Feb 23 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 EST on February 23.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (813) 645-2323 if you have questions or
concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
High pressure will maintain fair and dry weather today with northeast
winds becoming onshore this afternoon. An area of low pressure will
move across the Gulf tonight into Monday, bringing rain across the
region before drier weather returns for Tuesday.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (75-85 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 72.
Min humidity........41 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......4000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 3 to 6 mph shifting to the north 5 to
                    6 mph late in the afternoon.
Dispersion index....13 increasing to 20 late in the afternoon.
LVORI...............3.

TIME (EST)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........29     42     59     79
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      10
Temp............59     66     70     71
RH..............66     49     42     41
20 ft wind......NE 2   NE 3   N 2    N 2
20 ft wind gust.7      6      5      5
Mix hgt (ft)....1000   2700   3800   3600
Transport wind..NE 6   NE 5   N 5    NW 6
Dispersion idx..8      14     21     23
LVORI...........3      2      2      2

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Rain showers likely in
                    the evening, then rain showers overnight.
Chance of pcpn......80 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 52.
Max humidity........96 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 6 to 10 mph shifting to the east 10 to 12
                    mph after 3 am.
Dispersion index....5.
LVORI...............5.

TIME (EST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........84  86  89  92  95  95  95  95  95  95  95  94
Weather cov.....        SCH CHC CHC LKY LKY DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF
Weather type....        RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).10  10  20  40  50  60  60  80  80  80  80  80
Temp............67  64  60  58  57  55  55  54  52  53  53  54
RH..............52  60  67  72  73  78  83  87  92  92  92  91
20 FT wind dir..W   NW  NW  N   N   N   N   N   NE  NE  NE  E
20 FT wind spd..2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   3   3
20 FT wind gust.5   5   6   6   7   7   8   8   8   9   9   10
Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.7 0.7
Transp wind dir.N   N   N   N   N   N   N   NE  NE  NE  E   E
Transp wind spd.6   6   7   8   8   9   8   8   10  9   12  10
Dispersion idx..9   3   1   2   4   4   3   3   4   4   5   7
LVORI...........3   3   3   3   3   4   5   6   6   6   6   6

.MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Rain showers
                    early in the morning, then rain showers likely
                    in the morning. Chance of rain showers in the
                    afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......80 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 67.
Min humidity........76 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 5 to 7 mph.
Mixing height.......1700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 12 to 15 mph.
Dispersion index....14 increasing to 24 late in the morning.
LVORI...............4.

TIME (EST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........92  91  90  90  89  87  85  83  83  82  82  81
Weather cov.....DEF LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).80  70  70  70  60  60  60  50  50  50  40  40
Temp............54  54  55  56  59  61  63  65  65  65  65  63
RH..............92  94  96  94  89  83  79  76  77  78  79  83
20 FT wind dir..E   NE  E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..5   5   6   6   6   7   7   7   7   7   7   6
20 FT wind gust.10  12  12  13  14  14  13  13  12  12  12  12
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.5 0.7 0.9 1.0 1.2 1.4 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.4
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
Transp wind spd.12  12  12  13  14  14  14  15  15  14  14  14
Dispersion idx..10  13  14  16  17  20  23  26  27  27  25  20
LVORI...........5   5   5   5   5   4   3   3   3   3   3   4

$$
Forecaster...Carlisle
Requested by...Ranger Hicks
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2503534.0/TBW
.DELDT 02/23/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL sean.hicks@fdacs.gov