Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL

Home |  Current Version |  Previous Version |  Text Only |  Print | Product List |  Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
599
FNUS72 KTBW 031618
FWSTBW

Spot Forecast for Dprx...Manatee County government
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
1218 PM EDT Tue Jun 3 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1300 EDT on June 03.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (813) 645-2323 if you have questions or
concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
An upper level low over the eastern gulf waters will bring deeper
moisture back into the region leading to numerous showers and
thunderstorms through Wednesday. Relative humidity values will
remain above critical levels and winds less than 15 mph, except
gusty and erratic near any thunderstorms.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms early in the
                    afternoon, then showers and thunderstorms
                    late in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......80 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 85.
Min humidity........68 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 9 to 10 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......3100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 10 to 12 mph.
Dispersion index....37 decreasing to 21 late in the afternoon.
LVORI...............3.

TIME (EDT)      1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........50  60  70  75  80
Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC LKY DEF
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........CHC CHC CHC LKY DEF
Chc of pcpn (%).50  40  50  70  80
Temp............81  85  81  80  79
RH..............77  68  77  80  82
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..10  10  10  10  9
20 FT wind gust.15  15  15  16  16
Mix hgt (kft)...2.9 3.1 2.7 2.2 1.5
Transp wind dir.SE  E   SE  SE  E
Transp wind spd.12  10  12  12  10
Dispersion idx..37  34  30  26  21
LVORI...........3   3   3   3   3

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Showers and
                    thunderstorms in the evening, then showers
                    likely and chance of thunderstorms overnight.
Chance of pcpn......90 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 70.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 6 to 9 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 12 to 14 mph.
Dispersion index....12.
LVORI...............5.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........85  85  85  85  85  85  80  80  80  80  80  80
Weather cov.....DEF DEF DEF LKY LKY LKY LKY CHC LKY CHC CHC LKY
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........DEF DEF DEF LKY LKY CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).90  90  80  70  70  70  60  50  60  50  50  60
Temp............78  76  75  74  73  72  72  72  72  72  72  70
RH..............87  91  95  95  96  97  97  96  97  96  97  100
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..9   8   6   7   6   6   6   6   6   6   7   7
20 FT wind gust.15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15
Mix hgt (kft)...1.5 1.5 1.2 0.7 0.8 1.4 1.3 1.2 1.2 0.9 0.9 0.6
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   E   SE  E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE
Transp wind spd.12  12  12  12  12  13  14  13  14  13  12  13
Dispersion idx..16  11  8   8   8   9   9   9   9   8   8   8
LVORI...........4   5   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Showers and
                    thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......100 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 84.
Min humidity........90 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 7 to 13 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......1700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 12 to 17 mph.
Dispersion index....18 increasing to 28 late in the morning.
LVORI...............5.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........80  80  80  80  80  85  85  85  90  90  90  90
Weather cov.....LKY DEF DEF LKY LKY LKY LKY DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH LKY LKY LKY DEF DEF DEF SCT
Chc of pcpn (%).70  80  80  70  60  60  70  90  100 100 100 100
Temp............72  73  73  74  76  77  77  78  81  81  83  81
RH..............95  95  96  95  94  92  92  94  95  94  90  93
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..7   8   10  10  10  12  13  12  12  12  10  10
20 FT wind gust.16  16  16  17  18  18  18  18  17  17  17  16
Mix hgt (kft)...0.7 1.0 1.3 1.3 1.4 1.4 1.5 1.7 1.6 1.3 1.4 1.4
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.13  13  16  17  15  16  17  14  12  13  13  13
Dispersion idx..14  21  27  28  28  28  24  21  19  21  23  23
LVORI...........5   4   4   4   4   5   5   5   5   5   4   4

$$
Forecaster...Close
Requested by...Mark proch
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2515282.0/TBW
.DELDT 06/03/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL mark.proch@mymanatee.org