Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL

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463
FNUS72 KTBW 211742
FWSTBW

Spot Forecast for 130/190 Field Day...Sarasota County FD
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
142 PM EDT Mon Jul 21 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 EDT on July 22.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (813) 645-2323 if you have questions or
concerns with this forecast.

...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...

High pressure remains in place across the site through the
period. West to northwesterly flow will bring the potential
for isolated to scattered showers and storms during the morning
hours on Tuesday with coverage increasing into the afternoon.
Winds become southerly on Wednesday supporting showers and storms
along the coast early and pushing inland through the day. Humidity
values remain well above critical levels during this time.

.TUESDAY...

TIME (EDT)      8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........40     42     58     65     80
Weather cov.....S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY CHANCE
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY CHANCE
Chc of pcpn (%).20     30     40     60     50
Temp............81     87     88     90     90
RH..............89     74     70     65     66
20 ft wind......W 3    W 5    W 8    W 10   NW 8
20 ft wind gust.7      8      9      12     13
Mix hgt (ft)....500    2600   3600   3600   3100
Transport wind..W 3    W 7    NW 9   W 9    NW 10
Dispersion idx..5      23     39     44     33
LVORI...........5      3      3      1      3

.TUESDAY NIGHT...
TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........76     78     72     69     65     60
Weather cov.....LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY CHANCE CHANCE
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY CHANCE CHANCE
Chc of pcpn (%).60     60     60     60     50     50
Temp............87     83     81     80     79     78
RH..............71     79     87     89     89     90
20 ft wind......NW 6   NE 8   W 2    S 2    S 3    S 3
20 ft wind gust.12     10     8      7      7      7
Mix hgt (ft)....2400   1500   1200   900    700    500
Transport wind..NW 10  NW 7   W 8    W 7    W 6    SW 6
Dispersion idx..17     5      3      3      3      5
LVORI...........3      4      6      6      6      6

.WEDNESDAY...
TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........57     55     51     52     55     60
Weather cov.....CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY DEFNTE DEFNTE
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY
Chc of pcpn (%).50     70     70     70     80     80
Temp............78     79     83     86     87     87
RH..............92     92     81     74     71     71
20 ft wind......S 5    S 5    S 6    S 7    SW 8   SW 8
20 ft wind gust.7      8      9      10     12     13
Mix hgt (ft)....500    600    2500   3500   3700   3300
Transport wind..SW 6   S 6    SW 8   SW 9   SW 10  SW 12
Dispersion idx..5      8      28     45     50     37
LVORI...........6      6      3      3      3      3

$$
Forecaster...Delerme
Requested by...Matthew Brady
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2518370.0/TBW
.DELDT 07/21/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL mbrady@scgov.net