813
FNUS72 KTBW 041140
FWSTBW

Spot Forecast for Chass BDF Rxburn 01C...Bird Dog Fire
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
740 AM EDT Fri Oct 4 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 EDT on October 04.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (813) 645-2323 if you have questions or
concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
Warm and humid summertime conditions continue with afternoon seabreeze
near the coast and isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms into
the weekend. Additional tropical moisture is expected early next week.

Fog potential...No significant fog is expected for the next several
days.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Isolated showers
                    late in the afternoon. Isolated thunderstorms
                    late in the afternoon. Scattered showers late
                    in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 90.
Min humidity........61 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 6 to 8 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms late in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......4300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 8 to 12 mph.
Dispersion index....19 increasing to 31 late in the morning, then
                    increasing to 45 late in the morning decreasing
                    to 28 late in the afternoon.

TIME (EDT)      9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
Sky (%).........26     25     37     42     62
Weather cov.....                     ISOLTD SCTTRD
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........                     ISOLTD ISOLTD
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      10     20     30
Temp............78     84     87     88     86
RH..............90     77     68     65     69
20 ft wind......E 6    E 8    E 7    NE 7   NW 7
20 ft wind gust.13     14     13     14     14
Mix hgt (ft)....1000   2900   4100   4200   2300
Transport wind..E 10   E 12   E 9    E 8    E 8
Dispersion idx..19     41     49     41     23

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Scattered
                    showers early in the evening. Isolated
                    thunderstorms in the evening. Isolated showers
                    late in the evening.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 74.
Max humidity........97 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 5 to 7 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms in the
                    evening.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 8 to 9 mph.
Dispersion index....13 decreasing to 6 early in the evening.
LVORI...............5.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........72     79     69     60     54     49
Weather cov.....SCTTRD SCTTRD ISOLTD
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD
Chc of pcpn (%).30     30     20     10     0      0
Temp............84     80     79     78     77     76
RH..............74     84     86     88     88     90
20 ft wind......NE 7   E 5    E 5    E 5    NE 5   NE 5
20 ft wind gust.14     13     13     13     12     12
Mix hgt (ft)....1200   500    500    500    500    500
Transport wind..E 9    E 9    E 9    E 9    E 9    E 8
Dispersion idx..16     6      5      6      6      5
LVORI...........3      5      5      5      5      6

.SATURDAY...

Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 89.
Min humidity........65 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 6 to 8 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms late in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......4000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 8 to 10 mph.
Dispersion index....7 increasing to 20 late in the morning, then
                    increasing to 37 late in the morning increasing
                    to 46 early in the afternoon decreasing to 30.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      20     20
Temp............76     74     82     86     88     87
RH..............90     97     81     72     65     68
20 ft wind......NE 6   NE 6   NE 7   NE 8   E 8    NE 8
20 ft wind gust.12     12     13     13     13     14
Mix hgt (ft)....500    500    1900   3200   4000   3100
Transport wind..NE 8   NE 8   E 10   E 10   E 10   E 10
Dispersion idx..5      8      24     41     49     34

$$
Forecaster...RDavis
Requested by...Carlos Gutierrez
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2423595.0/TBW
.DELDT 10/04/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL carlos@birddogfire.com