951
FNUS72 KTBW 040755
FWSTBW

Spot Forecast for Avon Park AFR...USFWS
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
255 AM EST Thu Dec 4 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 EST on December 04.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (813) 645-2323 if you have questions or
concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

.REST OF TODAY...
Minimal fire weather concerns through the period as minimum RHs
remain above critical thresholds. Rain-free conditions expected
through Friday followed by rain chances over the weekend as a
frontal boundary settles across the area. No fog is expected.

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 81.
Min humidity........49 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 5 to 6 mph becoming around 5 mph
                    late in the afternoon, then shifting to the
                    northeast late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......3200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 8 to 9 mph shifting to the southeast 5 to
                    6 mph in the afternoon.
Dispersion index....17.
LVORI...............3.

TIME (EST)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........28  34  31  34  33  26  27  21  23
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............65  70  75  78  79  80  81  80  78
RH..............84  71  62  55  52  49  49  49  56
20 FT wind dir..NE  E   E   E   SE  SE  E   E   NE
20 FT wind spd..5   5   6   6   5   5   5   5   5
20 FT wind gust.8   9   10  10  9   9   9   9   10
Mix hgt (kft)...0.8 1.3 1.8 2.4 2.7 3.0 3.2 3.2 1.1
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  E   E
Transp wind spd.8   9   8   6   6   5   5   5   5
Dispersion idx..13  16  18  19  20  20  19  18  15
LVORI...........4   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 60.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 5 to 6 mph in the evening becoming
                    light.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 7 to 12 mph shifting to the southeast 8 to
                    9 mph after 3 am.
Dispersion index....7.
LVORI...............6.

TIME (EST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........39  46  40  39  40  30  30  33  31  24  23  23
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............73  68  66  64  63  62  61  61  61  60  60  61
RH..............65  79  83  91  96  97  100 100 100 99  100 100
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..5   6   5   5   5   3   2   2   2   2   2   2
20 FT wind gust.10  12  10  10  10  9   8   7   7   7   7   7
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  S
Transp wind spd.7   10  12  12  10  10  9   9   10  9   8   8
Dispersion idx..11  7   6   5   5   5   4   4   4   3   4   4
LVORI...........3   4   5   6   6   7   8   9   9   9   9   9

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 85.
Min humidity........50 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south 5 to 10 mph early in
                    the morning, then shifting to the southwest
                    around 8 mph late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......4300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 8 to 15 mph shifting to the southwest 10
                    to 13 mph late in the afternoon.
Dispersion index....8 increasing to 23 early in the morning, then
                    increasing to 39 late in the morning increasing
                    to 49 in the afternoon decreasing to 34.
LVORI...............5.

TIME (EST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........22  38  22  22  23  23  23  23  23  23  23  22
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............60  61  65  70  76  80  82  84  85  85  84  80
RH..............99  100 98  87  75  66  59  54  51  50  52  59
20 FT wind dir..SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..2   3   5   6   8   9   10  10  10  9   9   8
20 FT wind gust.7   7   9   12  14  16  17  17  17  17  16  15
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 0.6 1.3 2.1 2.6 3.1 3.6 3.8 4.0 4.3 3.1
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd.8   9   9   12  14  15  15  14  13  13  12  10
Dispersion idx..6   9   18  27  36  42  46  49  51  52  47  34
LVORI...........9   8   6   4   2   1   1   1   1   1   1   1

$$
Forecaster...Hurt
Requested by...Kevin Grodi
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2526981.0/TBW
.DELDT 12/04/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL kevin_grodi@fws.gov