022
FNUS72 KTBW 251214
FWSTBW

Spot Forecast for HC Rx BWC-7A...HC ELM
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
814 AM EDT Fri Jul 25 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 EDT on July 25.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (813) 645-2323 if you have questions or
concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
Scattered thunderstorms are expected to develop again this afternoon,
but then drier air moves in for the weekend, limiting rain chances.
Winds remain generally southeast.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Scattered showers
                    and thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 94.
Min humidity........52 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 6 to 7 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms late in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......4800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 7 to 10 mph.
Dispersion index....15 increasing to 30 late in the morning, then
                    increasing to 45 in the afternoon decreasing to
                    33 late in the afternoon.
LVORI...............3.

TIME (EDT)      9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
Sky (%).........27     32     35     35     43
Weather cov.....                     SCTTRD SCTTRD
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........                     SCTTRD SCTTRD
Chc of pcpn (%).0      10     10     40     40
Temp............81     87     91     94     91
RH..............83     69     58     52     56
20 ft wind......SE 6   SE 7   SE 6   SE 6   SE 6
20 ft wind gust.8      12     13     12     10
Mix hgt (ft)....1400   3400   4300   4300   3300
Transport wind..SE 10  SE 8   SE 7   SE 8   SE 8
Dispersion idx..15     34     46     46     33
LVORI...........5      2      1      1      1

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent). Scattered showers
                    and thunderstorms early in the evening.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 74.
Max humidity........98 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds around 6 mph shifting to the
                    west around 5 mph early in the evening, then
                    becoming light early in the evening. Gusty and
                    erratic winds expected near thunderstorms early
                    in the evening.
Mixing height.......300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 5 to 7 mph shifting to the northwest
                    5 to 6 mph early in the evening, then shifting
                    to the east late in the evening shifting to the
                    southeast after 3 am.
Dispersion index....22 decreasing to 2.
LVORI...............5.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........36     34     31     17     5      7
Weather cov.....SCTTRD
Weather type....RNSHWR NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........SCTTRD
Chc of pcpn (%).30     10     10     0      0      0
Temp............90     86     81     78     76     75
RH..............59     71     83     89     93     96
20 ft wind......SE 6   NW 3   N 2    NE 2   E 2    E 2
20 ft wind gust.8      6      3      3      5      3
Mix hgt (ft)....2400   500    400    400    400    400
Transport wind..SE 7   NW 6   N 5    E 6    E 6    SE 5
Dispersion idx..22     2      0      2      3      2
LVORI...........2      3      6      6      6      7

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent). Isolated showers and
                    thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 97.
Min humidity........47 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......5500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 3 to 6 mph shifting to the northeast
                    around 3 mph late in the afternoon.
Dispersion index....6 increasing to 20 in the late morning and
                    afternoon.
LVORI...............5.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........6      9      11     15     20     20
Weather cov.....                            ISOLTD ISOLTD
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........                            ISOLTD ISOLTD
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      20     20
Temp............74     76     84     91     94     94
RH..............97     97     77     61     53     49
20 ft wind......SE 2   SE 2   SE 3   SE 3   E 3    SE 3
20 ft wind gust.3      3      5      8      8      8
Mix hgt (ft)....400    400    1900   3800   4900   5300
Transport wind..SE 5   SE 5   E 6    E 6    E 3    NE 3
Dispersion idx..2      5      16     23     21     24
LVORI...........8      7      3      2      2      2

$$
Forecaster...Carlisle
Requested by...HC ELM
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2518561.0/TBW
.DELDT 07/25/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL raymonds@hcfl.gov